Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FAS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 8, 2022

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $143.3200 (3.73%) ($139.6400 - $144.1400) on Tue. Feb. 8, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.65% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $143.3200(3.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 5.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(93%)    DIA(91%)    IVE(91%)    SPY(88%)    SDY(87%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-43%)    UUP(-31%)    VXX(-9%)    SHY(-6%)    TBT(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.825% (StdDev 3.65%)
Hourly BBV 1.4 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $137.16(4.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $131.66(8.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $133.3(7.52%)
To recent high   -6.2%
To recent low   22.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 8.18% (three month std-dev: 3.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 9.16%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.24%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 3.96%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 13.9%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220308

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_8_2022	133.34	133.3	131.66	137.16	137.17	140.08	143.32(3.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	83	150	70	122	1.41	47%	0.27	-15	3.65%	1.4	0.9	61	0.5
2	Feb_7_2022	132.98	133.42	129.37	135.17	135.2	136.71	138.17(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	65	80	58	85	1.18	45%	0.17	-14.2	3.62%	1.5	0.4	49	0.2
3	Feb_4_2022	132.76	133.89	127.59	133.12	133.33	134.27	137.31(4.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	50	42	33	1.79	44%	0.15	-11.5	3.62%	2.4	0.3	40	-0.1
4	Feb_3_2022	132.56	134.21	125.77	130.47	130.6	133.68	131(-3.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	38	170	56	-17	1	42%	0.09	-12.3	3.6%	-0.7	-0.3	32	-0.5
5	Feb_2_2022	132.44	134.6	125.33	128.09	127.29	132.39	135.99(1.96%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	67	260	104	-44	1.09	43%	0.16	-15.5	3.58%	1.6	0.1	33	-0

6	Feb_1_2022	132.23	134.95	124.57	125.26	124.47	127.53	133.37(4.26%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	54	150	102	-89	1.29	43%	0.1	-17.6	3.57%	1.6	-0.1	31	-0.3
7	Jan_31_2022	132.1	135.03	124.71	122.76	122.57	122.18	127.92(3.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	-30	32	-149	1.3	41%	0.09	-22.6	3.53%	1.4	-0.6	30	-0.8
8	Jan_28_2022	131.98	135.24	126.34	121.32	120.89	121.42	124.06(4.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-56	20	-14	-182	1.78	43%	0.03	-25.5	3.51%	-0.2	-0.9	24	-1.4
9	Jan_27_2022	131.94	135.69	128.77	120.41	120.49	122.96	119.09(-2.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-19	150	30	-165	1.8	39%	0.01	-26.6	3.51%	-1	-1.4	24	-1.8
10	Jan_26_2022	131.93	136.47	132.03	122.09	120.42	120.37	121.88(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-29	-40	10	-147	2.69	39%	0.02	-21	3.55%	0.3	-1.3	36	-2

11	Jan_25_2022	131.91	137.11	135.02	123.76	122.27	118.02	120.87(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-107	-280	-86	-168	2.21	39%	-0.08	-11.5	3.55%	0.9	-1.5	31	-2.1
12	Jan_24_2022	132.02	137.81	137.84	127	126.68	120.47	120.69(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-155	-350	-152	-162	3.9	39%	-0.02	0.3	3.55%	-0.6	-1.7	43	-3.1
13	Jan_21_2022	132.04	138.36	140.84	132.22	131.98	126.52	119.53(-6.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-148	-300	-160	-113	2.56	41%	-0.03	14.2	3.58%	-1.9	-2	46	-3
14	Jan_20_2022	132.08	138.88	143.64	138.39	137.52	132.89	127.49(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-111	-250	-132	-48	1.57	43%	0.05	35.2	3.49%	-2.2	-1.3	51	-2.2
15	Jan_19_2022	132.02	138.84	145.02	143.45	142.95	137.44	130.2(-5.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-92	-280	-122	-3	1.66	43%	0.05	50.2	3.5%	-1.4	-1	52	-1.6

16	Jan_18_2022	131.96	138.34	146.6	147.87	147.4	142.14	137.1(-6.59%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-82	-260	-123	43	2.27	45%	0.12	58.5	3.46%	-1.1	-0.1	58	-1.1
17	Jan_14_2022	131.8	137.78	146.58	150.16	150.01	148.46	146.77(-2.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-34	-80	-74	88	2.43	52%	0.17	55.5	3.36%	-1.1	0.9	69	0.3
18	Jan_13_2022	131.57	137.03	145.12	150.74	151.09	152.66	150.41(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	58	80	31	140	1.49	52%	0.19	60.4	3.4%	-0.3	1.3	77	0.3
19	Jan_12_2022	131.32	135.9	143.27	149.71	149.91	151.56	152.77(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	85	80	62	155	1.42	52%	0.24	59.2	3.4%	1.1	1.7	82	1
20	Jan_11_2022	131.01	134.58	141.21	146.91	147.53	149.52	152.31(2.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	67	110	42	140	1.6	52%	0.26	52.7	3.4%	1.8	1.9	83	0.8

21	Jan_10_2022	130.67	133.17	139.17	145.26	145.68	148.26	148.53(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	91	130	67	162	2.27	52%	0.25	52.1	3.41%	0.1	1.8	85	1
22	Jan_7_2022	130.35	132.16	137.51	142.46	143.9	145.54	149.66(3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	100	110	80	160	2.07	52%	0.28	52.3	3.41%	1.4	2.3	72	0.7
23	Jan_6_2022	129.98	131.05	135.36	138.67	140.63	143.1	145.3(4.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	69	170	52	118	1.7	52%	0.22	46.6	3.4%	0.4	2.2	59	0.7
24	Jan_5_2022	129.69	130.25	133.43	135.87	137.49	142.26	138.75(-3.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	95	280	89	111	2.3	52%	0.14	51.7	3.36%	-0.3	1.5	59	0.9
25	Jan_4_2022	129.51	129.89	131.97	134.58	135	138.16	144.05(7.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	109	170	110	106	3.51	54%		58.3	3.38%	1.5	2.7	64	1.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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