Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $36.2655 (-0.77%) ($36.1060 - $36.5846) on Tue. Oct. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $36.2655(-0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST declines -3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(55%)    IVE(54%)    IWD(53%)    SDY(53%)    IVW(52%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $37.31
5 Day Moving Average   $36.24(0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.03(0.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.31(-2.8%)
To recent high   -11.8%
To recent low   2%
Market Cap   $20.801b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 3.89% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.57%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.96%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.12%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -15.91%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_25_2016	39.44	37.31	36.03	36.24	36.22	36.36	36.27(-0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-24	30	17	-148	1.87	38%	-0.18	-25.4	1.29%	0	-0.7	29	INF
2	Oct_24_2016	39.51	37.39	36.11	36.1	36.11	36.15	36.55(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-34	10	14	-177	2.42	38%	-0.15	-27.5	1.29%	0	-0.6	35	INF
3	Oct_21_2016	39.57	37.44	36.34	35.92	35.95	36.08	36.01(-0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-46	30	5	-197	1.66	36%	-0.18	-32.6	1.28%	0	-1	27	INF
4	Oct_20_2016	39.64	37.53	36.65	35.85	35.89	36.06	36.14(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-35	40	17	-191	2.26	36%	-0.18	-34	1.3%	0	-1	32	INF
5	Oct_19_2016	39.71	37.62	36.99	35.77	35.72	35.81	36.25(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-44	10	3	-186	3.27	36%	-0.15	-37.9	1.3%	0	-1	40	INF

6	Oct_18_2016	39.77	37.69	37.26	35.79	35.71	35.71	35.54(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-60	-10	-17	-188	2.16	33%	-0.1	-38.8	1.28%	0	-1.7	35	INF
7	Oct_17_2016	39.81	37.78	37.58	36.13	35.96	35.63	35.64(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-79	-80	-48	-170	2.7	33%	-0.18	-36.3	1.28%	0	-1.8	40	INF
8	Oct_14_2016	39.88	37.9	37.95	36.85	36.59	35.71	35.71(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1	-85	-190	-75	-115	3.37	33%	-0.18	-22.6	1.29%	0	-2	42	INF
9	Oct_13_2016	39.95	38	38.29	37.58	37.54	36.29	35.71(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-91	-240	-100	-64	4.83	33%	-0.17	-7.2	1.29%	0	-2.3	41	INF
10	Oct_12_2016	40.02	38.13	38.56	38.4	38.45	37.47	36.38(-2.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-67	-170	-89	-0	4.58	31%	-0.15	11.4	1.27%	0	-2	44	INF

11	Oct_11_2016	40.08	38.2	38.76	38.93	39.12	38.79	37.21(-5.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-15	-40	-40	61	7.07	33%	-0.12	20.8	1.31%	0	-1.3	51	INF
12	Oct_10_2016	40.13	38.23	38.83	39.21	39.31	38.79	39.23(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	30	2	117	4.89	39%	-0.05	18.4	1.16%	0	1.3	71	INF
13	Oct_7_2016	40.15	38.16	38.66	39.22	39.21	39.44	39.39(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	40	19	122	2.89	39%	-0.05	4.7	1.17%	0	1.7	64	INF
14	Oct_6_2016	40.17	38.07	38.48	39.12	39.08	39.18	39.79(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	53	10	29	126	2.08	39%	-0.05	-11.6	1.17%	0	2.4	71	INF
15	Oct_5_2016	40.19	38.07	38.27	38.77	38.88	38.97	39.03(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	20	15	95	1.5	33%	-0.07	-33	1.14%	0	1.5	58	INF

16	Oct_4_2016	40.22	38.03	38.11	38.57	38.64	38.98	38.6(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	39	70	24	85	1.55	33%	-0.07	-44.6	1.15%	0	0.7	59	INF
17	Oct_3_2016	40.25	38.09	37.97	38.38	38.36	38.79	39.26(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	56	80	49	75	3.11	34%	-0.07	-57.1	1.15%	0	1.5	63	INF
18	Sep_30_2016	40.28	38.12	37.81	38.01	37.98	38.29	38.91(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	35	50	34	39	3.24	43%	-0.1	-63.5	1.17%	0	0.9	58	INF
19	Sep_29_2016	40.32	38.16	37.64	37.76	37.7	37.93	38.03(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	40	16	8	1.69	41%	-0.12	-71.1	1.17%	0	-0.1	52	INF
20	Sep_28_2016	40.37	38.25	37.63	37.71	37.62	37.66	38.06(1.19%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	8	0	14	-12	1.36	41%	-0.12	-69.5	1.18%	0	-0.2	38	INF

21	Sep_27_2016	40.42	38.38	37.57	37.59	37.61	37.47	37.61(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-20	0	-50	1.67	36%	-0.12	-66.9	1.17%	0	-0.7	33	INF
22	Sep_26_2016	40.47	38.54	37.58	37.5	37.58	37.58	37.44(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-29	10	-10	-86	1.39	36%	-0.15	-63.9	1.21%	0	-0.9	28	INF
23	Sep_23_2016	40.53	38.7	37.62	37.57	37.59	37.74	37.66(-0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	30	9	-96	1.69	35%	-0.12	-61.6	1.3%	0	-0.8	27	INF
24	Sep_22_2016	40.58	38.85	37.63	37.5	37.6	37.58	37.76(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	0	5	-125	1.85	35%	-0.12	-62.3	1.31%	0	-0.8	33	INF
25	Sep_21_2016	40.63	38.99	37.77	37.55	37.51	37.45	37.48(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-10	-9	-139	2.43	35%		-60.2	1.31%	0	-1.1	29	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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