Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 24, 2015

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $38.6711 (-0.45%) ($38.6127 - $38.9900) on Wed. Jun. 24, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $38.6711(-0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(56%)    IVE(55%)    XLI(53%)    IWM(51%)    VYM(51%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    VIXM(-17%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-6%)    TIP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.82(-0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.4(0.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.07(1.58%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   8.3%
Market Cap   $22.181b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 1.37% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.14%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.84%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.6%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.65%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 0.63%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.88%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150724

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_24_2015	37.56	38.07	38.4	38.82	38.85	38.86	38.67(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	22	0	1	85	1.46	61%	-0.05	35	1.15%	0	1.2	60	INF
2	Jun_23_2015	37.58	38.04	38.32	38.75	38.83	38.91	38.85(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	20	17	84	0.96	61%	-0.03	34.4	1.15%	0	1.6	56	INF
3	Jun_22_2015	37.59	38	38.18	38.56	38.63	38.83	38.95(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	40	23	68	1.35	61%	-0.03	22.2	1.15%	0	2	61	INF
4	Jun_19_2015	37.6	37.95	38.02	38.29	38.33	38.76	38.61(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	80	30	50	2.25	61%	-0.03	3.5	1.15%	0	1.5	63	INF
5	Jun_18_2015	37.61	37.93	37.91	38.12	38.01	38.44	39(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	41	70	39	45	2.18	61%	-0.03	-13	1.15%	0	2.6	69	INF

6	Jun_17_2015	37.62	37.88	37.79	37.93	37.78	37.89	38.36(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	19	10	19	19	1.82	63%	-0.05	-34.4	1.13%	0	1.4	50	INF
7	Jun_16_2015	37.64	37.87	37.79	37.83	37.74	37.58	37.87(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-0	-40	-1	2	1.14	61%	-0.08	-50.6	1.18%	0	0	44	INF
8	Jun_15_2015	37.67	37.89	37.76	37.75	37.78	37.67	37.62(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	-20	-6	-9	1.31	61%	-0.11	-53.3	1.19%	0	-0.8	45	INF
9	Jun_12_2015	37.71	37.93	37.74	37.69	37.75	37.9	37.76(-0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	30	4	-18	1.16	61%	-0.08	-57.6	1.19%	0	-0.5	46	INF
10	Jun_11_2015	37.74	37.98	37.7	37.66	37.66	37.89	38.04(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	4	40	15	-28	1.53	61%	-0.08	-40	1.19%	0	0.2	45	INF

11	Jun_10_2015	37.77	38	37.71	37.62	37.6	37.61	37.89(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	0	4	-36	1.48	61%	-0.08	-29.7	1.2%	0	-0.3	45	INF
12	Jun_9_2015	37.8	38.04	37.74	37.69	37.63	37.43	37.44(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-40	-14	-38	1.56	61%	0	-12.1	1.19%	0	-1.4	40	INF
13	Jun_8_2015	37.8	38.08	37.8	37.77	37.79	37.58	37.3(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-19	-40	-13	-36	1.09	61%	-0.08	-14.8	1.19%	0	-1.9	36	INF
14	Jun_5_2015	37.83	38.13	37.89	37.8	37.82	37.84	37.63(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	10	-3	-34	1	64%	-0.03	-15	1.19%	0	-1.3	38	INF
15	Jun_4_2015	37.84	38.15	37.96	37.73	37.79	38	37.86(-0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	40	6	-42	1.49	57%	-0.05	-27.8	1.21%	0	-0.8	35	INF

16	Jun_3_2015	37.86	38.13	37.96	37.8	37.74	37.8	38.21(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-5	10	6	-39	1.79	57%	-0.08	-35.3	1.27%	0	0.2	46	INF
17	Jun_2_2015	37.89	38.09	37.99	37.82	37.79	37.59	37.84(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-40	-8	-49	1.37	57%	-0.08	-42.7	1.27%	0	-0.6	38	INF
18	Jun_1_2015	37.92	38.14	38.04	37.86	37.93	37.67	37.44(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-28	-40	-20	-50	1.4	57%	-0.08	-31.3	1.26%	0	-1.6	42	INF
19	May_29_2015	37.95	38.19	38.14	37.99	38.04	37.98	37.29(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-25	-10	-20	-41	2.36	57%	-0.11	-12.7	1.27%	0	-2.1	37	INF
20	May_28_2015	37.99	38.25	38.3	38.2	38.16	38.19	38.23(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	0	2	-5	1.49	63%	-0.05	10.6	1.24%	0	-0.1	59	INF

21	May_27_2015	38.01	38.25	38.33	38.21	38.18	38.11	38.29(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1	-20	-0	5	1.08	59%	-0.08	29.3	1.25%	0	0.1	64	INF
22	May_26_2015	38.04	38.27	38.36	38.19	38.21	38.12	38.06(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10	-8	15	1.85	59%	-0.18	46.5	1.27%	0	-0.6	62	INF
23	May_22_2015	38.11	38.28	38.37	38.24	38.24	38.26	38.09(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	0	-5	13	1	59%	0	66.4	1.25%	0	-0.5	43	INF
24	May_21_2015	38.11	38.25	38.41	38.31	38.27	38.3	38.35(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	0	-4	18	1.14	59%	-0.1	79.1	1.26%	0	0.2	48	INF
25	May_20_2015	38.15	38.21	38.35	38.42	38.36	38.22	38.24(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-30	-5	19	0.93	59%		86.7	1.27%	0	0.1	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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