Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $35.2975 (4.99%) ($34.0445 - $35.4851) on Mon. Nov. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.33% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $35.2975(4.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 7.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(91%)    SDY(90%)    IWN(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.165% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-17%)    IGOV(-8%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.165% (StdDev 2.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.61(8.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.43(16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.7(18.85%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   29.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 6.94% (three month std-dev: 2.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 3.33%(80%) Average negative next day return: -0.49%(20%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 5.03%(70%) Average negative next three day return: -5.05%(30%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 4.1%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.98%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161214

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_14_2016	28.39	29.7	30.43	32.61	32.86	33.97	35.3(4.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	108	260	73	212	8.07	55%	0.42	60.1	2.33%	0	2.7	76	0
2	Nov_11_2016	28.27	29.31	29.75	31.37	31.46	33.01	33.62(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	99	350	80	157	5.84	51%	0.25	51.4	2.26%	0	2.7	71	0
3	Nov_10_2016	28.2	29.02	29.22	30.11	30.37	31.74	33.29(5.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	94	340	94	95	11.23	51%	0.28	34.6	2.26%	0	3.3	71	0
4	Nov_9_2016	28.12	28.73	28.73	28.94	29.03	29.91	31.43(6.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.9	48	220	57	20	11.12	45%	0.21	10.2	2.16%	0	3.1	65	0
5	Nov_8_2016	28.06	28.57	28.47	28.16	28.27	29	29.39(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	18	190	35	-35	3.57	37%	0.14	-22.1	1.99%	0	1.3	52	0

6	Nov_7_2016	28.02	28.51	28.47	27.94	27.91	28.15	29.13(6.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	0	60	17	-50	3.96	37%	0.14	-33.8	1.99%	0	1	56	0
7	Nov_4_2016	27.98	28.5	28.42	27.91	27.85	27.54	27.31(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-29	-80	-20	-57	2.55	34%	0.07	-29.5	1.91%	0	-2	46	0
8	Nov_3_2016	27.96	28.57	28.61	28.19	28.24	27.68	27.47(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-29	-130	-27	-36	2.26	34%	0.11	-19.4	1.91%	0	-2.1	45	0
9	Nov_2_2016	27.93	28.64	28.76	28.46	28.54	28.16	27.51(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-29	-80	-34	-13	3.19	34%	0.11	0.6	1.93%	0	-2.5	49	0
10	Nov_1_2016	27.9	28.64	28.93	28.79	28.89	28.8	28.27(-2.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-3	-10	-11	22	3.41	37%	0.07	18	1.93%	0	-1.1	49	0

11	Oct_31_2016	27.88	28.71	28.97	28.96	28.98	28.92	28.99(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-10	-4	39	1.87	39%	0.11	23.1	1.9%	0	0.7	61	0
12	Oct_28_2016	27.85	28.71	28.88	29.02	29.03	28.97	28.71(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	-10	-7	32	3.49	39%	0.04	25.7	1.9%	0	0.1	46	0
13	Oct_27_2016	27.84	28.67	28.83	29.09	29.18	29.05	28.82(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	9	-20	-0	35	2.26	39%	0.04	24	1.91%	0	0.4	52	0
14	Oct_26_2016	27.83	28.67	28.76	29.11	29.1	29.08	29.17(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-10	-6	27	1.67	39%	0.07	7.1	1.9%	0	1.2	54	0
15	Oct_25_2016	27.81	28.64	28.69	29.1	29.11	29.31	29.11(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	50	10	32	1.89	39%	0.04	7.5	1.9%	0	1.1	54	0

16	Oct_24_2016	27.8	28.61	28.6	28.98	29.05	29.12	29.3(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	20	19	28	2.64	39%	0.07	2.8	1.9%	0	1.7	61	0
17	Oct_21_2016	27.78	28.61	28.56	28.71	28.83	28.91	29.06(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	30	7	15	1.88	39%	0	-16	1.91%	0	1.2	59	0
18	Oct_20_2016	27.78	28.57	28.51	28.54	28.67	28.99	28.94(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	90	16	8	2.39	39%	0.04	-10.9	1.92%	0	0.8	51	0
19	Oct_19_2016	27.77	28.57	28.49	28.34	28.53	28.74	29.09(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	15	70	19	4	2.69	39%	0.04	-11.9	1.92%	0	1	59	0
20	Oct_18_2016	27.76	28.57	28.44	28.23	28.25	28.35	28.49(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	30	3	-15	2.29	36%	0.04	-7.9	1.9%	0	-0.2	44	0

21	Oct_17_2016	27.75	28.6	28.41	28.17	28.22	28.33	27.96(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	30	-5	-28	1.87	32%	0	-11	1.89%	0	-1.4	45	0
22	Oct_14_2016	27.75	28.63	28.45	28.39	28.31	28.15	28.21(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	-50	-5	-17	3.73	32%	0	-10.7	1.89%	0	-0.9	50	0
23	Oct_13_2016	27.75	28.62	28.5	28.48	28.47	28.12	27.97(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-19	-90	-18	-22	3.82	32%	0	-14	1.91%	0	-1.4	41	0
24	Oct_12_2016	27.75	28.66	28.52	28.64	28.69	28.47	28.53(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-50	-11	-26	1.85	40%	0.04	-24.8	1.89%	0	-0.3	41	0
25	Oct_11_2016	27.74	28.64	28.59	28.68	28.74	28.81	28.18(-3.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-7	20	-3	-20	3.41	40%		-49.7	1.93%	0	-1	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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