Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 10, 2022

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $148.5300 (-0.76%) ($143.1000 - $152.3400) on Mon. Jan. 10, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.41% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $148.5300(-0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 7.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(93%)    IVE(91%)    DIA(90%)    SPY(87%)    SDY(86%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-44%)    UUP(-30%)    VXX(-9%)    SHY(-6%)    TBT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.705% (StdDev 3.41%)
Hourly BBV 0.1 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $145.26(2.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $139.17(6.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $133.17(11.53%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   26.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 6.32% (three month std-dev: 3.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.32%(42%) Average negative next day return: -1.81%(58%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.88%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -2.21%(52%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 4.09%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.59%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_10_2022	130.67	133.17	139.17	145.26	145.68	148.26	148.53(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	91	130	67	162	2.27	52%	0.25	52.1	3.41%	0.1	1.8	85	1
2	Jan_7_2022	130.35	132.16	137.51	142.46	143.9	145.54	149.66(3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	100	110	80	160	2.07	52%	0.28	52.3	3.41%	1.4	2.3	72	0.7
3	Jan_6_2022	129.98	131.05	135.36	138.67	140.63	143.1	145.3(4.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	69	170	52	118	1.7	52%	0.22	46.6	3.4%	0.4	2.2	59	0.7
4	Jan_5_2022	129.69	130.25	133.43	135.87	137.49	142.26	138.75(-3.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	95	280	89	111	2.3	52%	0.14	51.7	3.36%	-0.3	1.5	59	0.9
5	Jan_4_2022	129.51	129.89	131.97	134.58	135	138.16	144.05(7.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	109	170	110	106	3.51	54%	0.16	58.3	3.38%	1.5	2.7	64	1.4

6	Jan_3_2022	129.3	128.93	129.26	132.27	132.8	132.73	134.54(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	10	18	44	2.88	51%	0.08	52.7	3.29%	0.9	1.4	61	1.4
7	Dec_31_2021	129.2	128.28	128.22	131.87	132.47	131.84	130.73(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-20	-13	22	0.86	53%	0.02	39.9	3.3%	-0.8	0.6	51	1.3
8	Dec_30_2021	129.17	128.11	128.31	131.48	132.43	132.87	131.28(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	15	40	9	32	1.35	51%	0.04	20.4	3.34%	-1.5	0.8	52	1.4
9	Dec_29_2021	129.12	127.47	128.01	130.5	131.56	133.1	132.29(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	110	42	34	0.79	51%	0.07	-13.6	3.39%	-0	1.1	51	1.4
10	Dec_28_2021	129.03	126.94	127.49	128.83	129.49	131.99	132.51(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	57	150	68	25	0.94	49%	0.11	-39.4	3.39%	0.9	1.2	49	1.4

11	Dec_27_2021	128.89	126.83	126.72	125.73	126.79	130.02	132.52(2.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	63	200	82	6	0.77	50%	0.25	-59.9	3.45%	1.2	1.3	56	1.3
12	Dec_23_2021	128.57	126.66	126.72	124.09	123.28	127	128.79(1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	36	190	50	-8	1.35	53%	0.16	-79.1	3.58%	1.3	0.5	59	1.4
13	Dec_22_2021	128.36	127.29	126.34	124.81	122.62	123.56	126.39(1.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	25	0	36	-7	1.25	55%	0.12	-54.9	3.61%	0.9	-0.2	50	1.3
14	Dec_21_2021	128.2	128.1	126.77	125.27	124.68	119.56	123.93(5.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-300	-43	-20	1.66	55%	0.14	-44.6	3.64%	0.6	-0.6	58	0.9
15	Dec_20_2021	128.02	128.78	127.62	126.01	125.98	121.69	117.01(-5.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-116	-240	-141	-41	3.03	50%	0.08	-44	3.57%	-1.1	-1.7	49	0.5

16	Dec_17_2021	127.92	129.62	128.69	127.64	128.43	129.8	124.31(-6.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	90	-12	17	2.04	52%	0.13	-48.4	3.6%	-0.9	-0.8	46	0.8
17	Dec_16_2021	127.76	130.25	128.53	128.74	128.47	130.28	132.4(2.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	90	55	42	1.89	55%	0.21	-47.8	3.52%	0.9	0.3	52	0.8
18	Dec_15_2021	127.49	130.52	128.01	128.13	127.76	127.06	128.7(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1	-50	0	-3	1.37	55%	0.18	-50.9	3.5%	1.3	-0.3	40	1
19	Dec_14_2021	127.26	131.19	127	128.6	128.17	126.65	127.62(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-90	-42	-47	1.06	53%	0.17	-46	3.52%	0.5	-0.5	38	0.8
20	Dec_13_2021	127.04	131.95	126.45	129.62	129.55	128.45	125.19(-3.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-60	-28	-54	0.73	53%	0.17	-41.4	3.55%	-1.3	-0.9	42	0.8

21	Dec_10_2021	126.82	132.85	127.04	129.82	130.72	129.7	129.79(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-9	-30	2	-43	0.83	53%	0.21	-40	3.54%	-1.1	-0.4	49	0.9
22	Dec_9_2021	126.55	133.47	127.01	128.17	129.72	130.64	129.35(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	90	-4	-66	0.84	53%	0.18	-45.1	3.55%	-1	-0.5	46	0.3
23	Dec_8_2021	126.32	134.06	128.22	127.82	128.52	131.74	131.07(-1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	44	190	70	-35	1.15	53%	0.24	-49.9	3.55%	0.4	-0.4	46	0.6
24	Dec_7_2021	126.02	134.64	129.34	125.14	126.57	128.79	132.7(5.17%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	45	160	77	-50	1.41	53%	0.3	-59.8	3.54%	1.1	-0.2	44	-0.1
25	Dec_6_2021	125.64	135.22	129.76	122.93	124.52	125.3	126.18(3.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	80	13	-98	1.88	51%		-64.9	3.5%	0.2	-1	39	-1.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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