Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X ETF)
FAZ latest price $70.4989 (-1.72%) ($70.2963 - $72.6052) on Wed. Jun. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.25% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $70.4989(-1.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAZ declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAZ declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(12%)    VIXM(12%)    TIP(7%)    BNDX(4%)    UUP(4%)
Factors Impacting FAZ price   FAZ will decline at least -4.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLF(-18%)    XLI(-16%)    VT(-16%)    XLP(-15%)    XLB(-15%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.625% (StdDev 9.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

Resistance Level   $74.07
5 Day Moving Average   $72.3(-2.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71.71(-1.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $74.07(-4.82%)
To recent high   -20.1%
To recent low   39.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.09%

$. FAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.09% a day on average for holding it.$. FAZ price fluctuates within 3.97% (three month std-dev: 9.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.92%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.01%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.61%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.69%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 4.69%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.24%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140718

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_18_2014	79.73	74.07	71.71	72.3	72.58	72.05	70.5(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10	-40	-8	-16	0.78	60%	-0.13	-24.2	9.25%	0	-1.2	27	INF
2	Jun_17_2014	79.83	74.61	72.09	72.53	72.87	73.18	71.73(-2.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-2	40	2	-12	0.77	59%	-0.13	-15	9.25%	0	-0.9	28	INF
3	Jun_16_2014	79.93	73.7	72.4	72.26	72.58	73.11	73.68(1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	60	7	-13	0.59	59%	-0.09	-28.1	9.25%	0	-0	36	INF
4	Jun_13_2014	80	74.05	72.51	71.59	71.87	72.55	72.76(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	80	6	-19	0.74	59%	-0.1	-29.1	9.26%	0	-0.2	25	INF
5	Jun_12_2014	80.08	74.47	72.79	71.21	71.33	72.05	72.84(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	80	6	-24	0.93	59%	-0.1	-28.6	9.26%	0	-0.2	23	INF

6	Jun_11_2014	80.16	74.79	73.1	71.09	71.08	71.19	71.65(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	10	0	-30	0.79	59%	-0.12	-29.5	9.26%	0	-0.5	15	INF
7	Jun_10_2014	80.26	75.1	73.6	71.63	71.51	70.61	70.38(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-90	-8	-35	0.53	59%	-0.15	-31.1	9.26%	0	-0.7	5	INF
8	Jun_9_2014	80.38	75.47	74.2	72.58	72.59	70.98	70.3(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-150	-15	-15	0.51	59%	-0.15	-29.8	9.26%	0	-0.8	82	INF
9	Jun_6_2014	80.5	75.95	75.02	73.55	73.85	72.42	70.86(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-120	-16	-13	0.9	59%	-0.15	-26.5	9.26%	0	-0.8	55	INF
10	Jun_5_2014	80.62	76.4	75.87	74.57	74.9	74.2	72.25(-2.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-50	-10	-8	1.07	59%	-0.12	-22.7	9.26%	0	-0.6	55	INF

11	Jun_4_2014	80.72	76.81	76.65	75.37	75.61	75.28	74.35(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	-20	-4	-1	0.87	57%	-0.1	-19.7	9.26%	0	-0.4	57	INF
12	Jun_3_2014	80.8	77.23	77.37	75.86	75.98	75.59	75.15(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-30	-3	5	0.66	57%	-0.1	-16.1	9.28%	0	-0.3	59	INF
13	Jun_2_2014	80.88	77.49	75.22	76.09	76.25	75.93	75.15(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-20	-5	-15	0.74	57%	-0.09	-17.2	9.29%	0	-0.4	59	INF
14	May_30_2014	80.95	77.72	75.78	76.75	76.51	76.36	75.94(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-20	-5	-11	0.9	57%	-0.07	-16.2	9.36%	0	-0.3	58	INF
15	May_29_2014	81.01	77.9	76.31	77.41	77.15	76.57	76.26(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-60	-5	-7	0.64	57%	-0.09	-13.6	9.43%	0	-0.3	58	INF

16	May_28_2014	81.08	78.09	76.6	78.15	77.94	76.65	76.82(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-120	-11	-6	0.64	57%	-0.06	-10.3	9.51%	0	-0.2	58	INF
17	May_27_2014	81.13	78.3	76.69	79.14	78.84	77.72	76.26(-2.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	2	-110	3	-0	1.02	57%	-0.09	-5.5	9.51%	0	-0.3	55	INF
18	May_23_2014	81.2	78.62	76.81	74.01	79.96	79.22	78.45(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	8	180	17	-20	0.58	56%	-0.05	-26	9.29%	0	-0	58	INF
19	May_22_2014	81.24	78.79	76.89	74.62	72.99	79.95	79.24(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-12	600	-7	-27	0.75	56%	-0.02	-23.4	9.36%	0	0.1	59	INF
20	May_21_2014	81.26	78.8	76.88	75.15	73.58	80.71	80(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	60	620	77	8	0.91	56%	-0.02	-22.8	9.43%	0	0.2	59	INF

21	May_20_2014	81.28	78.77	76.83	75.04	73.86	66.04	81.75(61.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	-790	2	-22	0.9	56%	0	-26.4	9.43%	0	0.5	60	INF
22	May_19_2014	81.28	78.66	76.85	74.25	73.26	66.46	50.63(-37.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-3.6	-189	-690	-209	-130	1.06	34%	-0.54	-34.1	5.25%	0	-4.3	19	INF
23	May_16_2014	81.72	80.35	80.12	79.62	79.91	81.69	81.47(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	41	170	53	4	0.8	51%	0	-74.7	2.25%	0	0.8	44	INF
24	May_15_2014	81.72	80.34	79.92	79.28	78.96	80.06	81.9(3.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	37	90	52	-10	1.25	51%	0	-93.4	2.27%	0	1.1	49	INF
25	May_14_2014	81.72	80.31	79.68	78.84	78.62	78.12	79.44(2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	-50	1	-39	0.7	49%		-98.3	2.25%	0	-0.6	51	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.