Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 12, 2014

Trading Signals: FAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X ETF)
FAZ latest price $77.4932 (-2.84%) ($77.3342 - $79.0824) on Mon. May. 12, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.24% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $77.4932(-2.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAZ declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAZ declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(12%)    TIP(7%)    BNDX(4%)    UUP(4%)    IGOV(2%)
Factors Impacting FAZ price   FAZ will decline at least -1.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLF(-18%)    XLI(-16%)    VT(-16%)    XLP(-15%)    XLB(-15%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.12% (StdDev 2.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $76.17(-1.71%)
Resistance Level   $80.93
5 Day Moving Average   $80.06(-3.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.08(-3.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.93(-4.25%)
To recent high   -12.2%
To recent low   1.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAZ price fluctuates within 2.38% (three month std-dev: 2.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.65%(55%) Average negative next day return: -0.92%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 2.95%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -1.53%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 5.93%(27%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.79%(73%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2014	81.82	80.93	80.08	80.06	79.85	79.12	77.49(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-35	-70	-37	-29	0.87	48%	-0.07	-45.8	2.24%	0	-1.8	45	INF
2	May_9_2014	81.88	81.45	80.63	80.63	80.82	79.91	79.76(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-70	-19	-6	0.97	48%	-0.05	-14.3	2.2%	0	-0.7	45	NAN
3	May_8_2014	81.92	81.72	80.86	80.61	81.08	80.59	79.68(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-20	-24	-7	1.42	48%	-0.04	2	2.21%	0	-0.8	45	NAN
4	May_7_2014	81.95	81.76	80.88	80.6	80.94	81.73	80.16(-3.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	6	80	8	-1	1.69	48%	-0.04	9.1	2.23%	0	-0.7	46	NAN
5	May_6_2014	81.98	81.87	80.84	80.59	80.58	81.58	83.22(3.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	32	90	42	-0	1.42	50%	0.02	19.8	2.2%	0	0.6	45	NAN

6	May_5_2014	81.96	81.82	80.49	80.16	80.26	80.15	80.35(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	-10	5	-44	1.03	48%	-0.04	24.4	2.17%	0	-0.6	28	NAN
7	May_2_2014	81.99	81.79	80.6	80.7	80.37	79.58	79.64(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-45	-80	-36	-71	1.2	48%	-0.05	29	2.18%	0	-0.9	22	NAN
8	May_1_2014	82.03	81.68	80.78	81.18	81.31	80.37	79.64(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-80	-22	-69	1.12	48%	-0.05	25	2.2%	0	-0.8	35	NAN
9	Apr_30_2014	82.07	81.55	80.99	81.17	81.64	81.16	80.12(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-20	-19	-64	0.93	48%	-0.05	17.8	2.22%	0	-0.5	53	NAN
10	Apr_29_2014	82.11	81.4	81.36	81.06	81.3	82.26	81.03(-2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-4	90	11	-49	0.95	48%	-0.02	14.9	2.24%	0	-0.1	49	NAN

11	Apr_28_2014	82.13	81.24	81.84	80.84	80.87	82.12	83.06(1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	32	110	51	-26	2.1	49%	0.02	12.8	2.24%	0	0.6	52	NAN
12	Apr_25_2014	82.11	81.09	82.29	80.52	80.29	80.34	82.06(3.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	-0	16	-21	1.41	49%	0	15.1	2.25%	0	0.3	58	NAN
13	Apr_24_2014	82.11	81.02	82.59	80.4	80.34	79.63	79.56(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-60	-26	-15	1.23	47%	-0.06	20.3	2.22%	0	-0.5	60	NAN
14	Apr_23_2014	82.16	81.04	82.7	80.82	80.88	80.24	79.6(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-50	-37	-1	1.1	47%	-0.06	23.9	2.25%	0	-0.5	60	NAN
15	Apr_22_2014	82.21	80.95	83.01	81.7	81.55	81.05	79.92(-1.9%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-21	-50	-38	32	0.76	47%	-0.05	28.8	2.27%	0	-0.3	60	NAN

16	Apr_21_2014	82.25	80.84	83.3	82.98	82.65	81.52	81.47(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-14	-110	-42	70	0.75	47%	-0.02	34.7	2.28%	0	0.2	61	NAN
17	Apr_17_2014	82.27	80.61	83.14	84.34	83.88	82.04	81.47(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-28	-170	-66	85	1.09	47%	-0.02	36.9	2.3%	0	0.2	54	NAN
18	Apr_16_2014	82.29	80.39	82.73	85.12	85.39	83.78	81.63(-2.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-4	-120	-39	100	1.51	47%	-0.01	36.9	2.33%	0	0.4	52	NAN
19	Apr_15_2014	82.3	80.29	82.26	84.8	85.42	85.72	84.01(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	50	-11	98	2.35	49%	0.05	35.8	2.32%	0	1.1	59	NAN
20	Apr_14_2014	82.26	80.03	81.55	84.43	84.4	87	86.32(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	76	210	61	121	1.48	51%	0.11	34.7	2.31%	0	1.9	67	NAN

21	Apr_11_2014	82.17	79.7	80.64	83.65	83.43	85.12	88.26(3.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	117	130	112	130	3.17	51%	0.16	34.7	2.32%	0	2.8	71	NAN
22	Apr_10_2014	82.04	79.36	79.73	81.83	81.81	81.79	85.36(6.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	48	-0	37	79	2.58	48%	0.1	32.2	2.28%	0	2.4	69	NAN
23	Apr_9_2014	81.96	79.13	79.18	80.08	80.51	81.75	80.04(-2.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	33	120	24	60	1.41	41%	-0.05	21.6	2.05%	0	0.4	61	NAN
24	Apr_8_2014	82	79.08	79.13	79.31	79.39	81.83	82.18(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	93	220	99	74	1.99	44%	0	9.5	2.05%	0	1.5	54	NAN
25	Apr_7_2014	82	78.9	78.62	78.18	77.85	79.27	82.42(4.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	74	120	85	39	2.23	44%		-10.8	2.07%	0	1.8	57	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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