Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 12, 2015

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $35.2211 (-3.88%) ($35.1765 - $36.8978) on Thu. Nov. 12, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $35.2211(-3.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(55%)    IVE(54%)    SDY(54%)    IWD(53%)    IVW(52%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-14%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    UUP(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.4%

Resistance Level   $35.68
5 Day Moving Average   $36.63(-3.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.66(-3.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.68(-1.29%)
To recent high   -6.3%
To recent low   9.7%
Market Cap   $20.202b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 3.62% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.33%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.61%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 8.09%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 14.39%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.61%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_12_2015	35.67	35.68	36.66	36.63	36.68	36.36	35.22(-3.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-15	-60	-35	45	5.98	54%	-0.08	39.2	1.74%	0	-0.4	53	INF
2	Nov_11_2015	35.7	35.65	36.73	36.63	37.05	36.84	36.64(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-40	-6	94	2.07	56%	-0.06	46.2	1.68%	0	0.8	70	INF
3	Nov_10_2015	35.72	35.54	36.63	37.1	37.15	36.99	36.87(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-30	-8	114	1.86	57%	-0.08	46.1	1.7%	0	1	80	INF
4	Nov_9_2015	35.75	35.41	36.45	37.11	37.14	37.26	36.98(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	30	1	134	2.69	57%	-0.03	51.5	1.71%	0	1.2	79	INF
5	Nov_6_2015	35.76	35.3	36.26	37.05	37.08	37.31	37.44(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	59	50	25	160	2.71	55%	-0.06	59.8	1.7%	0	1.8	84	INF

6	Nov_5_2015	35.78	35.18	36.05	36.7	36.78	37.02	37.57(2.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	57	50	24	155	3.53	55%	-0.03	68.2	1.71%	0	2.1	79	INF
7	Nov_4_2015	35.79	35.05	35.76	36.31	36.4	36.84	36.65(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	90	22	141	2.54	53%	-0.03	81.2	1.69%	0	1.6	67	INF
8	Nov_3_2015	35.8	34.94	35.45	36.09	36.06	36.53	36.93(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	60	90	37	129	2.27	53%	-0.03	84.4	1.69%	0	2.1	71	INF
9	Nov_2_2015	35.81	34.76	35.11	35.68	35.69	35.96	36.68(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	45	50	28	97	3.98	53%	-0.03	81.6	1.69%	0	2.2	69	INF
10	Oct_30_2015	35.82	34.59	34.79	35.36	35.32	35.6	35.69(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	50	10	59	2.48	53%	-0.06	76.4	1.68%	0	1.2	53	INF

11	Oct_29_2015	35.84	34.44	34.61	35.29	35.2	35.42	35.58(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	40	18	46	1.79	53%	-0.06	64.2	1.68%	0	1.2	51	INF
12	Oct_28_2015	35.86	34.27	34.49	35.14	35.1	35.04	35.56(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-20	21	31	2.47	55%	-0.06	56.4	1.69%	0	1.3	50	INF
13	Oct_27_2015	35.88	34.14	34.34	34.71	34.83	34.98	34.92(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	8	40	10	0	2.12	53%	-0.08	45.5	1.69%	0	0.8	54	INF
14	Oct_26_2015	35.91	34.05	34.28	34.43	34.51	35.15	35.07(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	24	140	32	0	2.08	53%	-0.06	36.2	1.69%	0	1.1	63	INF
15	Oct_23_2015	35.93	33.93	34.26	34.12	34.09	34.67	35.31(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	31	120	40	2	3.23	53%	-0.08	23.5	1.69%	0	1.5	66	INF

16	Oct_22_2015	35.96	33.82	34.24	33.84	33.72	33.87	34.85(4.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	20	15	1	4.07	51%	-0.08	14.1	1.68%	0	1.2	69	INF
17	Oct_21_2015	35.99	33.74	34.27	33.76	33.66	33.51	33.39(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-40	-12	17	2.24	46%	-0.14	4.3	1.6%	0	-0.4	66	INF
18	Oct_20_2015	36.04	33.72	34.38	33.93	33.87	33.57	33.52(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-70	-17	39	2.46	46%	-0.11	-1.5	1.61%	0	-0.2	55	INF
19	Oct_19_2015	36.08	33.72	34.38	34.1	34.05	33.81	33.51(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-7	-50	-26	51	2	46%	-0.08	-5.7	1.62%	0	-0.2	56	INF
20	Oct_16_2015	36.11	33.71	34.4	34.42	34.25	34.16	33.92(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-30	-19	83	3.43	46%	-0.14	-0.8	1.61%	0	0.2	61	INF

21	Oct_15_2015	36.16	33.71	34.29	34.69	34.55	34.29	34.48(0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-60	-12	98	3.96	47%	-0.11	1.1	1.61%	0	0.9	60	INF
22	Oct_14_2015	36.2	33.7	34.07	34.85	34.8	34.34	34.25(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	-100	-17	99	4.46	44%	-0.11	4.7	1.61%	0	0.6	59	INF
23	Oct_13_2015	36.24	33.73	33.96	34.89	34.85	34.82	34.33(-2.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	23	-10	-5	106	6.34	44%	-0.03	7.6	1.68%	0	0.6	61	INF
24	Oct_12_2015	36.25	33.76	33.83	34.72	34.76	35.25	35.11(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	100	32	112	3.4	46%	-0.11	2.4	1.67%	0	1.4	66	INF
25	Oct_9_2015	36.29	33.72	33.59	34.36	34.31	34.88	35.26(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	58	110	48	89	3.27	46%		-4.9	1.67%	0	1.6	61	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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