Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 24, 2018

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $54.8568 (4.5%) ($53.5833 - $55.0401) on Wed. Jan. 24, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $54.8568(4.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(56%)    IVE(55%)    PAVE(55%)    IWD(54%)    SDY(54%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    VIXM(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.61(4.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.62(4.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.75(3.99%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   21.9%
Market Cap   $31.464b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 1.73% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.71%(43%) Average negative next day return: -0.84%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.99%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -3.05%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.28%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.99%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180224

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_24_2018	47.54	52.75	52.62	52.61	52.61	53.33	54.86(4.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	61	100	76	14	5.48	61%	0.32	18.5	1.5%	0	2.3	60	-1.4
2	Jan_23_2018	47.39	52.61	52.44	51.71	51.81	52.23	52.49(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	60	15	-43	2.96	56%	0.13	-6.2	1.48%	0	-0.2	50	0.1
3	Jan_22_2018	47.33	52.6	52.53	51.91	51.41	51.88	52.42(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	40	2	-36	3.1	56%	0.25	9.3	1.49%	0	-0.2	49	0.9
4	Jan_19_2018	47.21	52.57	52.59	52.15	51.82	51.4	51.85(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	-80	-0	-29	3.47	56%	0.23	20.4	1.48%	0	-0.9	43	1
5	Jan_18_2018	47.1	52.56	52.69	52.41	52.26	50.94	51.41(2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-54	-190	-58	-41	5.82	56%	0.26	32	1.48%	0	-1.5	43	-INF

6	Jan_17_2018	46.98	52.59	52.83	52.62	52.69	52.24	50.36(-5.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-59	-60	-68	-33	8.71	55%	0.23	41.1	1.47%	0	-2.9	41	INF
7	Jan_16_2018	46.87	52.66	53.09	53.23	53.04	53.57	53.49(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	60	18	35	3.77	67%	0.45	76.7	1.26%	0	1.4	65	INF
8	Jan_12_2018	46.66	52.52	53.02	53.24	52.99	53.15	53.63(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	10	31	45	2.13	71%	0.32	63.5	1.26%	0	1.7	66	INF
9	Jan_11_2018	46.51	52.4	52.96	53.1	52.93	52.5	53.15(1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-70	-12	33	2.11	71%	0.3	51.1	1.31%	0	1	67	INF
10	Jan_10_2018	46.37	52.3	52.93	53.04	52.98	52.84	52.49(-1.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-10	-20	-25	36	3.1	68%	0.28	42.1	1.31%	0	0.3	65	INF

11	Jan_9_2018	46.24	52.27	52.91	53.07	53.17	53.35	53.41(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	30	18	59	1.92	71%	0.35	35.3	1.32%	0	1.4	70	INF
12	Jan_8_2018	46.08	52.19	52.79	52.92	52.93	53.12	53.52(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	30	12	56	2.26	71%	0.33	40.4	1.32%	0	1.8	75	INF
13	Jan_5_2018	45.93	52.11	52.65	52.77	52.93	52.98	52.96(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	20	8	60	1.74	71%	0.28	48.5	1.32%	0	1.2	78	INF
14	Jan_4_2018	45.8	52.03	52.53	52.81	52.84	52.73	52.85(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10	2	65	2.09	71%	0.26	67.7	1.32%	0	1.2	67	INF
15	Jan_3_2018	45.68	52.03	52.39	52.8	52.83	52.69	52.64(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-20	-7	65	2.03	71%	0.26	95.9	1.32%	0	1	67	INF

16	Jan_2_2018	45.56	51.99	52.32	52.72	52.82	52.94	52.62(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	20	5	67	2.08	71%	0.37	139.3	1.32%	0	1	55	INF
17	Dec_29_2017	45.39	51.88	52.2	52.62	52.67	52.97	52.76(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	40	18	65	1.25	71%	0.27	136.5	1.32%	0	1.2	57	INF
18	Dec_28_2017	45.27	51.78	52	52.51	52.43	52.71	53.2(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	34	30	27	54	1.85	71%	0.27	150.3	1.32%	0	1.9	60	INF
19	Dec_27_2017	45.15	51.59	51.79	52.2	52.21	52.37	52.78(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	20	21	35	1.3	71%	0.27	141.5	1.32%	0	1.5	61	INF
20	Dec_26_2017	45.03	51.39	51.62	51.94	52	52.14	52.22(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	20	9	10	0.63	72%	0.31	121.2	1.31%	0	0.8	51	INF

21	Dec_22_2017	44.89	51.16	51.58	51.86	51.87	52.04	52.15(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	9	20	12	-0	1.21	72%	0.27	80.1	1.31%	0	0.7	41	INF
22	Dec_21_2017	44.77	50.93	51.54	51.71	51.81	51.87	52.2(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	10	20	8	1.25	72%	0.25	79.3	1.32%	0	0.8	62	INF
23	Dec_20_2017	44.66	50.69	51.5	51.4	51.63	51.7	51.66(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	20	4	-3	1.05	72%	0.25	69.7	1.31%	0	0.6	58	INF
24	Dec_19_2017	44.55	50.45	51.49	51.32	51.46	51.76	51.45(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	50	12	13	1.48	72%	0.22	65.1	1.32%	0	0.5	64	INF
25	Dec_18_2017	44.45	50.22	51.54	51.25	51.35	51.56	51.82(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	30	15	38	3.54	72%		61.5	1.31%	0	0.8	69	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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