Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 18, 2017

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $41.8068 (-3.36%) ($41.7785 - $43.0631) on Tue. Apr. 18, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.52% (three month average)
RSI   17
Latest Price   $41.8068(-3.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST declines -2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST declines -5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PAVE(55%)    SPY(55%)    IVE(54%)    IWD(53%)    SDY(53%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    VIXM(-10%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.76% (StdDev 1.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $36.13(-13.58%)
Resistance Level   $47.05
5 Day Moving Average   $43.87(-4.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.88(-8.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.05(-11.14%)
To recent high   -15.2%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $23.979b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 4.61% (three month std-dev: 1.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 1.85%(67%) Average negative next day return: -3.09%(33%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 2.61%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -5.55%(47%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 2.75%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.38%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170518

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_18_2017	46.65	47.05	45.88	43.87	43.38	42.69	41.81(-3.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-118	-140	-81	-229	6.79	42%	-0.02	-57	1.52%	0	-2.4	17	INF
2	Apr_17_2017	46.66	47.42	46.57	45.04	44.66	43.34	43.26(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-87	-230	-65	-154	3.12	45%	-0.02	-50.8	1.65%	0	-2.3	30	INF
3	Apr_13_2017	46.67	47.73	47.13	45.87	45.77	44.08	43.02(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-110	-270	-103	-131	4.83	45%	0	-43.3	1.65%	0	-3.1	25	INF
4	Apr_12_2017	46.67	48.02	47.72	46.9	46.82	45.98	43.72(-8.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-88	-130	-89	-83	12.22	45%	0.02	-31.4	1.64%	0	-3.9	26	INF
5	Apr_11_2017	46.66	48.29	48.23	47.92	47.8	47.47	47.55(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-60	-27	-21	3.89	60%	0.11	-11.3	1.28%	0	-1.5	38	INF

6	Apr_10_2017	46.61	48.32	48.29	48.19	48.24	47.67	47.63(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-24	-80	-29	-10	2.82	60%	0.13	-3	1.3%	0	-1.4	45	INF
7	Apr_7_2017	46.55	48.37	48.27	48.36	48.51	48.13	47.45(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-33	-50	-38	-18	3.07	60%	0.11	0	1.3%	0	-2	39	INF
8	Apr_6_2017	46.5	48.4	48.33	48.6	48.68	48.81	48.13(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-4	20	-5	-2	2.86	62%	0.13	5.2	1.29%	0	-0.6	42	INF
9	Apr_5_2017	46.44	48.37	48.34	48.67	48.69	48.88	48.84(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	30	21	11	2.58	65%	0.15	5.2	1.28%	0	1	54	INF
10	Apr_4_2017	46.37	48.35	48.33	48.58	48.48	48.54	48.89(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	0	10	2	2.05	65%	0.15	4.2	1.29%	0	1.2	50	INF

11	Apr_3_2017	46.3	48.33	48.27	48.41	48.36	48.49	48.48(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	12	20	16	-1	2.43	65%	0.15	5.9	1.29%	0	0.3	56	INF
12	Mar_31_2017	46.23	48.37	48.3	48.17	48.14	48.42	48.65(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	12	40	19	-10	1.91	65%	0.15	7.8	1.29%	0	0.6	50	INF
13	Mar_30_2017	46.16	48.38	48.33	48.03	47.82	48.23	48.48(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	11	50	17	-9	1.08	65%	0.17	14	1.3%	0	0.2	54	INF
14	Mar_29_2017	46.08	48.35	48.32	47.97	47.77	47.87	48.38(0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	9	0	13	-5	2.1	65%	0.22	17.6	1.3%	0	0.1	58	INF
15	Mar_28_2017	45.98	48.34	48.35	48.06	47.86	47.4	48.06(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-80	-18	-12	1.65	61%	0.24	22	1.3%	0	-0.5	47	INF

16	Mar_27_2017	45.87	48.3	48.34	48.11	48.12	47.67	47.27(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-39	-60	-44	-25	2.34	59%	0.24	18	1.31%	0	-1.7	43	INF
17	Mar_24_2017	45.76	48.33	48.48	48.45	48.48	48.32	47.95(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-17	-20	-21	-5	1.45	62%	0.26	31.7	1.3%	0	-0.7	41	INF
18	Mar_23_2017	45.64	48.31	48.49	48.66	48.67	48.57	48.18(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-10	-5	5	1.68	62%	0.29	35.6	1.31%	0	-0.2	46	INF
19	Mar_22_2017	45.51	48.25	48.43	48.7	48.73	48.64	48.85(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-2	-10	-4	4	1.67	65%	0.29	33.1	1.29%	0	0.9	57	INF
20	Mar_21_2017	45.38	48.21	48.4	48.68	48.72	48.77	48.32(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	4	10	2	9	2.2	65%	0.27	36.4	1.29%	0	0.2	52	INF

21	Mar_20_2017	45.26	48.2	48.42	48.59	48.67	48.82	48.93(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	30	13	20	1.57	65%	0.29	36.8	1.28%	0	1.1	61	INF
22	Mar_17_2017	45.13	48.14	48.44	48.52	48.48	48.67	49(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	20	17	34	2.89	65%	0.31	38.6	1.27%	0	1.4	59	INF
23	Mar_16_2017	44.99	48.08	48.42	48.31	48.32	48.51	48.41(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	30	19	38	1.47	65%	0.27	33.9	1.28%	0	0.6	58	INF
24	Mar_15_2017	44.87	48.04	48.37	48.11	48.15	48.29	48.75(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	15	20	10	31	1.37	65%	0.29	28.9	1.28%	0	1.2	61	INF
25	Mar_14_2017	44.74	47.98	48.31	48.08	48.05	48.13	47.88(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	10	-2	27	1.44	63%		32.8	1.26%	0	-0.2	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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