Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 9, 2016

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $31.4271 (6.92%) ($29.3241 - $31.8121) on Wed. Nov. 9, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.16% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $31.4271(6.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 2.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(91%)    SDY(90%)    IWN(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.08% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-17%)    IGOV(-8%)    IPO(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.08% (StdDev 2.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.94(8.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.73(9.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.73(9.39%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 3.03% (three month std-dev: 2.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 9.05%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 9.05%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.83%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_9_2016	28.12	28.73	28.73	28.94	29.03	29.91	31.43(6.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.9	48	220	57	20	11.12	45%	0.21	10.2	2.16%	0	3.1	65	0
2	Nov_8_2016	28.06	28.57	28.47	28.16	28.27	29	29.39(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	18	190	35	-35	3.57	37%	0.14	-22.1	1.99%	0	1.3	52	0
3	Nov_7_2016	28.02	28.51	28.47	27.94	27.91	28.15	29.13(6.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	0	60	17	-50	3.96	37%	0.14	-33.8	1.99%	0	1	56	0
4	Nov_4_2016	27.98	28.5	28.42	27.91	27.85	27.54	27.31(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-29	-80	-20	-57	2.55	34%	0.07	-29.5	1.91%	0	-2	46	0
5	Nov_3_2016	27.96	28.57	28.61	28.19	28.24	27.68	27.47(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-29	-130	-27	-36	2.26	34%	0.11	-19.4	1.91%	0	-2.1	45	0

6	Nov_2_2016	27.93	28.64	28.76	28.46	28.54	28.16	27.51(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-29	-80	-34	-13	3.19	34%	0.11	0.6	1.93%	0	-2.5	49	0
7	Nov_1_2016	27.9	28.64	28.93	28.79	28.89	28.8	28.27(-2.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-3	-10	-11	22	3.41	37%	0.07	18	1.93%	0	-1.1	49	0
8	Oct_31_2016	27.88	28.71	28.97	28.96	28.98	28.92	28.99(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-10	-4	39	1.87	39%	0.11	23.1	1.9%	0	0.7	61	0
9	Oct_28_2016	27.85	28.71	28.88	29.02	29.03	28.97	28.71(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	-10	-7	32	3.49	39%	0.04	25.7	1.9%	0	0.1	46	0
10	Oct_27_2016	27.84	28.67	28.83	29.09	29.18	29.05	28.82(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	9	-20	-0	35	2.26	39%	0.04	24	1.91%	0	0.4	52	0

11	Oct_26_2016	27.83	28.67	28.76	29.11	29.1	29.08	29.17(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-10	-6	27	1.67	39%	0.07	7.1	1.9%	0	1.2	54	0
12	Oct_25_2016	27.81	28.64	28.69	29.1	29.11	29.31	29.11(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	50	10	32	1.89	39%	0.04	7.5	1.9%	0	1.1	54	0
13	Oct_24_2016	27.8	28.61	28.6	28.98	29.05	29.12	29.3(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	20	19	28	2.64	39%	0.07	2.8	1.9%	0	1.7	61	0
14	Oct_21_2016	27.78	28.61	28.56	28.71	28.83	28.91	29.06(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	30	7	15	1.88	39%	0	-16	1.91%	0	1.2	59	0
15	Oct_20_2016	27.78	28.57	28.51	28.54	28.67	28.99	28.94(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	90	16	8	2.39	39%	0.04	-10.9	1.92%	0	0.8	51	0

16	Oct_19_2016	27.77	28.57	28.49	28.34	28.53	28.74	29.09(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	15	70	19	4	2.69	39%	0.04	-11.9	1.92%	0	1	59	0
17	Oct_18_2016	27.76	28.57	28.44	28.23	28.25	28.35	28.49(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	30	3	-15	2.29	36%	0.04	-7.9	1.9%	0	-0.2	44	0
18	Oct_17_2016	27.75	28.6	28.41	28.17	28.22	28.33	27.96(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	30	-5	-28	1.87	32%	0	-11	1.89%	0	-1.4	45	0
19	Oct_14_2016	27.75	28.63	28.45	28.39	28.31	28.15	28.21(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	-50	-5	-17	3.73	32%	0	-10.7	1.89%	0	-0.9	50	0
20	Oct_13_2016	27.75	28.62	28.5	28.48	28.47	28.12	27.97(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-19	-90	-18	-22	3.82	32%	0	-14	1.91%	0	-1.4	41	0

21	Oct_12_2016	27.75	28.66	28.52	28.64	28.69	28.47	28.53(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-50	-11	-26	1.85	40%	0.04	-24.8	1.89%	0	-0.3	41	0
22	Oct_11_2016	27.74	28.64	28.59	28.64	28.74	28.81	28.18(-3.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-7	20	-3	-20	3.41	40%	0.11	-49.7	1.93%	0	-1	44	0
23	Oct_10_2016	27.71	28.65	28.65	28.68	28.78	28.92	29.07(1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	10	40	16	-10	1.76	44%	0.07	-63.7	1.9%	0	0.8	55	0
24	Oct_7_2016	27.69	28.68	28.58	28.51	28.57	28.67	28.67(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	30	1	-26	2.89	52%	0.11	-83.7	1.99%	0	-0	53	0
25	Oct_6_2016	27.66	28.69	28.64	28.53	28.49	28.64	28.76(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	30	9	-9	1.79	52%		-72.6	1.99%	0	0.1	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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