Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 4, 2014

Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X ETF)
FAZ latest price $72.7244 (-2.09%) ($72.4065 - $74.5922) on Mon. Aug. 4, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.19% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $72.7244(-2.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAZ advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAZ advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(12%)    VIXM(12%)    TIP(7%)    BNDX(4%)    UUP(4%)
Factors Impacting FAZ price   FAZ will decline at least -4.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLF(-18%)    XLI(-16%)    VT(-16%)    XLP(-15%)    XLB(-15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.595% (StdDev 9.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $71.63(1.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.99(3.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $69.71(4.32%)
To recent high   -12.6%
To recent low   43.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.08%

$. FAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.08% a day on average for holding it.$. FAZ price fluctuates within 2.51% (three month std-dev: 9.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.65%(18%) Average negative next day return: -1.15%(82%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.21%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -2.18%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 1.49%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.92%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140904

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2014	75.34	69.71	69.99	71.63	71.83	73.56	72.72(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	180	12	19	1.08	61%	-0.15	40.2	9.19%	0	1.7	64	INF
2	Aug_1_2014	75.45	69.5	69.59	70.79	70.7	72.54	74.27(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	20	180	21	18	1.63	61%	-0.09	22.8	9.18%	0	2.9	63	INF
3	Jul_31_2014	75.52	69.16	68.98	69.65	69.44	70.09	72.72(5.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	11	60	12	7	1.87	61%	-0.09	-7.1	9.25%	0	2.8	54	INF
4	Jul_30_2014	75.59	68.97	68.71	68.58	68.71	68.85	68.87(-0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	20	2	-3	1.21	61%	-0.13	-47.5	9.23%	0	-0.1	42	INF
5	Jul_29_2014	75.69	68.98	68.65	68.37	68.35	68.79	69.55(1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	40	3	-5	0.91	59%	-0.11	-63.1	9.23%	0	0.6	49	INF

6	Jul_28_2014	75.77	69.02	68.49	68.11	68.13	68.56	68.51(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	50	4	-8	0.96	59%	-0.13	-64.9	9.23%	0	-0.5	43	INF
7	Jul_25_2014	75.87	69.13	68.54	68.11	68	67.9	68.59(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-2	-20	0	-8	0.82	60%	-0.13	-57.7	9.23%	0	-0.5	50	INF
8	Jul_24_2014	75.97	69.25	68.72	68.2	68.21	67.71	67.36(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-50	-6	-9	0.56	60%	-0.17	-51.8	9.24%	0	-1.6	50	INF
9	Jul_23_2014	76.1	69.43	69.06	68.86	68.66	68.1	67.84(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-5	-70	-5	-4	0.51	60%	-0.17	-36.6	9.24%	0	-1.4	46	INF
10	Jul_22_2014	76.23	69.6	69.26	68.95	69.11	68.71	68.23(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-2	-30	-2	-2	0.6	60%	-0.24	-36.6	9.24%	0	-1.2	48	INF

11	Jul_21_2014	76.41	69.68	69.46	68.89	69.05	69.21	68.99(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1	20	-1	-2	0.59	60%	-0.2	-56.5	9.24%	0	-0.6	45	INF
12	Jul_18_2014	76.56	69.75	69.45	68.93	68.78	69.51	68.59(-2.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	1	70	2	-2	0.8	60%	-0.23	-67.1	9.24%	0	-1.1	42	INF
13	Jul_17_2014	76.74	69.86	69.41	69.31	68.7	68.88	70.66(3.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	2	-10	3	-3	1.21	60%	-0.21	-67.3	9.31%	0	0.8	46	INF
14	Jul_16_2014	76.9	69.85	69.25	69.34	69.01	68.04	68.27(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-7	-110	-6	-8	0.6	59%	-0.23	-73.2	9.3%	0	-1.5	39	INF
15	Jul_15_2014	77.08	70.02	69.35	69.63	69.83	68.52	67.96(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-11	-120	-11	-10	1.13	58%	-0.23	-60	9.31%	0	-2	36	INF

16	Jul_14_2014	77.26	70.3	69.61	70.09	70.28	69.97	69.15(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-7	-20	-7	-5	0.73	58%	-0.23	-29.8	9.31%	0	-1	49	INF
17	Jul_11_2014	77.44	70.47	69.77	70.01	70.48	71.15	70.54(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	90	7	0	0.8	59%	-0.23	-23.6	9.31%	0	0.1	51	INF
18	Jul_10_2014	77.62	70.57	69.82	69.48	69.9	70.58	70.78(1.48%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	6	90	8	-2	1	61%	-0.22	-30.6	9.32%	0	0.2	49	INF
19	Jul_9_2014	77.79	70.61	69.81	69.17	69.1	69.82	69.74(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	70	4	-5	0.82	60%	-0.21	-45.7	9.35%	0	-0.6	46	INF
20	Jul_8_2014	77.95	70.65	69.94	69.05	68.91	69.21	70.22(2.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	20	4	-6	1	60%	-0.1	-64.1	9.36%	0	-0.3	42	INF

21	Jul_7_2014	78.03	70.66	69.89	69.11	68.84	68.39	68.75(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-60	-4	-12	0.55	61%	-0.33	-79	9.36%	0	-1.4	28	INF
22	Jul_3_2014	78.29	70.78	70.06	69.51	69.33	68.61	67.92(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-10	-80	-8	-14	0.5	62%	-0.25	-92.4	9.3%	0	-2.2	30	INF
23	Jul_2_2014	78.49	71	70.36	70.2	70.12	69.28	69.23(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-90	-7	-12	0.47	62%	-0.23	-91.4	9.3%	0	-1.3	33	INF
24	Jul_1_2014	78.67	71.25	70.5	70.52	70.7	70.05	69.15(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-60	-8	-12	1.14	62%	-0.27	-82.9	9.3%	0	-1.4	40	INF
25	Jun_30_2014	78.88	71.54	70.77	70.94	71.14	70.95	70.5(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3	-10	-2	-7	0.48	60%		-75.2	9.24%	0	-0.7	52	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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