Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 12, 2014

Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X ETF)
FAZ latest price $55.5567 (0.5%) ($55.4772 - $56.2720) on Wed. Nov. 12, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.58% (three month average)
RSI   18
Latest Price   $55.5567(0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAZ declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAZ declines -6.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(12%)    VIXM(12%)    TIP(7%)    BNDX(4%)    UUP(4%)
Factors Impacting FAZ price   FAZ will decline at least -1.29% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLF(-18%)    VT(-16%)    XLP(-15%)    XLI(-15%)    XLB(-15%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.29% (StdDev 2.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $37.29(-32.88%)
Resistance Level   $61.23
5 Day Moving Average   $55.49(0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.15(-1.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.23(-9.27%)
To recent high   -25.5%
To recent low   0.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAZ price fluctuates within 10.76% (three month std-dev: 2.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.08%(33%) Average negative next day return: -2.28%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.97%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -9.59%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 4.42%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -20.46%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_12_2014	66.71	61.23	56.15	55.49	55.57	55.5	55.56(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-37	-0	2	-153	0.54	47%	-0.22	-57.3	2.58%	0	-0.9	18	0
2	Nov_11_2014	66.86	62.14	56.73	55.58	55.63	55.28	55.28(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-57	-40	-16	-179	0.38	47%	-0.22	-51.3	2.58%	0	-1	15	0
3	Nov_10_2014	67.01	62.94	57.38	55.98	55.92	55.64	55.08(-1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-62	-40	-20	-188	0.41	47%	-0.22	-48.4	2.58%	0	-1.2	21	0
4	Nov_7_2014	67.16	63.81	58.25	56.47	56.51	55.98	55.64(-0.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-61	-60	-16	-197	0.74	47%	-0.24	-43.8	2.59%	0	-1.2	18	0
5	Nov_6_2014	67.32	64.57	59.12	56.94	56.96	56.2	55.91(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-70	-90	-22	-213	0.51	47%	-0.21	-40.6	2.6%	0	-1.4	17	0

6	Nov_5_2014	67.46	65.25	60.12	56.88	57.51	57.04	55.99(-2.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-80	-20	-27	-240	0.7	47%	-0.24	-42.9	2.6%	0	-1.5	15	0
7	Nov_4_2014	67.62	65.77	61.29	58.06	57.35	57.72	57.27(-0.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-82	10	-30	-238	0.68	47%	-0.25	-43.1	2.62%	0	-1.5	16	0
8	Nov_3_2014	67.79	66.38	62.21	59.02	58.45	57.97	57.54(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-67	-90	-13	-229	0.73	47%	-0.22	-39.7	2.63%	0	-1.7	27	0
9	Oct_31_2014	67.94	66.84	63.47	60.36	59.77	56.98	57.98(4.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-112	-360	-71	-235	0.8	47%	-0.22	-36.3	2.65%	0	-1.8	26	0
10	Oct_30_2014	68.09	67.26	64.85	61.68	61.39	58.93	55.64(-10.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-146	-290	-119	-226	0.91	44%	-0.23	-32.3	2.69%	0	-2.6	25	0

11	Oct_29_2014	68.25	67.94	66.76	63.77	63.82	62.56	61.88(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-82	-140	-54	-165	1.04	50%	-0.13	-23.5	2.4%	0	-1.7	38	0
12	Oct_28_2014	68.34	68.29	68.01	64.98	64.73	63.84	62.07(-3.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-66	-110	-50	-114	0.81	50%	-0.12	-10	2.4%	0	-1.9	48	0
13	Oct_27_2014	68.42	68.54	68.98	65.86	65.76	65.07	64.22(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-49	-80	-37	-85	0.8	53%	-0.1	-1.8	2.37%	0	-1.4	44	0
14	Oct_24_2014	68.49	68.66	69.83	67.09	66.55	65.62	64.58(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-52	-120	-54	-47	0.91	53%	-0.12	12.6	2.38%	0	-1.3	52	0
15	Oct_23_2014	68.57	68.73	70.49	68.55	68.05	66.45	66.13(-2.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-46	-190	-61	-2	1.37	53%	-0.12	31.6	2.37%	0	-0.9	55	0

16	Oct_22_2014	68.65	68.79	70.84	70.23	69.58	67.49	67.92(2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-62	-240	-91	25	1.03	55%	-0.1	54.5	2.34%	0	-0.3	52	0
17	Oct_21_2014	68.72	68.63	70.66	71.56	71.87	69.64	66.45(-5.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-47	-200	-79	50	1.53	55%	-0.13	67.1	2.33%	0	-0.7	49	0
18	Oct_20_2014	68.81	68.59	70.96	72.53	73.69	71.68	70.38(-2.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-21	-140	-59	95	1.36	61%	-0.09	75.9	2.23%	0	0.5	59	0
19	Oct_17_2014	68.87	68.27	70.53	72.93	73.65	74.1	71.89(-3.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	70	-29	118	1.65	61%	-0.06	74.6	2.24%	0	1	63	0
20	Oct_16_2014	68.91	67.81	69.89	72.68	73.42	75.69	74.51(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	111	250	93	166	2.91	65%	-0.03	68	2.23%	0	1.9	69	0

21	Oct_15_2014	68.93	67.16	69.18	71.54	71.72	73.2	74.55(4.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	109	150	96	147	4.78	65%	-0.03	61	2.24%	0	2.3	64	0
22	Oct_14_2014	68.95	66.58	68.5	69.68	69.73	71.15	71.33(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	57	140	42	103	2.03	61%	0.03	50.5	2.18%	0	1.7	65	0
23	Oct_13_2014	68.93	66.2	67.96	69.17	68.69	70.25	72.38(2.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	84	140	75	111	1.99	61%	-0.09	47.3	2.19%	0	2.4	64	0
24	Oct_10_2014	68.99	65.79	67.27	67.78	67.78	68.31	70.62(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	63	50	57	81	1.91	59%	-0.13	42	2.17%	0	2.2	64	0
25	Oct_9_2014	69.08	65.47	66.71	66.69	66.68	67.14	68.83(5.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	50	5	47	1.81	57%		34.8	2.15%	0	1.8	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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