Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $42.4545 (-1.66%) ($41.0675 - $42.8127) on Fri. Mar. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.11% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $42.4545(-1.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(55%)    IVE(54%)    IWD(53%)    SDY(53%)    IVW(52%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -1.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-13%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.055% (StdDev 2.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.57(-0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.96(1.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.01(3.52%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   27.5%
Market Cap   $24.351b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 3.07% (three month std-dev: 2.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 7.28%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.82%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 7.46%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -0.49%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 8.81%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.38%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160404

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2016	37.04	41.01	41.96	42.57	42.56	42.51	42.45(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-10	-1	73	4.03	58%	0.24	105.5	2.11%	0	1.1	75	0
2	Mar_3_2016	36.95	40.88	41.82	42.38	42.43	42.81	43.17(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	36	70	18	91	2.3	57%	0.24	119.6	2.1%	0	1.9	86	0
3	Mar_2_2016	36.86	40.55	41.59	42.03	42.09	42.6	42.71(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	90	27	95	3.29	55%	0.24	101.1	2.12%	0	1.5	81	0
4	Mar_1_2016	36.77	40.22	41.39	41.66	41.67	42.05	42.9(3.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	60	27	89	4.52	55%	0.22	85.7	2.13%	0	1.6	70	0
5	Feb_29_2016	36.69	39.94	41.11	41.26	41.21	41.58	41.6(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	60	8	69	3.91	53%	0.19	90.6	2.09%	0	1	61	0

6	Feb_26_2016	36.62	39.72	40.91	41.28	41.21	41.3	41.54(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	20	14	72	2.17	53%	0.16	97.4	2.09%	0	1.1	63	0
7	Feb_25_2016	36.56	39.46	40.63	41.17	41.1	40.83	41.4(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-50	2	56	1.77	53%	0.19	97.4	2.1%	0	1.1	60	0
8	Feb_24_2016	36.49	39.15	40.38	41.08	41.02	40.9	40.87(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-20	-12	64	2.27	53%	0.22	92.2	2.1%	0	0.9	76	0
9	Feb_23_2016	36.41	38.85	40.27	41.06	41.1	41.37	40.91(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	50	11	101	2.22	53%	0.22	88.4	2.1%	0	1	77	0
10	Feb_22_2016	36.33	38.49	40.18	40.91	40.96	41.15	41.66(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	40	23	123	2.3	53%	0.25	77.7	2.08%	0	1.3	71	0

11	Feb_19_2016	36.24	38.14	39.98	40.48	40.58	40.83	41.01(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	50	19	123	2.46	53%	0.28	70.4	2.08%	0	1.2	69	0
12	Feb_18_2016	36.14	37.79	39.86	39.99	40.19	40.78	40.93(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	57	120	30	136	2.29	55%	0.22	60.5	2.08%	0	1.3	72	0
13	Feb_17_2016	36.06	37.41	39.43	39.57	39.57	40.33	40.8(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	130	26	130	3.28	55%	0.22	49.7	2.09%	0	1.4	75	0
14	Feb_16_2016	35.98	37.04	38.96	39.57	39.29	39.6	40.12(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	50	19	132	2.6	55%	0.28	44.4	2.09%	0	1.3	75	0
15	Feb_12_2016	35.88	36.75	38.67	39.38	39.27	38.8	39.53(2.45%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	33	-90	-7	154	2.16	52%	0.2	43.8	2.07%	0	1.2	77	0

16	Feb_11_2016	35.81	36.55	38.44	39.42	39.43	38.97	38.59(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	19	-80	-30	167	4.3	50%	0.17	46.8	2.12%	0	0.9	68	0
17	Feb_10_2016	35.75	36.38	38.21	39.7	39.76	39.74	38.83(-2.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	62	0	9	219	4.37	50%	0.17	49.8	2.12%	0	1.1	71	0
18	Feb_9_2016	35.69	36.22	37.85	39.21	39.69	39.88	39.83(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	84	70	35	229	5.58	52%	0.17	45	2.09%	0	1.6	77	0
19	Feb_8_2016	35.63	35.98	37.34	38.43	38.77	39.78	40.1(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	77	210	34	206	6.09	52%	0.2	35.3	2.1%	0	2	77	0
20	Feb_5_2016	35.56	35.73	36.68	37.84	37.89	39.5	39.74(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	94	300	61	191	4.89	54%	0.14	26.3	2.09%	0	2.3	70	0

21	Feb_4_2016	35.51	35.49	36.15	37.35	37.41	37.76	39.98(9.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	89	70	64	164	11.21	54%	0.14	15	2.11%	0	3	62	0
22	Feb_3_2016	35.46	35.28	35.51	36.58	36.77	36.27	36.4(1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	21	-80	-10	113	3.9	46%	0.03	-5.3	1.71%	0	1	54	0
23	Feb_2_2016	35.45	35.26	35.21	36.28	36.59	37.05	35.94(-3.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	26	110	8	81	2.88	49%	0.06	-18.4	1.71%	0	0.6	49	0
24	Feb_1_2016	35.43	35.28	34.97	36.02	36.24	37.27	37.15(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	74	220	73	76	4.49	51%	0.06	-28.9	1.69%	0	1.6	57	0
25	Jan_29_2016	35.41	35.26	34.67	35.31	35.37	36.14	37.26(3.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	48	160	57	20	3.93	51%		-50.3	1.69%	0	1.8	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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