Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $42.0871 (1.06%) ($41.4257 - $42.2524) on Wed. Apr. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.06% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $42.0871(1.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST declines -2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(55%)    IVE(54%)    IWD(53%)    SDY(53%)    IVW(52%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -1.03% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-12%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.03% (StdDev 2.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

Resistance Level   $44.04
5 Day Moving Average   $42.61(-1.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.27(-2.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.04(-4.43%)
To recent high   -8.1%
To recent low   26.4%
Market Cap   $24.14b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 2.52% (three month std-dev: 2.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 2.94%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 3.51%(83%) Average negative next three day return: -0.94%(17%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 4.85%(83%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.24%(17%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160513

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_13_2016	39.36	44.04	43.27	42.61	42.56	41.77	42.09(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-130	-28	-87	3.5	58%	0.15	-18.3	2.06%	0	-1.8	26	INF
2	Apr_12_2016	39.3	44.11	43.56	42.85	42.86	42.5	41.65(-3.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-47	-60	-35	-82	7.92	58%	0.15	-11.5	2.07%	0	-2.4	20	INF
3	Apr_11_2016	39.24	44.21	43.91	43.22	43.27	43.36	43.12(-0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-16	20	-1	-62	3.8	62%	0.18	1	2.02%	0	-1.2	21	INF
4	Apr_8_2016	39.17	44.21	44.05	43.3	43.44	43.22	43.29(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-23	-30	-9	-66	2.46	62%	0.2	6.4	2.02%	0	-1	35	INF
5	Apr_7_2016	39.09	44.22	44.22	43.63	43.63	43.18	42.91(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-70	-26	-62	3.05	59%	0.18	16.7	2.03%	0	-1.5	32	INF

6	Apr_6_2016	39.02	44.25	44.42	44.05	43.98	43.66	43.27(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-28	-60	-24	-39	3.88	59%	0.21	32.8	2.04%	0	-1.1	52	INF
7	Apr_5_2016	38.94	44.23	44.6	44.39	44.4	44.07	43.52(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-50	-16	-14	3.67	59%	0.23	41.8	2.04%	0	-0.8	57	INF
8	Apr_4_2016	38.85	44.2	44.83	44.69	44.66	44.31	43.51(-3.19%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-10	-60	-17	13	3.38	58%	0.23	52.7	2.05%	0	-0.7	57	INF
9	Apr_1_2016	38.76	44.16	44.83	44.69	44.79	44.73	44.94(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-20	-8	37	3.28	61%	0.26	60.2	2.01%	0	0.8	72	INF
10	Mar_31_2016	38.66	44.07	45	44.89	44.85	45.01	45.01(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	20	5	54	2.17	59%	0.23	68.6	2.03%	0	0.9	70	INF

11	Mar_30_2016	38.57	43.96	44.87	44.89	44.81	44.84	44.94(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	0	4	56	2.49	59%	0.21	76.2	2.04%	0	0.9	70	INF
12	Mar_29_2016	38.49	43.85	44.71	44.86	44.77	44.69	45.03(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	-20	-8	55	1.91	59%	0.23	86.5	2.04%	0	1.1	74	INF
13	Mar_28_2016	38.4	43.69	44.53	45.01	44.93	44.78	44.55(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-30	-6	67	1.94	59%	0.21	85.8	2.04%	0	0.8	73	INF
14	Mar_24_2016	38.32	43.54	44.39	45.11	45.09	44.85	44.92(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-40	-7	76	1.93	59%	0.21	83	2.04%	0	1.1	79	INF
15	Mar_23_2016	38.24	43.37	44.22	45.12	45.14	45.08	44.85(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10	2	82	2.13	61%	0.24	81.8	2.04%	0	1.1	66	INF

16	Mar_22_2016	38.15	43.17	44.06	44.86	44.99	45.33	44.94(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	60	18	83	3.03	63%	0.21	75.2	2.06%	0	1.3	70	INF
17	Mar_21_2016	38.07	42.97	43.84	44.52	44.45	45.2	45.81(1.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	46	110	35	77	2.52	63%	0.29	74	2.07%	0	2.2	77	INF
18	Mar_18_2016	37.96	42.75	43.5	43.98	43.77	44.65	45.05(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	46	130	39	65	3.62	61%	0.26	78.3	2.07%	0	2	80	INF
19	Mar_17_2016	37.86	42.55	43.23	43.58	43.29	43.7	44.95(3.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	37	50	31	53	3.28	61%	0.24	85.4	2.1%	0	2.3	80	INF
20	Mar_16_2016	37.77	42.34	43.03	43.22	43	42.9	43.56(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	13	-30	3	41	3.13	59%	0.24	95.9	2.07%	0	1.3	76	INF

21	Mar_15_2016	37.68	42.2	42.95	43.14	42.99	42.87	43.22(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-30	-5	47	2.57	59%	0.24	94.5	2.07%	0	1	78	INF
22	Mar_14_2016	37.59	42.05	42.91	43.05	43.07	42.87	43.12(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	18	10	4	61	1.46	59%	0.21	94	2.07%	0	1.1	77	INF
23	Mar_11_2016	37.51	41.88	42.77	42.94	42.94	43.11	43.04(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	30	7	58	2.26	57%	0.24	82.6	2.08%	0	1.1	63	INF
24	Mar_10_2016	37.42	41.67	42.63	42.94	42.77	43.04	43.16(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	22	40	10	59	2.71	57%	0.27	64	2.09%	0	1.2	69	INF
25	Mar_9_2016	37.32	41.45	42.46	42.82	42.54	42.78	43.16(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	20	9	64	2.35	57%		69.5	2.09%	0	1.3	70	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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