Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $38.8025 (2.24%) ($37.8251 - $38.8025) on Tue. Dec. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.43% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $38.8025(2.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(91%)    SDY(90%)    IWN(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.215% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.215% (StdDev 2.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.44(3.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.87(5.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.5(9.3%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   42.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 5.94% (three month std-dev: 2.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 3.75%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.09%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 8.25%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.46%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 4.74%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.5%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_6_2016	30.08	35.5	36.87	37.44	37.49	38.05	38.8(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	110	35	90	3.4	57%	0.4	116.3	2.43%	0	1.6	71	INF
2	Dec_5_2016	29.96	35.03	36.56	36.88	37.06	37.23	37.95(3.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	50	22	69	3.82	57%	0.33	98.1	2.42%	0	1.2	67	INF
3	Dec_2_2016	29.86	34.52	36.31	36.88	36.63	36.92	36.7(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	70	3	58	2.91	54%	0.34	76.8	2.41%	0	0.8	72	INF
4	Dec_1_2016	29.76	34.08	36.17	36.44	36.45	36.9	37.18(1.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	32	90	16	78	3.88	54%	0.34	67.5	2.4%	0	1	77	INF
5	Nov_30_2016	29.66	33.61	35.9	36.29	36.33	36.35	36.54(1.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	32	10	11	93	3.6	54%	0.34	60.4	2.38%	0	0.9	81	INF

6	Nov_29_2016	29.56	33.2	35.77	36.22	36.19	35.99	36.02(0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	-40	-6	125	2.53	54%	0.34	57.3	2.39%	0	0.8	85	INF
7	Nov_28_2016	29.46	32.85	35.69	36.18	36.22	36.31	35.74(-2.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	43	20	0	172	3.05	54%	0.37	56.7	2.4%	0	0.8	85	INF
8	Nov_25_2016	29.35	32.51	35.5	36.13	36.16	36.39	36.71(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	70	50	16	231	1.12	57%	0.58	56.2	2.38%	0	1.2	93	INF
9	Nov_23_2016	29.18	32.1	35.17	35.85	35.87	36.13	36.46(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	82	50	18	273	3.53	57%	0.45	55.7	2.36%	0	1.3	92	INF
10	Nov_22_2016	29.05	31.73	34.68	35.44	35.56	35.93	36.15(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	86	80	16	294	2.89	57%	0.24	54.8	2.36%	0	1.4	91	INF

11	Nov_21_2016	28.98	31.36	34.04	35.26	35.14	35.62	35.82(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	87	90	14	307	3.63	57%	0.38	57.3	2.36%	0	1.5	83	INF
12	Nov_18_2016	28.87	31.02	33.4	35.15	34.92	35.2	35.53(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	97	40	23	320	2.97	57%	0.38	62.4	2.36%	0	1.5	77	INF
13	Nov_17_2016	28.76	30.68	32.6	34.77	34.74	34.67	35.3(2.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	87	-20	16	300	3.72	57%	0.38	64.4	2.36%	0	1.7	77	INF
14	Nov_16_2016	28.65	30.34	31.84	34.37	34.3	34.64	34.42(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	84	60	17	283	3.68	55%	0.42	67.5	2.35%	0	1.6	75	INF
15	Nov_15_2016	28.53	30.06	31.15	33.77	33.91	34.8	35.21(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	114	200	62	268	5.12	55%	0.49	66.5	2.33%	0	2.2	76	INF

16	Nov_14_2016	28.39	29.7	30.43	32.61	32.86	33.97	35.3(4.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	108	260	73	212	8.07	55%	0.42	60.1	2.33%	0	2.7	76	INF
17	Nov_11_2016	28.27	29.31	29.75	31.37	31.46	33.01	33.62(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	99	350	80	157	5.84	51%	0.25	51.4	2.26%	0	2.7	71	INF
18	Nov_10_2016	28.2	29.02	29.22	30.11	30.37	31.74	33.29(5.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	94	340	94	95	11.23	51%	0.28	34.6	2.26%	0	3.3	71	INF
19	Nov_9_2016	28.12	28.73	28.73	28.94	29.03	29.91	31.43(6.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.9	48	220	57	20	11.12	45%	0.21	10.2	2.16%	0	3.1	65	INF
20	Nov_8_2016	28.06	28.57	28.47	28.16	28.27	29	29.39(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	18	190	35	-35	3.57	37%	0.14	-22.1	1.99%	0	1.3	52	INF

21	Nov_7_2016	28.02	28.51	28.47	27.94	27.91	28.15	29.13(6.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	0	60	17	-50	3.96	37%	0.14	-33.8	1.99%	0	1	56	INF
22	Nov_4_2016	27.98	28.5	28.42	27.91	27.85	27.54	27.31(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-29	-80	-20	-57	2.55	34%	0.07	-29.5	1.91%	0	-2	46	INF
23	Nov_3_2016	27.96	28.57	28.61	28.19	28.24	27.68	27.47(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-29	-130	-27	-36	2.26	34%	0.11	-19.4	1.91%	0	-2.1	45	INF
24	Nov_2_2016	27.93	28.64	28.76	28.46	28.54	28.16	27.51(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-29	-80	-34	-13	3.19	34%	0.11	0.6	1.93%	0	-2.5	49	INF
25	Nov_1_2016	27.9	28.71	28.93	28.79	28.89	28.8	28.27(-2.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-3	-10	-11	22	3.41	37%		18	1.93%	0	-1.1	49	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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