Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $35.8208 (0.81%) ($35.3468 - $36.0281) on Mon. Nov. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.36% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $35.8208(0.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 11.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(91%)    SDY(90%)    IWN(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.18% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.18% (StdDev 2.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.26(1.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.04(5.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.36(14.22%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   31.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 9.79% (three month std-dev: 2.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 4.01%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.41%(50%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 8.01%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.05%(50%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 8.1%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.32%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2016	28.98	31.36	34.04	35.26	35.14	35.62	35.82(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	87	90	14	307	3.63	57%	0.38	57.3	2.36%	0	1.5	83	INF
2	Nov_18_2016	28.87	31.02	33.4	35.15	34.92	35.2	35.53(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	97	40	23	320	2.97	57%	0.38	62.4	2.36%	0	1.5	77	INF
3	Nov_17_2016	28.76	30.68	32.6	34.77	34.74	34.67	35.3(2.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	87	-20	16	300	3.72	57%	0.38	64.4	2.36%	0	1.7	77	INF
4	Nov_16_2016	28.65	30.34	31.84	34.37	34.3	34.64	34.42(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	84	60	17	283	3.68	55%	0.42	67.5	2.35%	0	1.6	75	INF
5	Nov_15_2016	28.53	30.06	31.15	33.77	33.91	34.8	35.21(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	114	200	62	268	5.12	55%	0.49	66.5	2.33%	0	2.2	76	INF

6	Nov_14_2016	28.39	29.7	30.43	32.61	32.86	33.97	35.3(4.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	108	260	73	212	8.07	55%	0.42	60.1	2.33%	0	2.7	76	INF
7	Nov_11_2016	28.27	29.31	29.75	31.37	31.46	33.01	33.62(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	99	350	80	157	5.84	51%	0.25	51.4	2.26%	0	2.7	71	INF
8	Nov_10_2016	28.2	29.02	29.22	30.11	30.37	31.74	33.29(5.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	94	340	94	95	11.23	51%	0.28	34.6	2.26%	0	3.3	71	INF
9	Nov_9_2016	28.12	28.73	28.73	28.94	29.03	29.91	31.43(6.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.9	48	220	57	20	11.12	45%	0.21	10.2	2.16%	0	3.1	65	INF
10	Nov_8_2016	28.06	28.57	28.47	28.16	28.27	29	29.39(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	18	190	35	-35	3.57	37%	0.14	-22.1	1.99%	0	1.3	52	INF

11	Nov_7_2016	28.02	28.51	28.47	27.94	27.91	28.15	29.13(6.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	0	60	17	-50	3.96	37%	0.14	-33.8	1.99%	0	1	56	INF
12	Nov_4_2016	27.98	28.5	28.42	27.91	27.85	27.54	27.31(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-29	-80	-20	-57	2.55	34%	0.07	-29.5	1.91%	0	-2	46	INF
13	Nov_3_2016	27.96	28.57	28.61	28.19	28.24	27.68	27.47(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-29	-130	-27	-36	2.26	34%	0.11	-19.4	1.91%	0	-2.1	45	INF
14	Nov_2_2016	27.93	28.64	28.76	28.46	28.54	28.16	27.51(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-29	-80	-34	-13	3.19	34%	0.11	0.6	1.93%	0	-2.5	49	INF
15	Nov_1_2016	27.9	28.64	28.93	28.79	28.89	28.8	28.27(-2.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-3	-10	-11	22	3.41	37%	0.07	18	1.93%	0	-1.1	49	INF

16	Oct_31_2016	27.88	28.71	28.97	28.96	28.98	28.92	28.99(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-10	-4	39	1.87	39%	0.11	23.1	1.9%	0	0.7	61	INF
17	Oct_28_2016	27.85	28.71	28.88	29.02	29.03	28.97	28.71(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	-10	-7	32	3.49	39%	0.04	25.7	1.9%	0	0.1	46	INF
18	Oct_27_2016	27.84	28.67	28.83	29.09	29.18	29.05	28.82(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	9	-20	-0	35	2.26	39%	0.04	24	1.91%	0	0.4	52	INF
19	Oct_26_2016	27.83	28.67	28.76	29.11	29.1	29.08	29.17(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-10	-6	27	1.67	39%	0.07	7.1	1.9%	0	1.2	54	INF
20	Oct_25_2016	27.81	28.64	28.69	29.1	29.11	29.31	29.11(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	50	10	32	1.89	39%	0.04	7.5	1.9%	0	1.1	54	INF

21	Oct_24_2016	27.8	28.61	28.6	28.98	29.05	29.12	29.3(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	20	19	28	2.64	39%	0.07	2.8	1.9%	0	1.7	61	INF
22	Oct_21_2016	27.78	28.61	28.56	28.71	28.83	28.91	29.06(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	30	7	15	1.88	39%	0	-16	1.91%	0	1.2	59	INF
23	Oct_20_2016	27.78	28.57	28.51	28.54	28.67	28.99	28.94(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	90	16	8	2.39	39%	0.04	-10.9	1.92%	0	0.8	51	INF
24	Oct_19_2016	27.77	28.57	28.49	28.34	28.53	28.74	29.09(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	15	70	19	4	2.69	39%	0.04	-11.9	1.92%	0	1	59	INF
25	Oct_18_2016	27.76	28.6	28.44	28.23	28.25	28.35	28.49(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	30	3	-15	2.29	36%		-7.9	1.9%	0	-0.2	44	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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