Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 28, 2016

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $39.5800 (1.43%) ($38.9374 - $39.6638) on Thu. Jul. 28, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.26% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $39.5800(1.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(55%)    IVE(54%)    IWD(53%)    SDY(53%)    IVW(52%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    UUP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.63% (StdDev 1.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $34.47(-12.91%)
Resistance Level   $40.13
5 Day Moving Average   $39.19(1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.3(0.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.13(-1.37%)
To recent high   -9.4%
To recent low   2.3%
Market Cap   $22.702b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 2.57% (three month std-dev: 1.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.36%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.07%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 4.51%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -1.88%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 8.17%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.21%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160828

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_28_2016	42.12	40.13	39.3	39.19	39.13	39.16	39.58(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	0	13	-89	4.61	40%	-0.09	-30.7	1.26%	0	-0.5	27	INF
2	Jul_27_2016	42.16	40.16	39.34	39.01	39.05	39.06	39.02(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-34	0	-4	-125	4.11	41%	-0.09	-41.8	1.24%	0	-1.1	28	INF
3	Jul_26_2016	42.2	40.2	39.44	39.08	39.03	39.1	39.1(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-31	10	1	-128	3.17	43%	-0.07	-50.6	1.27%	0	-1.1	33	INF
4	Jul_25_2016	42.23	40.23	39.57	39.11	39.07	39.03	39.04(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-10	-5	-133	2.22	43%	-0.09	-60.7	1.3%	0	-1.2	32	INF
5	Jul_22_2016	42.27	40.31	39.84	39.25	39.14	38.97	39.23(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-46	-40	-18	-131	3.99	43%	-0.09	-63.1	1.3%	0	-1.1	28	INF

6	Jul_21_2016	42.31	40.45	40.09	39.44	39.38	39.1	38.69(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-49	-50	-26	-118	4.22	41%	-0.09	-50.8	1.29%	0	-1.8	34	INF
7	Jul_20_2016	42.35	40.6	40.36	39.71	39.69	39.31	39.34(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-70	-25	-92	3.02	43%	-0.09	-42.3	1.27%	0	-1.4	47	INF
8	Jul_19_2016	42.39	40.71	40.54	39.85	39.93	39.65	39.24(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-41	-40	-31	-72	3.97	43%	-0.05	-36.5	1.27%	0	-1.7	51	INF
9	Jul_18_2016	42.41	40.84	40.73	40.1	40.14	40.07	39.74(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-10	-26	-39	2.57	43%	-0.05	-25.7	1.27%	0	-1.3	55	INF
10	Jul_15_2016	42.43	40.91	40.94	40.54	40.29	40.07	40.17(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-16	-30	-23	5	4.66	43%	-0.02	-12.8	1.26%	0	-0.9	50	INF

11	Jul_14_2016	42.44	40.96	41.04	40.86	40.75	40.21	40.04(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-16	-100	-26	15	3.37	43%	-0.02	-6.8	1.26%	0	-1.2	39	INF
12	Jul_13_2016	42.45	40.99	41.07	41.13	41.11	40.38	40.04(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-36	-130	-50	8	4.24	43%	-0.02	-8.6	1.26%	0	-1.3	43	INF
13	Jul_12_2016	42.46	41.04	41.05	41.32	41.37	41.3	40.49(-3.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-18	-10	-27	10	8.08	40%	-0.02	-10.3	1.26%	0	-0.8	45	INF
14	Jul_11_2016	42.47	41.06	40.98	41.43	41.4	41.85	41.94(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	70	21	14	4.01	43%	0.02	-17.1	1.26%	0	1.2	51	INF
15	Jul_8_2016	42.46	41.06	40.98	41.42	41.22	41.44	41.82(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	20	27	8	2.54	43%	0.02	-28	1.26%	0	1.2	54	INF

16	Jul_7_2016	42.45	41.01	40.82	41.26	41.15	40.96	41.35(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-40	12	4	2.55	43%	0	-40.9	1.25%	0	0.5	53	INF
17	Jul_6_2016	42.45	41.06	40.83	41.02	41	40.99	41(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-1	-0	1	-6	2.87	43%	0.02	-47.3	1.25%	0	-0.1	53	INF
18	Jul_5_2016	42.44	41.12	40.88	40.74	40.82	41.35	41.03(-2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	26	100	36	-4	1.87	43%	0.05	-56.9	1.25%	0	-0.1	51	INF
19	Jul_1_2016	42.42	41.18	40.93	40.43	40.41	41	41.88(2.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	35	100	49	-9	2.67	42%	0.07	-62.5	1.28%	0	0.8	58	INF
20	Jun_30_2016	42.39	41.21	40.84	40.14	39.97	40.3	41.04(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	50	11	-45	2.71	39%	0.05	-66.1	1.24%	0	-0.2	49	INF

21	Jun_29_2016	42.37	41.3	40.83	40.36	39.96	39.81	40.17(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-60	-17	-54	2.46	35%	0.02	-56.2	1.21%	0	-1.1	37	INF
22	Jun_28_2016	42.36	41.43	40.89	40.64	40.47	39.64	39.58(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-54	-160	-49	-70	3.1	32%	-0.02	-47.3	1.2%	0	-1.9	28	INF
23	Jun_27_2016	42.37	41.58	41.04	41.04	40.98	40.12	39.48(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-77	-150	-79	-71	3.2	32%	0	-34.7	1.2%	0	-2.3	30	INF
24	Jun_24_2016	42.37	41.74	41.18	41.47	41.47	41.3	40.45(-3.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-38	-30	-36	-44	3.88	35%	0	-19.6	1.18%	0	-1.6	34	INF
25	Jun_23_2016	42.37	41.85	41.26	41.6	41.77	41.85	42.13(1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	14	30	28	-30	1.66	40%		-7.3	1.08%	0	0.4	41	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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