Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $41.8759 (2.03%) ($40.7108 - $41.9868) on Fri. Jul. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $41.8759(2.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(55%)    IVE(54%)    IWD(53%)    SDY(53%)    IVW(52%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-12%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $36.82(-12.07%)
5 Day Moving Average   $40.43(3.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.93(2.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.18(1.69%)
To recent high   -6.8%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $24.019b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 2.16% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.99%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.15%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 4.42%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.67%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 4.49%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.42%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160801

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_1_2016	42.42	41.18	40.93	40.43	40.41	41	41.88(2.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	35	100	49	-9	2.67	42%	0.07	-62.5	1.28%	0	0.8	58	0
2	Jun_30_2016	42.39	41.21	40.84	40.14	39.97	40.3	41.04(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	50	11	-45	2.71	39%	0.05	-66.1	1.24%	0	-0.2	49	0
3	Jun_29_2016	42.37	41.3	40.83	40.36	39.96	39.81	40.17(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-60	-17	-54	2.46	35%	0.02	-56.2	1.21%	0	-1.1	37	0
4	Jun_28_2016	42.36	41.43	40.89	40.64	40.47	39.64	39.58(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-54	-160	-49	-70	3.1	32%	-0.02	-47.3	1.2%	0	-1.9	28	0
5	Jun_27_2016	42.37	41.58	41.04	41.04	40.98	40.12	39.48(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-77	-150	-79	-71	3.2	32%	0	-34.7	1.2%	0	-2.3	30	0

6	Jun_24_2016	42.37	41.74	41.18	41.47	41.47	41.3	40.45(-3.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-38	-30	-36	-44	3.88	35%	0	-19.6	1.18%	0	-1.6	34	0
7	Jun_23_2016	42.37	41.85	41.26	41.6	41.77	41.85	42.13(1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	14	30	28	-30	1.66	40%	0.14	-7.3	1.08%	0	0.4	41	0
8	Jun_22_2016	42.31	41.87	41.23	41.37	41.5	41.64	41.56(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	30	13	-69	1.38	37%	0.14	-12.8	1.06%	0	-0.4	32	0
9	Jun_21_2016	42.25	41.87	41.31	41.19	41.26	41.69	41.57(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	80	27	-80	1.82	37%	0.12	-17.3	1.08%	0	-0.4	36	0
10	Jun_20_2016	42.2	41.87	41.37	41.05	41.05	41.37	41.64(1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	8	50	40	-87	2.59	37%	0.09	-26.5	1.11%	0	-0.3	39	0

11	Jun_17_2016	42.16	41.9	41.43	40.86	40.8	40.83	41.12(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-27	0	4	-121	3.77	41%	0.12	-37	1.09%	0	-1	33	0
12	Jun_16_2016	42.11	41.91	41.58	40.88	40.78	40.74	40.96(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	-10	-13	-119	2.07	41%	0.14	-43.1	1.17%	0	-1.2	31	0
13	Jun_15_2016	42.05	41.96	41.78	41.07	40.94	40.76	40.65(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-47	-40	-27	-108	1.79	41%	0.14	-43.1	1.17%	0	-1.8	28	0
14	Jun_14_2016	41.99	42.03	41.99	41.45	41.29	40.82	40.91(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-47	-90	-35	-82	2.03	41%	0.19	-41.4	1.17%	0	-1.7	35	0
15	Jun_13_2016	41.91	42.1	42.17	41.72	41.72	41.12	40.66(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-54	-100	-52	-61	2.98	41%	0.14	-35.9	1.16%	0	-2.4	45	0

16	Jun_10_2016	41.85	42.18	42.37	42.07	42.08	41.77	41.21(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-37	-50	-42	-23	2.11	43%	0.19	-32.2	1.15%	0	-1.9	51	0
17	Jun_9_2016	41.77	42.24	42.52	42.37	42.28	42.33	41.93(-1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-5	0	-15	26	2.42	46%	0.19	-26.6	1.14%	0	-0.7	65	0
18	Jun_8_2016	41.69	42.28	42.58	42.58	42.42	42.39	42.52(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-20	3	55	2.33	49%	0.24	-7.2	1.13%	0	0.5	58	0
19	Jun_7_2016	41.59	42.3	42.56	42.63	42.5	42.23	42.29(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	5	-50	-13	59	2.02	49%	0	-1.7	1.13%	0	-0	58	0
20	Jun_6_2016	41.59	42.32	42.49	42.68	42.55	42.44	42.38(-0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-0	-30	-18	53	3.46	49%	0.22	-5.7	1.13%	0	0.1	51	0

21	Jun_3_2016	41.5	42.35	42.41	42.71	42.66	42.76	42.72(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	10	7	60	2.25	49%	0.17	-6.3	1.14%	0	0.7	58	0
22	Jun_2_2016	41.43	42.36	42.27	42.69	42.62	42.65	43(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	0	9	48	1.46	49%	0.19	-13.1	1.15%	0	1.2	58	0
23	Jun_1_2016	41.35	42.36	42.16	42.59	42.57	42.56	42.75(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-0	4	30	2.32	55%	0.17	-33.6	1.15%	0	0.8	47	0
24	May_31_2016	41.28	42.31	42.06	42.49	42.53	42.56	42.56(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	10	13	11	2.58	49%	0.32	-39.1	1.16%	0	0.5	41	0
25	May_27_2016	41.15	42.35	42.02	42.27	42.38	42.58	42.53(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	12	40	18	-5	2.13	55%		-35.4	1.21%	0	0.3	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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