Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $42.9854 (-0.13%) ($42.8302 - $43.2998) on Fri. May. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $42.9854(-0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(55%)    IVE(54%)    IWD(53%)    SDY(53%)    IVW(52%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-12%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.9(0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.04(-0.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.6(0.9%)
To recent high   -6.2%
To recent low   11.4%
Market Cap   $24.655b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 1.55% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.83%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.42%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.32%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160606

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_6_2016	40.4	42.6	43.04	42.9	42.75	42.87	42.99(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	10	8	46	2.09	58%	0.17	-11	1.29%	0	0.6	60	0
2	May_5_2016	40.33	42.61	42.97	42.96	42.81	42.56	43.04(2.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-50	-11	44	3.8	58%	0.17	-20	1.3%	0	0.7	60	0
3	May_4_2016	40.26	42.6	42.87	43.09	42.95	42.64	42.13(-1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-18	-60	-38	42	2.92	68%	0.15	-28.7	1.28%	0	-0.7	53	0
4	May_3_2016	40.2	42.66	42.88	43.44	43.3	43.07	42.87(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	7	-50	-9	55	2.51	71%	0.15	-25.2	1.75%	0	0.3	62	0
5	May_2_2016	40.14	42.66	42.8	43.46	43.43	43.27	43.48(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	19	-30	3	65	3.35	65%	0.2	-33.1	1.75%	0	1.1	75	0

6	Apr_29_2016	40.06	42.68	42.65	43.19	43.26	43.53	43.26(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	50	8	47	3.9	68%	0.18	-42.6	1.79%	0	0.7	49	0
7	Apr_28_2016	39.99	42.75	42.53	42.98	42.98	43.59	43.71(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	100	33	39	4.73	70%	0.2	-43.6	1.82%	0	1	51	0
8	Apr_27_2016	39.91	42.79	42.35	42.61	42.53	42.99	43.86(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	27	70	30	16	5.02	70%	0.18	-49.8	1.85%	0	1	56	0
9	Apr_26_2016	39.84	42.83	42.16	42.25	42.26	42.37	42.98(1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	8	20	15	-14	2.47	71%	0.15	-55.6	1.84%	0	0.1	44	0
10	Apr_25_2016	39.78	42.92	42.02	42.06	42.14	42.07	42.16(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-10	-1	-41	1.81	65%	0.15	-60.8	1.87%	0	-0.6	32	0

11	Apr_22_2016	39.72	43.04	42.1	42.03	42.13	42.15	42.19(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	10	-1	-45	1.72	67%	0.15	-63.9	1.92%	0	-0.7	32	0
12	Apr_21_2016	39.66	43.17	42.2	42.01	42.14	42.21	41.87(-0.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-12	20	3	-55	1.42	68%	0.15	-62.9	1.93%	0	-1.1	19	0
13	Apr_20_2016	39.6	43.32	42.3	42.01	42.06	42.1	42.08(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	10	0	-70	1.66	68%	0.13	-57.7	1.93%	0	-1	19	0
14	Apr_19_2016	39.55	43.46	42.42	42.04	42.07	42.08	42.01(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-17	0	4	-79	2.03	64%	0.13	-52.3	1.94%	0	-1.2	19	0
15	Apr_18_2016	39.5	43.65	42.56	41.97	42	42.02	42(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-28	10	-5	-95	2.05	64%	0.15	-43.3	1.97%	0	-1.3	19	0

16	Apr_15_2016	39.44	43.8	42.71	42.19	41.92	42.06	42.08(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	0	-9	-96	1.93	60%	0.05	-32.9	1.98%	0	-1.4	27	0
17	Apr_14_2016	39.42	43.95	42.98	42.44	42.25	41.99	42.04(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-60	-3	-82	2.27	60%	0.15	-22.5	2.06%	0	-1.6	25	0
18	Apr_13_2016	39.36	44.04	43.27	42.61	42.56	41.77	42.09(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-130	-28	-87	3.5	58%	0.15	-18.3	2.06%	0	-1.8	26	0
19	Apr_12_2016	39.3	44.11	43.56	42.85	42.86	42.5	41.65(-3.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-47	-60	-35	-82	7.92	58%	0.15	-11.5	2.07%	0	-2.4	20	0
20	Apr_11_2016	39.24	44.21	43.91	43.22	43.27	43.36	43.12(-0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-16	20	-1	-62	3.8	62%	0.18	1	2.02%	0	-1.2	21	0

21	Apr_8_2016	39.17	44.21	44.05	43.3	43.44	43.22	43.29(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-23	-30	-9	-66	2.46	62%	0.2	6.4	2.02%	0	-1	35	0
22	Apr_7_2016	39.09	44.22	44.22	43.63	43.63	43.18	42.91(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-70	-26	-62	3.05	59%	0.18	16.7	2.03%	0	-1.5	32	0
23	Apr_6_2016	39.02	44.25	44.42	44.05	43.98	43.66	43.27(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-28	-60	-24	-39	3.88	59%	0.21	32.8	2.04%	0	-1.1	52	0
24	Apr_5_2016	38.94	44.23	44.6	44.39	44.4	44.07	43.52(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-50	-16	-14	3.67	59%	0.23	41.8	2.04%	0	-0.8	57	0
25	Apr_4_2016	38.85	44.2	44.83	44.69	44.66	44.31	43.51(-3.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-10	-60	-17	13	3.38	58%		52.7	2.05%	0	-0.7	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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