Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 3, 2017

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $50.2952 (3.14%) ($49.2289 - $51.0159) on Mon. Jul. 3, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.89% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $50.2952(3.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(91%)    SDY(90%)    IWN(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -0.945% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-20%)    IGOV(-7%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.945% (StdDev 1.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.74(3.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.83(5.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.3(6.33%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   22.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 3.57% (three month std-dev: 1.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 0.75%(42%) Average negative next day return: -0.5%(58%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 1.76%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.8%(50%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 2.13%(42%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.05%(58%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170803

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_3_2017	45.13	47.3	47.83	48.74	49.26	49.54	50.3(3.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	70	29	43	2.89	71%	0.16	76.5	1.89%	0	1.8	62	0
2	Jun_30_2017	45.06	46.98	47.62	48.04	48.58	49.42	48.76(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	150	34	29	3.21	71%	0.13	66.4	1.85%	0	1.1	60	0
3	Jun_29_2017	45	46.75	47.5	47.51	47.99	48.97	48.9(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	49	170	58	23	6.44	71%	0.16	55.7	1.88%	0	1.3	62	0
4	Jun_28_2017	44.93	46.51	47.36	46.99	47.15	47.74	48.75(3.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	100	35	10	3.29	73%	0.16	45.2	1.88%	0	1.3	70	0
5	Jun_27_2017	44.86	46.22	47.27	46.64	46.71	47	47(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	50	8	8	2.98	71%	0.11	37.5	1.87%	0	0.4	69	0

6	Jun_26_2017	44.81	46.04	47.35	46.79	46.73	46.56	46.81(1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-30	-10	34	2.04	71%	0.09	40.8	1.88%	0	0.4	72	0
7	Jun_23_2017	44.77	45.91	47.39	47.16	47.08	46.42	46.08(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-100	-28	62	1.82	71%	0.11	50.9	1.87%	0	0.1	65	0
8	Jun_22_2017	44.72	45.83	47.5	47.47	47.6	46.9	46.34(-1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-90	-33	94	2.03	71%	0.13	62.7	1.87%	0	0.3	67	0
9	Jun_21_2017	44.66	45.72	47.42	47.75	47.91	47.73	46.96(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-20	-21	121	2.28	62%	0.13	73.7	1.86%	0	0.6	70	0
10	Jun_20_2017	44.6	45.56	47.19	47.97	47.93	48.3	47.75(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	50	7	141	1.87	60%	0.16	76.4	2.05%	0	1.1	80	0

11	Jun_19_2017	44.53	45.31	46.79	47.99	47.8	48.09	48.66(2.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	55	30	22	153	3.49	60%	0.13	74.9	2.05%	0	1.7	80	0
12	Jun_16_2017	44.47	44.99	46.33	47.68	47.6	47.55	47.64(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	39	-10	6	139	1.84	56%	0.11	71.9	2.05%	0	1.4	70	0
13	Jun_15_2017	44.42	44.68	45.97	47.54	47.44	47.51	47.74(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	0	11	137	2.82	56%	0.11	64.1	2.05%	0	1.6	69	0
14	Jun_14_2017	44.37	44.35	45.6	47.03	47.17	47.65	48.05(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	58	80	33	131	4.29	56%	0.16	49.5	2.05%	0	2	72	0
15	Jun_13_2017	44.3	44.13	45.07	46.28	46.48	47.37	47.85(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	63	150	49	106	2.91	56%	0.18	43.9	2.05%	0	2.2	73	0

16	Jun_12_2017	44.22	43.91	44.6	45.41	45.55	46.69	47.15(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	61	180	54	81	3.25	56%	0.14	33.4	2.04%	0	2.3	74	0
17	Jun_9_2017	44.16	43.69	44.27	44.78	44.66	45.58	46.91(3.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	55	140	50	68	6.97	56%	0.16	19.1	2.04%	0	2.7	75	0
18	Jun_8_2017	44.09	43.5	43.97	44.19	44.1	44.42	45.21(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	34	40	26	56	3.71	53%	0.11	2.7	1.99%	0	1.8	74	0
19	Jun_7_2017	44.04	43.44	43.84	43.96	43.84	43.73	44.28(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-30	7	59	2.53	51%	0.09	-4.4	1.97%	0	0.9	73	0
20	Jun_6_2017	44	43.41	43.77	43.67	43.71	43.78	43.48(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	10	-1	44	1.88	51%	-0.02	-16.5	1.96%	0	0.1	48	0

21	Jun_5_2017	44.01	43.44	43.72	43.64	43.57	43.95	44.02(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	60	9	40	1.4	51%	0.07	-16.6	1.96%	0	0.7	50	0
22	Jun_2_2017	43.98	43.46	43.56	43.66	43.44	43.64	43.95(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	20	8	37	2.81	48%	0.05	-10.5	1.97%	0	0.5	55	0
23	Jun_1_2017	43.96	43.46	43.33	43.73	43.51	43.2	44.08(2.98%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	3	-60	-4	22	2.25	53%	0.05	-9.7	2.01%	0	0.6	52	0
24	May_31_2017	43.94	43.48	43.04	43.71	43.72	43.25	42.81(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-70	-22	-5	2.49	48%	0.02	-13.9	1.97%	0	-0.7	43	0
25	May_30_2017	43.93	43.55	43.15	43.88	43.95	43.82	43.33(-1.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-20	-6	10	1.32	45%		-13.4	1.97%	0	-0.2	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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