Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 28, 2017

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $48.7451 (3.72%) ($47.6491 - $48.8833) on Wed. Jun. 28, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.88% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $48.7451(3.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(91%)    SDY(90%)    IWN(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -0.94% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-20%)    IGOV(-7%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.94% (StdDev 1.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.99(3.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.36(2.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.51(4.81%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 3.83% (three month std-dev: 1.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 0.25%(27%) Average negative next day return: -1.95%(73%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 3.68%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -3.76%(80%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 3.48%(13%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.54%(87%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170728

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_28_2017	44.93	46.51	47.36	46.99	47.15	47.74	48.75(3.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	100	35	10	3.29	73%	0.16	45.2	1.88%	0	1.3	70	0
2	Jun_27_2017	44.86	46.22	47.27	46.64	46.71	47	47(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	50	8	8	2.98	71%	0.11	37.5	1.87%	0	0.4	69	0
3	Jun_26_2017	44.81	46.04	47.35	46.79	46.73	46.56	46.81(1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-30	-10	34	2.04	71%	0.09	40.8	1.88%	0	0.4	72	0
4	Jun_23_2017	44.77	45.91	47.39	47.16	47.08	46.42	46.08(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-100	-28	62	1.82	71%	0.11	50.9	1.87%	0	0.1	65	0
5	Jun_22_2017	44.72	45.83	47.5	47.47	47.6	46.9	46.34(-1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-90	-33	94	2.03	71%	0.13	62.7	1.87%	0	0.3	67	0

6	Jun_21_2017	44.66	45.72	47.42	47.75	47.91	47.73	46.96(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-20	-21	121	2.28	62%	0.13	73.7	1.86%	0	0.6	70	0
7	Jun_20_2017	44.6	45.56	47.19	47.97	47.93	48.3	47.75(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	50	7	141	1.87	60%	0.16	76.4	2.05%	0	1.1	80	0
8	Jun_19_2017	44.53	45.31	46.79	47.99	47.8	48.09	48.66(2.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	55	30	22	153	3.49	60%	0.13	74.9	2.05%	0	1.7	80	0
9	Jun_16_2017	44.47	44.99	46.33	47.68	47.6	47.55	47.64(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	39	-10	6	139	1.84	56%	0.11	71.9	2.05%	0	1.4	70	0
10	Jun_15_2017	44.42	44.68	45.97	47.54	47.44	47.51	47.74(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	0	11	137	2.82	56%	0.11	64.1	2.05%	0	1.6	69	0

11	Jun_14_2017	44.37	44.35	45.6	47.03	47.17	47.65	48.05(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	58	80	33	131	4.29	56%	0.16	49.5	2.05%	0	2	72	0
12	Jun_13_2017	44.3	44.13	45.07	46.28	46.48	47.37	47.85(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	63	150	49	106	2.91	56%	0.18	43.9	2.05%	0	2.2	73	0
13	Jun_12_2017	44.22	43.91	44.6	45.41	45.55	46.69	47.15(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	61	180	54	81	3.25	56%	0.14	33.4	2.04%	0	2.3	74	0
14	Jun_9_2017	44.16	43.69	44.27	44.78	44.66	45.58	46.91(3.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	55	140	50	68	6.97	56%	0.16	19.1	2.04%	0	2.7	75	0
15	Jun_8_2017	44.09	43.5	43.97	44.19	44.1	44.42	45.21(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	34	40	26	56	3.71	53%	0.11	2.7	1.99%	0	1.8	74	0

16	Jun_7_2017	44.04	43.44	43.84	43.96	43.84	43.73	44.28(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-30	7	59	2.53	51%	0.09	-4.4	1.97%	0	0.9	73	0
17	Jun_6_2017	44	43.41	43.77	43.67	43.71	43.78	43.48(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	10	-1	44	1.88	51%	-0.02	-16.5	1.96%	0	0.1	48	0
18	Jun_5_2017	44.01	43.44	43.72	43.64	43.57	43.95	44.02(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	60	9	40	1.4	51%	0.07	-16.6	1.96%	0	0.7	50	0
19	Jun_2_2017	43.98	43.46	43.56	43.66	43.44	43.64	43.95(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	20	8	37	2.81	48%	0.05	-10.5	1.97%	0	0.5	55	0
20	Jun_1_2017	43.96	43.46	43.33	43.73	43.51	43.2	44.08(2.98%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	3	-60	-4	22	2.25	53%	0.05	-9.7	2.01%	0	0.6	52	0

21	May_31_2017	43.94	43.48	43.04	43.71	43.72	43.25	42.81(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-70	-22	-5	2.49	48%	0.02	-13.9	1.97%	0	-0.7	43	0
22	May_30_2017	43.93	43.55	43.15	43.88	43.95	43.82	43.33(-1.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-20	-6	10	1.32	45%	0.09	-13.4	1.97%	0	-0.2	48	0
23	May_26_2017	43.89	43.59	43.2	43.78	43.89	44.19	44.13(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	60	15	12	1.12	50%	0.05	-17.5	2.11%	0	0.6	48	0
24	May_25_2017	43.87	43.56	43.08	43.42	43.57	44.09	44.29(0.72%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	23	90	32	-3	2.38	50%	0.02	-22.9	2.12%	0	0.8	47	0
25	May_24_2017	43.86	43.57	42.99	42.85	43.04	43.59	43.98(0.7%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	18	100	34	-29	1.81	50%		-31.7	2.14%	0	0.4	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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