Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $33.3005 (2.31%) ($32.6310 - $33.3683) on Mon. Oct. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.62% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $33.3005(2.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(55%)    SPY(55%)    IWD(54%)    SDY(54%)    IWF(52%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.81% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    VIXM(-15%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    UUP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.81% (StdDev 1.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $27.47(-17.51%)
Resistance Level   $33.73
5 Day Moving Average   $32.82(1.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.92(1.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.73(-1.27%)
To recent high   -13.4%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $19.1b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 2.88% (three month std-dev: 1.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.56%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.37%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.28%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -2.64%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.45%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.6%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_5_2015	36.43	33.73	32.92	32.82	32.72	32.48	33.3(2.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-60	10	-80	2.21	41%	-0.16	-39.6	1.62%	0	-0.4	34	0
2	Oct_2_2015	36.49	33.77	32.94	32.7	32.68	32.32	32.55(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-80	-29	-114	4.32	38%	-0.16	-48.1	1.61%	0	-1.3	32	0
3	Oct_1_2015	36.55	33.85	33.05	32.83	32.91	32.95	32.12(-3.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-40	20	-14	-117	4.19	38%	-0.19	-53.3	1.59%	0	-1.9	24	0
4	Sep_30_2015	36.62	33.98	33.31	33.04	33.05	33.04	33.12(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-20	-0	8	-102	4.08	41%	-0.14	-50.6	1.55%	0	-1	30	0
5	Sep_29_2015	36.67	34.03	33.5	33.02	32.98	32.87	33.01(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-33	-30	-8	-107	3.21	39%	-0.16	-51	1.55%	0	-1.2	32	0

6	Sep_28_2015	36.73	34.12	33.69	33.04	33.03	33.05	32.69(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	0	-11	-109	3.52	39%	-0.14	-46.6	1.56%	0	-1.8	25	0
7	Sep_25_2015	36.78	34.24	33.88	33.23	33.13	33.09	33.21(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-25	-20	-3	-89	1.59	40%	-0.14	-46.8	1.56%	0	-1.4	46	0
8	Sep_24_2015	36.83	34.34	34.05	33.31	33.26	33.01	33.18(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-60	-22	-84	1.93	40%	-0.11	-46.5	1.56%	0	-1.6	45	0
9	Sep_23_2015	36.87	34.41	34.23	33.62	33.51	33.17	32.99(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-45	-80	-36	-70	1.42	40%	-0.14	-51.5	1.56%	0	-2.1	38	0
10	Sep_22_2015	36.92	34.45	34.42	34.06	33.98	33.51	33.12(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-33	-100	-33	-34	1.85	40%	-0.16	-60.7	1.56%	0	-2.1	47	0

11	Sep_21_2015	36.98	34.5	34.63	34.43	34.41	33.84	33.64(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.4	-26	-120	-32	-8	2.01	40%	-0.14	-70.3	1.55%	0	-1.5	43	0
12	Sep_18_2015	37.03	34.59	34.67	34.62	34.69	34.45	33.64(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-25	-40	-31	-7	6.5	42%	-0.11	-69.1	1.56%	0	-1.7	42	0
13	Sep_17_2015	37.07	34.69	34.74	34.89	34.88	34.98	34.71(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	4	20	1	11	2.27	46%	-0.11	-62.2	1.53%	0	0	46	0
14	Sep_16_2015	37.11	34.77	34.73	34.93	34.84	34.92	35.19(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	10	9	20	2.27	46%	-0.11	-51	1.53%	0	0.6	56	0
15	Sep_15_2015	37.15	34.84	34.6	34.84	34.79	34.77	34.99(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	2	-10	-2	14	1.8	46%	-0.08	-41.7	1.53%	0	0.2	61	0

16	Sep_14_2015	37.18	34.9	34.58	34.87	34.85	34.76	34.57(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	10	-20	3	29	1.27	46%	-0.08	-38.8	1.52%	0	-0.4	56	0
17	Sep_11_2015	37.21	34.99	34.62	34.74	34.87	34.81	34.98(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-0	8	18	1.43	46%	-0.05	-39.7	1.52%	0	-0	47	0
18	Sep_10_2015	37.23	35.05	34.64	34.55	34.62	34.94	34.94(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	70	5	2	1.97	46%	-0.05	-44.3	1.52%	0	-0.1	46	0
19	Sep_9_2015	37.25	35.12	34.59	34.5	34.49	34.92	34.7(-1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	19	90	29	-13	1.99	46%	-0.08	-45.3	1.53%	0	-0.4	40	0
20	Sep_8_2015	37.28	35.18	34.48	34.33	34.37	34.31	35.14(3.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	-10	13	-64	2.75	46%	0	-55.7	1.52%	0	-0	40	0

21	Sep_4_2015	37.28	35.25	34.34	34.28	34.2	34.07	33.92(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-50	-30	-27	-117	1.96	42%	-0.08	-59.2	1.44%	0	-1.2	35	0
22	Sep_3_2015	37.31	35.37	34.49	34.49	34.45	34.44	34.05(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-10	-10	-108	2.77	42%	-0.05	-62.6	1.45%	0	-1.3	36	0
23	Sep_2_2015	37.33	35.49	34.64	34.74	34.64	34.33	34.68(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-70	-4	-99	2.27	44%	-0.08	-60.1	1.44%	0	-0.8	40	0
24	Sep_1_2015	37.36	35.6	34.8	34.69	34.73	34.46	33.88(-2.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-39	-50	-15	-111	2.69	41%	-0.05	-60.8	1.41%	0	-1.6	32	0
25	Aug_31_2015	37.38	35.78	35.09	34.61	34.79	34.94	34.87(-0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	50	12	-101	1.94	44%		-62.9	1.37%	0	-0.9	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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