Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 24, 2017

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $60.0205 (1.2%) ($59.7342 - $60.3562) on Tue. Oct. 24, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $60.0205(1.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(91%)    SDY(90%)    IWN(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-21%)    IGOV(-6%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $59.08(1.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58.51(2.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.58(4.24%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   27.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 3.04% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 27 Average positive next day return: 1.14%(44%) Average negative next day return: -0.74%(56%) Sample size 27 Average positive next three day return: 2.21%(26%) Average negative next three day return: -2.78%(74%) Sample size 27 Average positive next weekly return: 2.09%(37%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.23%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_24_2017	51.33	57.58	58.51	59.08	59.21	59.8	60.02(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	80	25	57	1.45	64%	0.31	84.2	1.7%	0	1.4	73	0
2	Oct_23_2017	51.17	57.24	58.31	58.57	58.72	59.6	59.31(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	110	41	55	1.48	64%	0.31	72.2	1.7%	0	1.1	67	0
3	Oct_20_2017	51.01	56.93	58.13	58.33	58.3	58.62	59.73(2.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	40	38	53	1.94	64%	0.31	69.6	1.7%	0	1.5	72	0
4	Oct_19_2017	50.85	56.61	57.93	57.93	57.9	57.85	58.22(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10	-0	41	1.12	62%	0.3	70.9	1.67%	0	0.8	72	0
5	Oct_18_2017	50.7	56.38	57.9	57.81	57.85	57.97	58.11(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	13	20	-1	56	1.29	62%	0.3	74.5	1.67%	0	0.9	75	0

6	Oct_17_2017	50.55	56.15	57.75	57.85	57.88	57.95	57.45(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	10	2	73	1.25	62%	0.14	78.6	1.67%	0	0.6	75	0
7	Oct_16_2017	50.48	55.92	57.69	58.01	57.94	57.73	58.13(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	26	-30	-0	103	1.31	62%	0.28	80.8	1.66%	0	1	84	0
8	Oct_13_2017	50.34	55.62	57.51	57.89	57.95	57.82	57.71(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-10	-12	116	1.71	62%	0.28	80	1.66%	0	0.9	83	0
9	Oct_12_2017	50.2	55.29	57.28	57.93	58.04	58.14	57.64(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	20	1	137	1.75	62%	0.28	83.7	1.67%	0	1	78	0
10	Oct_11_2017	50.06	54.95	57.01	57.99	58	58.08	58.32(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	51	10	16	156	1.24	62%	0.3	89.9	1.67%	0	1.3	81	0

11	Oct_10_2017	49.91	54.58	56.61	57.62	57.78	57.95	58.22(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	48	30	14	151	1.48	62%	0.32	92.5	1.68%	0	1.5	82	0
12	Oct_9_2017	49.75	54.21	56.1	57.32	57.39	57.92	57.54(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	53	70	21	149	1.36	62%	0.3	96.1	1.67%	0	1.3	82	0
13	Oct_6_2017	49.6	53.83	55.65	57.07	57.05	57.61	57.91(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	72	70	43	158	1.27	58%	0.34	86.3	1.68%	0	1.5	87	0
14	Oct_5_2017	49.43	53.33	55.19	56.54	56.52	56.87	57.98(2.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	64	40	35	149	1.83	58%	0.35	73.6	1.73%	0	1.7	90	0
15	Oct_4_2017	49.26	52.78	54.73	55.88	55.93	56.49	56.44(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	57	70	28	145	1.28	55%	0.26	64.3	1.7%	0	1.4	88	0

16	Oct_3_2017	49.13	52.38	54.4	55.44	55.42	56.16	56.74(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	76	90	50	155	1.4	58%	0.27	58.4	1.71%	0	1.6	89	0
17	Oct_2_2017	49	51.93	53.98	54.68	54.84	55.36	56.28(1.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	69	80	46	137	1.8	58%	0.27	50.5	1.74%	0	1.7	87	0
18	Sep_29_2017	48.87	51.62	53.54	54.01	54.15	54.68	55.26(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	50	80	26	120	1.33	56%	0.25	47.7	1.73%	0	1.5	88	0
19	Sep_28_2017	48.75	51.35	53.12	53.64	53.67	54.33	54.7(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	56	90	31	132	1.23	60%	0.23	47	1.73%	0	1.5	91	0
20	Sep_27_2017	48.64	51.1	52.72	53.41	53.36	53.62	54.23(2.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	55	30	25	143	2.15	60%	0.23	46.9	1.78%	0	1.5	91	0

21	Sep_26_2017	48.53	50.84	52.38	53.21	53.16	53.01	52.91(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	36	-20	-1	148	1.08	57%	0.19	45.5	1.76%	0	1.1	76	0
22	Sep_25_2017	48.44	50.67	52.19	53.16	53.14	53.09	52.96(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	42	-10	0	168	1.54	57%	0.17	48.5	1.77%	0	1.2	77	0
23	Sep_22_2017	48.36	50.52	51.9	52.97	53.01	53.3	53.39(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	57	40	19	170	1.11	57%	0.19	51.6	1.77%	0	1.6	61	0
24	Sep_21_2017	48.27	50.33	51.35	52.5	52.65	53.19	53.54(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	65	80	37	147	1.24	57%	0.21	50.6	1.78%	0	1.9	63	0
25	Sep_20_2017	48.17	50.14	50.72	51.92	51.99	52.73	53.27(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	56	100	38	110	2.3	57%		42	1.79%	0	2	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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