Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 18, 2017

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $40.8457 (1.51%) ($39.8660 - $41.0526) on Thu. May. 18, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $40.8457(1.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PAVE(55%)    SPY(55%)    IVE(54%)    SDY(54%)    IWD(53%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    VIXM(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    GDXJ(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $38.21(-6.45%)
Resistance Level   $42.69
5 Day Moving Average   $41.5(-1.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.32(-3.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.69(-4.32%)
To recent high   -17.2%
To recent low   1.5%
Market Cap   $23.428b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 2.01% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 1.45%(58%) Average negative next day return: -1.98%(42%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 2.82%(42%) Average negative next three day return: -2.71%(58%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 3.21%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.35%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170618

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_18_2017	46.06	42.69	42.32	41.5	41.4	40.69	40.85(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-53	-130	-43	-81	4.33	29%	-0.09	-42.3	1.6%	0	-2.1	37	0
2	May_17_2017	46.1	42.81	42.58	41.89	41.93	41.37	40.24(-3.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-54	-90	-50	-65	4.7	29%	-0.11	-39.4	1.6%	0	-3.4	25	0
3	May_16_2017	46.15	42.96	42.88	42.5	42.4	42.11	41.82(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-29	-50	-28	-33	3.65	32%	-0.11	-63.4	1.54%	0	-2.2	30	0
4	May_15_2017	46.2	42.97	43	42.79	42.75	42.49	42.04(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-21	-50	-21	-20	3.05	32%	-0.06	-107.1	1.54%	0	-1.9	33	0
5	May_12_2017	46.23	43.03	43.05	43.09	43.01	42.7	42.56(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-18	-60	-20	-12	1.91	32%	-0.04	-141.2	1.51%	0	-1.1	43	0

6	May_11_2017	46.25	43.06	43.06	43.27	43.22	43	42.79(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-40	-16	-7	2.28	32%	-0.06	-186	1.52%	0	-0.6	45	0
7	May_10_2017	46.28	43.1	43.1	43.38	43.35	43.31	43.27(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-10	-5	5	2.13	32%	-0.04	-227.5	1.53%	0	0.4	55	0
8	May_9_2017	46.3	43.29	43.12	43.33	43.45	43.45	43.28(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	9	10	7	13	2.5	32%	-0.04	-101.2	1.53%	0	-0	56	0
9	May_8_2017	46.32	43.49	43.14	43.25	43.32	43.38	43.57(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	10	8	23	2.11	32%	-0.04	-81	1.53%	0	0.1	72	0
10	May_5_2017	46.34	43.66	43.09	43.01	43.14	43.46	43.45(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	60	16	13	2.34	37%	-0.04	-77.1	1.56%	0	-0.1	51	0

11	May_4_2017	46.36	43.87	43.06	42.82	42.91	43.27	43.31(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	70	19	7	4.12	37%	-0.04	-71.3	1.57%	0	-0.3	52	0
12	May_3_2017	46.38	44.13	43.03	42.79	42.71	42.82	43.04(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	10	3	-7	3.02	37%	-0.06	-62.6	1.58%	0	-0.5	44	0
13	May_2_2017	46.41	44.4	43.02	42.9	42.82	42.55	42.88(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-18	-50	-9	-43	3	37%	-0.06	-55	1.58%	0	-0.6	26	0
14	May_1_2017	46.44	44.67	42.92	43.02	43.03	42.59	42.36(-0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-42	-70	-26	-91	3.72	37%	-0.09	-49.8	1.57%	0	-0.9	22	0
15	Apr_28_2017	46.48	44.98	43.02	43.19	43.29	43.09	42.5(-1.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-44	-30	-20	-115	2.49	37%	-0.06	-46.2	1.55%	0	-1	24	0

16	Apr_27_2017	46.51	45.28	43.07	43.33	43.47	43.46	43.17(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-34	10	2	-140	2.59	37%	-0.06	-44.4	1.56%	0	-0.8	24	0
17	Apr_26_2017	46.54	45.54	43.12	43.28	43.4	43.46	43.58(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-41	20	6	-183	2.13	37%	-0.04	-45.6	1.55%	0	-0.7	23	0
18	Apr_25_2017	46.56	45.76	43.47	43.15	43.27	43.48	43.49(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-34	40	19	-194	3.02	37%	-0.04	-47.8	1.56%	0	-0.9	22	0
19	Apr_24_2017	46.58	45.96	43.84	42.82	43.08	43.32	43.2(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-45	60	14	-221	3.31	37%	-0.04	-55.5	1.55%	0	-1.1	23	0
20	Apr_21_2017	46.6	46.2	44.24	42.83	43.08	43.06	43.2(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-53	40	8	-236	2.77	37%	-0.04	-58.9	1.54%	0	-1.2	23	0

21	Apr_20_2017	46.62	46.46	44.71	42.79	42.77	42.85	42.95(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-57	10	5	-242	3.63	37%	-0.02	-62.1	1.55%	0	-1.4	22	0
22	Apr_19_2017	46.63	46.76	45.28	42.95	42.91	42.47	42.93(2.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-95	-70	-43	-252	6.43	37%	-0.04	-63.7	1.56%	0	-1.6	23	0
23	Apr_18_2017	46.65	47.05	45.88	43.87	43.38	42.69	41.81(-3.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-118	-140	-81	-229	6.79	42%	-0.02	-57	1.52%	0	-2.4	17	0
24	Apr_17_2017	46.66	47.42	46.57	45.04	44.66	43.34	43.26(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-87	-230	-65	-154	3.12	45%	-0.02	-50.8	1.65%	0	-2.3	30	0
25	Apr_13_2017	46.67	47.73	47.13	45.87	45.77	44.08	43.02(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-110	-270	-103	-131	4.83	45%		-43.3	1.65%	0	-3.1	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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