Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FAST: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $36.6518 (-0.76%) ($36.5814 - $37.2168) on Wed. Nov. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.69% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $36.6518(-0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST advances 3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(55%)    IVE(54%)    IWD(54%)    SDY(54%)    IVW(52%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-15%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    UUP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.845% (StdDev 1.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.31(0.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.76(2.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.05(4.57%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   14.1%
Market Cap   $21.022b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 2.82% (three month std-dev: 1.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.86%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1%(60%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.93%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -1.47%(52%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.6%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.03%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151204

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_4_2015	35.79	35.05	35.76	36.31	36.4	36.84	36.65(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	90	22	141	2.54	53%	-0.03	81.2	1.69%	0	1.6	67	INF
2	Nov_3_2015	35.8	34.94	35.45	36.09	36.06	36.53	36.93(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	60	90	37	129	2.27	53%	-0.03	84.4	1.69%	0	2.1	71	INF
3	Nov_2_2015	35.81	34.76	35.11	35.68	35.69	35.96	36.68(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	45	50	28	97	3.98	53%	-0.03	81.6	1.69%	0	2.2	69	INF
4	Oct_30_2015	35.82	34.59	34.79	35.36	35.32	35.6	35.69(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	50	10	59	2.48	53%	-0.06	76.4	1.68%	0	1.2	53	INF
5	Oct_29_2015	35.84	34.44	34.61	35.29	35.2	35.42	35.58(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	40	18	46	1.79	53%	-0.06	64.2	1.68%	0	1.2	51	INF

6	Oct_28_2015	35.86	34.27	34.49	35.14	35.1	35.04	35.56(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-20	21	31	2.47	55%	-0.06	56.4	1.69%	0	1.3	50	INF
7	Oct_27_2015	35.88	34.14	34.34	34.71	34.83	34.98	34.92(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	8	40	10	0	2.12	53%	-0.08	45.5	1.69%	0	0.8	54	INF
8	Oct_26_2015	35.91	34.05	34.28	34.43	34.51	35.15	35.07(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	24	140	32	0	2.08	53%	-0.06	36.2	1.69%	0	1.1	63	INF
9	Oct_23_2015	35.93	33.93	34.26	34.12	34.09	34.67	35.31(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	31	120	40	2	3.23	53%	-0.08	23.5	1.69%	0	1.5	66	INF
10	Oct_22_2015	35.96	33.82	34.24	33.84	33.72	33.87	34.85(4.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	20	15	1	4.07	51%	-0.08	14.1	1.68%	0	1.2	69	INF

11	Oct_21_2015	35.99	33.74	34.27	33.76	33.66	33.51	33.39(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-40	-12	17	2.24	46%	-0.14	4.3	1.6%	0	-0.4	66	INF
12	Oct_20_2015	36.04	33.72	34.38	33.93	33.87	33.57	33.52(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-70	-17	39	2.46	46%	-0.11	-1.5	1.61%	0	-0.2	55	INF
13	Oct_19_2015	36.08	33.72	34.38	34.1	34.05	33.81	33.51(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-7	-50	-26	51	2	46%	-0.08	-5.7	1.62%	0	-0.2	56	INF
14	Oct_16_2015	36.11	33.71	34.4	34.42	34.25	34.16	33.92(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-30	-19	83	3.43	46%	-0.14	-0.8	1.61%	0	0.2	61	INF
15	Oct_15_2015	36.16	33.71	34.29	34.69	34.55	34.29	34.48(0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-60	-12	98	3.96	47%	-0.11	1.1	1.61%	0	0.9	60	INF

16	Oct_14_2015	36.2	33.7	34.07	34.85	34.8	34.34	34.25(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	-100	-17	99	4.46	44%	-0.11	4.7	1.61%	0	0.6	59	INF
17	Oct_13_2015	36.24	33.73	33.96	34.89	34.85	34.82	34.33(-2.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	23	-10	-5	106	6.34	44%	-0.03	7.6	1.68%	0	0.6	61	INF
18	Oct_12_2015	36.25	33.76	33.83	34.72	34.76	35.25	35.11(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	100	32	112	3.4	46%	-0.11	2.4	1.67%	0	1.4	66	INF
19	Oct_9_2015	36.29	33.72	33.59	34.36	34.31	34.88	35.26(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	58	110	48	89	3.27	46%	-0.08	-4.9	1.67%	0	1.6	61	INF
20	Oct_8_2015	36.32	33.69	33.36	33.82	33.74	34.26	35.31(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	51	100	50	54	4.15	45%	-0.08	-16.7	1.67%	0	1.7	61	INF

21	Oct_7_2015	36.35	33.65	33.13	33.18	33.12	33.75	34.41(2.64%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	22	130	32	-7	4.29	44%	-0.11	-35.6	1.65%	0	0.8	44	INF
22	Oct_6_2015	36.39	33.66	32.97	32.92	32.77	33.22	33.53(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	80	27	-47	2.27	41%	-0.11	-38.3	1.63%	0	-0.1	33	INF
23	Oct_5_2015	36.43	33.73	32.92	32.82	32.72	32.48	33.3(2.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-60	10	-80	2.21	41%	-0.16	-39.6	1.62%	0	-0.4	34	INF
24	Oct_2_2015	36.49	33.77	32.94	32.7	32.68	32.32	32.55(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-80	-29	-114	4.32	38%	-0.16	-48.1	1.61%	0	-1.3	32	INF
25	Oct_1_2015	36.55	33.85	33.05	32.83	32.91	32.95	32.12(-3.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-40	20	-14	-117	4.19	38%		-53.3	1.59%	0	-1.9	24	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.