Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 3, 2015

Trading Signals: FAST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Fastenal Co)
FAST latest price $40.8544 (1.8%) ($40.3636 - $40.8812) on Tue. Feb. 3, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.18% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $40.8544(1.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAST advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAST advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(56%)    IVE(55%)    XLI(52%)    VYM(51%)    IWM(50%)
Factors Impacting FAST price   FAST will decline at least -0.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    VIXM(-17%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-5%)    UUP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.59% (StdDev 1.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.14(1.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.46(0.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.4(1.12%)
To recent high   -4.5%
To recent low   4.7%
Market Cap   $23.433b

Fastenal Co. engages in the provision of fasteners, tools, and supplies which can help in the manufacture of products, build structures, protect personnel, and maintain facilities and equipment. It products include cutting tools & metalworking, fasteners, material handling, storage & packaging power, transmission & motors, tools & equipment, electricals, abrasives, hydraulics & pneumatics, plumbing, lifting & rigging, raw materials, fleet & automotive, welding, office products & furniture, janitorial and lighting. The company was founded by Robert A. Kierlin, Michael M. Gostomski, Henry K. McCannon, John D. Remick, and Stephen M. Slaggie in November 1967 and is headquartered in Winona, MN.

$. FAST price fluctuates within 1.34% (three month std-dev: 1.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.37%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.35%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.54%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150303

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_3_2015	39.92	40.4	40.46	40.14	40.04	40.23	40.85(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	23	30	25	15	1.86	54%	0	-88.1	1.18%	0	0.8	50	0
2	Feb_2_2015	39.92	40.42	40.46	40.02	39.93	39.82	40.13(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-30	-10	-10	2.71	52%	0	-98.6	1.16%	0	-0.5	48	0
3	Jan_30_2015	39.92	40.51	40.4	40.17	40.01	39.86	39.62(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-24	-40	-27	-14	2.54	53%	-0.03	-82.8	1.18%	0	-1.3	42	0
4	Jan_29_2015	39.93	40.63	40.37	40.45	40.31	40.05	40.15(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-60	-22	-17	2.26	55%	-0.03	-73.8	1.17%	0	-0.7	41	0
5	Jan_28_2015	39.94	40.75	40.34	40.66	40.63	40.17	39.92(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-25	-80	-29	-11	1.8	58%	-0.03	-56.4	1.17%	0	-1.1	48	0

6	Jan_27_2015	39.95	40.89	40.42	40.66	40.83	40.57	40.27(-1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-17	-40	-24	3	1.68	58%	-0.03	-41.4	1.19%	0	-0.7	48	0
7	Jan_26_2015	39.96	40.99	40.45	40.82	40.89	41.1	40.89(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	40	12	8	1.28	61%	0	-32.6	1.17%	0	-0.1	46	0
8	Jan_23_2015	39.96	41.06	40.45	40.67	40.69	41.09	41.05(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	33	70	45	-4	1.46	63%	-0.03	-25.1	1.18%	0	-0	42	0
9	Jan_22_2015	39.97	41.12	40.43	40.26	40.27	40.69	41.2(1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	16	70	36	-46	1.58	60%	0.03	-25.5	1.19%	0	0.1	42	0
10	Jan_21_2015	39.96	41.17	40.34	40.26	39.95	40.3	40.68(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	60	20	-96	1.62	61%	0.03	-22.4	1.21%	0	-0.5	35	0

11	Jan_20_2015	39.95	41.23	40.33	39.99	39.86	39.86	40.27(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-27	-10	5	-121	2.17	61%	0.03	-15.6	1.26%	0	-0.9	32	0
12	Jan_16_2015	39.94	41.29	40.42	40.04	40.02	39.6	40.13(2.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-53	-70	-22	-144	3.27	61%	0	-13.9	1.25%	0	-1.1	34	0
13	Jan_15_2015	39.94	41.31	40.6	40.17	40.29	39.87	39.01(-2.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-78	-60	-51	-158	4.95	58%	-0.03	-13.7	1.21%	0	-2.2	24	0
14	Jan_14_2015	39.95	41.38	40.92	40.62	40.63	40.45	39.85(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-48	-30	-22	-125	4.34	62%	-0.03	-8.6	1.17%	0	-1.7	29	0
15	Jan_13_2015	39.96	41.41	41.2	40.72	40.86	40.72	40.69(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-28	-10	-0	-110	2.91	60%	0.03	-12	1.14%	0	-0.8	34	0

16	Jan_12_2015	39.95	41.4	41.4	40.7	40.76	40.81	40.5(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	10	-16	-104	1.42	60%	0	-18.9	1.21%	0	-1	37	0
17	Jan_9_2015	39.95	41.44	41.59	40.86	40.83	41	40.79(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	30	-1	-70	2.09	48%	0.03	-15	1.36%	0	-0.7	48	0
18	Jan_8_2015	39.94	41.45	41.76	41.11	40.96	40.71	41.26(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-50	-12	-40	1.59	51%	0.03	-8.9	1.38%	0	-0.2	62	0
19	Jan_7_2015	39.93	41.46	41.87	41.3	41.29	40.66	40.35(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-41	-110	-48	-21	2.15	45%	0.03	4	1.38%	0	-1.2	59	0
20	Jan_6_2015	39.92	41.51	42.08	41.77	41.81	41.22	40.61(-1.71%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-30	-100	-48	25	1.79	45%	0.03	28.6	1.42%	0	-1	59	0

21	Jan_5_2015	39.91	41.58	42.23	42.19	42.26	41.91	41.32(-1.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-5	-50	-31	73	1.91	47%	0.08	52.8	1.4%	0	-0.3	62	0
22	Jan_2_2015	39.88	41.59	42.25	42.41	42.52	42.4	42.04(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-10	-12	98	1.35	52%	0.08	66.5	1.39%	0	0.5	59	0
23	Dec_31_2014	39.85	41.53	42.1	42.49	42.52	42.61	42.18(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	24	10	-2	103	0.8	52%	0.05	76.3	1.41%	0	0.8	63	0
24	Dec_30_2014	39.83	41.42	41.89	42.52	42.58	42.64	42.68(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	10	7	98	0.99	52%	0.1	71.2	1.4%	0	1.4	61	0
25	Dec_29_2014	39.79	41.26	41.64	42.45	42.53	42.55	42.76(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	10	9	85	1.25	52%		63	1.41%	0	1.5	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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