Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 1, 2014

Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X ETF)
FAZ latest price $74.2743 (2.13%) ($72.4462 - $75.1883) on Fri. Aug. 1, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.18% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $74.2743(2.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAZ advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAZ advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(12%)    VIXM(12%)    TIP(7%)    BNDX(4%)    UUP(4%)
Factors Impacting FAZ price   FAZ will decline at least -4.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLF(-18%)    XLI(-16%)    VT(-16%)    XLP(-15%)    XLB(-15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.59% (StdDev 9.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $70.79(4.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.59(6.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $69.5(6.87%)
To recent high   -10.7%
To recent low   46.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.08%

$. FAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.08% a day on average for holding it.$. FAZ price fluctuates within 2.37% (three month std-dev: 9.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 4.55%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.62%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.25%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140901

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_1_2014	75.45	69.5	69.59	70.79	70.7	72.54	74.27(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	20	180	21	18	1.63	61%	-0.09	22.8	9.18%	0	2.9	63	0
2	Jul_31_2014	75.52	69.16	68.98	69.65	69.44	70.09	72.72(5.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	11	60	12	7	1.87	61%	-0.09	-7.1	9.25%	0	2.8	54	0
3	Jul_30_2014	75.59	68.97	68.71	68.58	68.71	68.85	68.87(-0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	20	2	-3	1.21	61%	-0.13	-47.5	9.23%	0	-0.1	42	0
4	Jul_29_2014	75.69	68.98	68.65	68.37	68.35	68.79	69.55(1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	40	3	-5	0.91	59%	-0.11	-63.1	9.23%	0	0.6	49	0
5	Jul_28_2014	75.77	69.02	68.49	68.11	68.13	68.56	68.51(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	50	4	-8	0.96	59%	-0.13	-64.9	9.23%	0	-0.5	43	0

6	Jul_25_2014	75.87	69.13	68.54	68.11	68	67.9	68.59(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-2	-20	0	-8	0.82	60%	-0.13	-57.7	9.23%	0	-0.5	50	0
7	Jul_24_2014	75.97	69.25	68.72	68.2	68.21	67.71	67.36(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-50	-6	-9	0.56	60%	-0.17	-51.8	9.24%	0	-1.6	50	0
8	Jul_23_2014	76.1	69.43	69.06	68.86	68.66	68.1	67.84(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-5	-70	-5	-4	0.51	60%	-0.17	-36.6	9.24%	0	-1.4	46	0
9	Jul_22_2014	76.23	69.6	69.26	68.95	69.11	68.71	68.23(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-2	-30	-2	-2	0.6	60%	-0.24	-36.6	9.24%	0	-1.2	48	0
10	Jul_21_2014	76.41	69.68	69.46	68.89	69.05	69.21	68.99(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1	20	-1	-2	0.59	60%	-0.2	-56.5	9.24%	0	-0.6	45	0

11	Jul_18_2014	76.56	69.75	69.45	68.93	68.78	69.51	68.59(-2.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	1	70	2	-2	0.8	60%	-0.23	-67.1	9.24%	0	-1.1	42	0
12	Jul_17_2014	76.74	69.86	69.41	69.31	68.7	68.88	70.66(3.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	2	-10	3	-3	1.21	60%	-0.21	-67.3	9.31%	0	0.8	46	0
13	Jul_16_2014	76.9	69.85	69.25	69.34	69.01	68.04	68.27(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-7	-110	-6	-8	0.6	59%	-0.23	-73.2	9.3%	0	-1.5	39	0
14	Jul_15_2014	77.08	70.02	69.35	69.63	69.83	68.52	67.96(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-11	-120	-11	-10	1.13	58%	-0.23	-60	9.31%	0	-2	36	0
15	Jul_14_2014	77.26	70.3	69.61	70.09	70.28	69.97	69.15(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-7	-20	-7	-5	0.73	58%	-0.23	-29.8	9.31%	0	-1	49	0

16	Jul_11_2014	77.44	70.47	69.77	70.01	70.48	71.15	70.54(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	90	7	0	0.8	59%	-0.23	-23.6	9.31%	0	0.1	51	0
17	Jul_10_2014	77.62	70.57	69.82	69.48	69.9	70.58	70.78(1.48%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	6	90	8	-2	1	61%	-0.22	-30.6	9.32%	0	0.2	49	0
18	Jul_9_2014	77.79	70.61	69.81	69.17	69.1	69.82	69.74(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	70	4	-5	0.82	60%	-0.21	-45.7	9.35%	0	-0.6	46	0
19	Jul_8_2014	77.95	70.65	69.94	69.05	68.91	69.21	70.22(2.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	20	4	-6	1	60%	-0.1	-64.1	9.36%	0	-0.3	42	0
20	Jul_7_2014	78.03	70.66	69.89	69.11	68.84	68.39	68.75(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-60	-4	-12	0.55	61%	-0.33	-79	9.36%	0	-1.4	28	0

21	Jul_3_2014	78.29	70.78	70.06	69.51	69.33	68.61	67.92(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-10	-80	-8	-14	0.5	62%	-0.25	-92.4	9.3%	0	-2.2	30	0
22	Jul_2_2014	78.49	71	70.36	70.2	70.12	69.28	69.23(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-90	-7	-12	0.47	62%	-0.23	-91.4	9.3%	0	-1.3	33	0
23	Jul_1_2014	78.67	71.25	70.5	70.52	70.7	70.05	69.15(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-60	-8	-12	1.14	62%	-0.27	-82.9	9.3%	0	-1.4	40	0
24	Jun_30_2014	78.88	71.54	70.77	70.94	71.14	70.95	70.5(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3	-10	-2	-7	0.48	60%	-0.27	-75.2	9.24%	0	-0.7	52	0
25	Jun_27_2014	79.09	71.76	71.06	70.79	71.12	71.35	70.78(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	0	40	1	-3	0.46	60%		-77.3	9.24%	0	-0.5	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.