Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $37.2982 (4.44%) ($35.9819 - $37.4811) on Tue. Apr. 14, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.59% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $37.2982(4.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(56%)    IVE(55%)    XLI(52%)    IWM(51%)    VYM(51%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.795% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    VIXM(-17%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-6%)    TIP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.795% (StdDev 1.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.17(3.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.39(2.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.95(0.94%)
To recent high   -9.5%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $21.393b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 2.08% (three month std-dev: 1.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150514

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_14_2015	38.99	36.95	36.39	36.17	36.17	36.38	37.3(4.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	13	40	31	-42	9.57	44%	-0.08	-13.9	1.59%	0	0.5	42	0
2	Apr_13_2015	39.02	36.93	36.37	35.91	35.94	35.81	35.71(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-20	-14	-83	4.51	36%	-0.13	-20.9	1.5%	0	-1.6	25	0
3	Apr_10_2015	39.07	36.97	36.47	36.11	36.04	35.96	35.71(-0.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-31	-20	-14	-83	4.11	36%	-0.1	-13.3	1.49%	0	-1.8	24	0
4	Apr_9_2015	39.11	37.03	36.61	36.3	36.24	36.06	36.04(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-40	-11	-80	2.41	36%	-0.1	-4.5	1.5%	0	-1.5	25	0
5	Apr_8_2015	39.15	37.04	36.74	36.45	36.42	36.13	36.11(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-60	-19	-83	2.17	40%	-0.08	5.6	1.51%	0	-1.4	23	0

6	Apr_7_2015	39.18	37.06	36.91	36.62	36.6	36.42	36(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-36	-40	-23	-76	3.45	40%	-0.1	10.3	1.54%	0	-1.6	26	0
7	Apr_6_2015	39.22	37.09	37.08	36.88	36.83	36.7	36.7(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-30	-6	-49	2.6	41%	-0.08	18.6	1.52%	0	-0.6	50	0
8	Apr_2_2015	39.25	37.07	37.19	36.89	36.95	36.79	36.63(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-30	-8	-38	2.04	39%	-0.08	12	1.54%	0	-0.7	55	0
9	Apr_1_2015	39.28	37.06	37.31	36.96	36.97	36.96	36.8(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-0	-11	-23	2.05	39%	-0.08	5.2	1.54%	0	-0.4	55	0
10	Mar_31_2015	39.31	37	37.45	37.08	37.05	37.12	36.98(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	10	-4	7	1.71	39%	-0.05	-4.6	1.55%	0	-0	62	0

11	Mar_30_2015	39.33	36.99	37.56	37.25	37.2	36.98	37.3(1.53%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-50	-6	32	1.58	39%	-0.08	-4.1	1.55%	0	0.4	63	0
12	Mar_27_2015	39.36	36.97	37.53	37.33	37.37	36.97	36.74(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-11	-70	-26	35	1.78	39%	-0.08	-5.1	1.53%	0	-0.3	55	0
13	Mar_26_2015	39.39	36.99	37.52	37.53	37.59	37.42	37(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-30	-22	52	2.23	39%	-0.05	-4	1.54%	0	0	61	0
14	Mar_25_2015	39.41	37.02	37.49	37.71	37.8	37.77	37.38(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	0	-7	73	3.09	39%	-0.05	-1	1.54%	0	0.5	64	0
15	Mar_24_2015	39.43	37.04	37.38	37.88	37.87	37.76	37.83(0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-20	-5	92	2.87	39%	-0.05	2	1.54%	0	1	76	0

16	Mar_23_2015	39.45	37.02	37.22	37.91	37.92	37.84	37.68(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	24	-10	1	94	4.73	39%	-0.03	0.5	1.54%	0	0.9	58	0
17	Mar_20_2015	39.46	37.01	37.1	37.76	37.88	37.99	37.75(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	33	30	15	87	5.41	39%	-0.03	-6.6	1.54%	0	0.9	55	0
18	Mar_19_2015	39.47	37.02	36.95	37.5	37.56	38.01	37.9(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	90	24	68	2.53	41%	0	-13.1	1.55%	0	1.1	55	0
19	Mar_18_2015	39.47	37.02	36.78	37.24	37.18	37.77	38.24(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	45	110	44	47	4.57	45%	0	-17.8	1.56%	0	1.4	52	0
20	Mar_17_2015	39.47	37.03	36.5	36.8	36.78	37.12	38.01(2.99%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	26	60	35	-3	7.98	45%	0	-30	1.6%	0	1.2	48	0

21	Mar_16_2015	39.47	37.02	36.35	36.45	36.45	36.59	36.91(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	30	11	-43	2.12	41%	-0.03	-40.6	1.55%	0	-0.1	42	0
22	Mar_13_2015	39.48	37.06	36.34	36.36	36.32	36.44	36.44(-0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	20	7	-58	2.48	41%	-0.03	-42.4	1.53%	0	-0.7	37	0
23	Mar_12_2015	39.49	37.13	36.4	36.31	36.28	36.31	36.59(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	0	7	-72	3.5	39%	0	-43.2	1.54%	0	-0.6	34	0
24	Mar_11_2015	39.49	37.18	36.49	36.24	36.19	36.21	36.07(-0.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-18	-0	4	-84	3.99	39%	-0.05	-46.5	1.54%	0	-1.3	26	0
25	Mar_10_2015	39.51	37.28	36.67	36.13	36.11	36.24	36.23(-0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	20	2	-97	3.66	39%		-68.2	1.55%	0	-1.3	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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