Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $34.8474 (4.36%) ($33.5809 - $34.9922) on Thu. Oct. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.68% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $34.8474(4.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(55%)    IVE(54%)    IWD(54%)    SDY(54%)    IWF(52%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.84% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-15%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    UUP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.84% (StdDev 1.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.84(2.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.24(1.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.82(3.04%)
To recent high   -8%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $19.987b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 2.63% (three month std-dev: 1.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.83%(43%) Average negative next day return: -1.37%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 5.26%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -1.68%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 9.05%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.91%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_22_2015	35.96	33.82	34.24	33.84	33.72	33.87	34.85(4.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	20	15	1	4.07	51%	-0.08	14.1	1.68%	0	1.2	69	0
2	Oct_21_2015	35.99	33.74	34.27	33.76	33.66	33.51	33.39(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-40	-12	17	2.24	46%	-0.14	4.3	1.6%	0	-0.4	66	0
3	Oct_20_2015	36.04	33.72	34.38	33.93	33.87	33.57	33.52(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-70	-17	39	2.46	46%	-0.11	-1.5	1.61%	0	-0.2	55	0
4	Oct_19_2015	36.08	33.72	34.38	34.1	34.05	33.81	33.51(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-7	-50	-26	51	2	46%	-0.08	-5.7	1.62%	0	-0.2	56	0
5	Oct_16_2015	36.11	33.71	34.4	34.42	34.25	34.16	33.92(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-30	-19	83	3.43	46%	-0.14	-0.8	1.61%	0	0.2	61	0

6	Oct_15_2015	36.16	33.71	34.29	34.69	34.55	34.29	34.48(0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-60	-12	98	3.96	47%	-0.11	1.1	1.61%	0	0.9	60	0
7	Oct_14_2015	36.2	33.7	34.07	34.85	34.8	34.34	34.25(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	-100	-17	99	4.46	44%	-0.11	4.7	1.61%	0	0.6	59	0
8	Oct_13_2015	36.24	33.73	33.96	34.89	34.85	34.82	34.33(-2.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	23	-10	-5	106	6.34	44%	-0.03	7.6	1.68%	0	0.6	61	0
9	Oct_12_2015	36.25	33.76	33.83	34.72	34.76	35.25	35.11(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	100	32	112	3.4	46%	-0.11	2.4	1.67%	0	1.4	66	0
10	Oct_9_2015	36.29	33.72	33.59	34.36	34.31	34.88	35.26(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	58	110	48	89	3.27	46%	-0.08	-4.9	1.67%	0	1.6	61	0

11	Oct_8_2015	36.32	33.69	33.36	33.82	33.74	34.26	35.31(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	51	100	50	54	4.15	45%	-0.08	-16.7	1.67%	0	1.7	61	0
12	Oct_7_2015	36.35	33.65	33.13	33.18	33.12	33.75	34.41(2.64%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	22	130	32	-7	4.29	44%	-0.11	-35.6	1.65%	0	0.8	44	0
13	Oct_6_2015	36.39	33.66	32.97	32.92	32.77	33.22	33.53(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	80	27	-47	2.27	41%	-0.11	-38.3	1.63%	0	-0.1	33	0
14	Oct_5_2015	36.43	33.73	32.92	32.82	32.72	32.48	33.3(2.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-60	10	-80	2.21	41%	-0.16	-39.6	1.62%	0	-0.4	34	0
15	Oct_2_2015	36.49	33.77	32.94	32.7	32.68	32.32	32.55(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-80	-29	-114	4.32	38%	-0.16	-48.1	1.61%	0	-1.3	32	0

16	Oct_1_2015	36.55	33.85	33.05	32.83	32.91	32.95	32.12(-3.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-40	20	-14	-117	4.19	38%	-0.19	-53.3	1.59%	0	-1.9	24	0
17	Sep_30_2015	36.62	33.98	33.31	33.04	33.05	33.04	33.12(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-20	-0	8	-102	4.08	41%	-0.14	-50.6	1.55%	0	-1	30	0
18	Sep_29_2015	36.67	34.03	33.5	33.02	32.98	32.87	33.01(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-33	-30	-8	-107	3.21	39%	-0.16	-51	1.55%	0	-1.2	32	0
19	Sep_28_2015	36.73	34.12	33.69	33.04	33.03	33.05	32.69(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	0	-11	-109	3.52	39%	-0.14	-46.6	1.56%	0	-1.8	25	0
20	Sep_25_2015	36.78	34.24	33.88	33.23	33.13	33.09	33.21(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-25	-20	-3	-89	1.59	40%	-0.14	-46.8	1.56%	0	-1.4	46	0

21	Sep_24_2015	36.83	34.34	34.05	33.31	33.26	33.01	33.18(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-60	-22	-84	1.93	40%	-0.11	-46.5	1.56%	0	-1.6	45	0
22	Sep_23_2015	36.87	34.41	34.23	33.62	33.51	33.17	32.99(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-45	-80	-36	-70	1.42	40%	-0.14	-51.5	1.56%	0	-2.1	38	0
23	Sep_22_2015	36.92	34.45	34.42	34.06	33.98	33.51	33.12(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-33	-100	-33	-34	1.85	40%	-0.16	-60.7	1.56%	0	-2.1	47	0
24	Sep_21_2015	36.98	34.5	34.63	34.43	34.41	33.84	33.64(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.4	-26	-120	-32	-8	2.01	40%	-0.14	-70.3	1.55%	0	-1.5	43	0
25	Sep_18_2015	37.03	34.59	34.67	34.62	34.69	34.45	33.64(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-25	-40	-31	-7	6.5	42%		-69.1	1.56%	0	-1.7	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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