Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $28.7613 (0.21%) ($28.2567 - $28.8403) on Thu. Oct. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.99% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $28.7613(0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(91%)    SDY(90%)    IWN(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -0.995% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-17%)    IGOV(-8%)    IPO(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.995% (StdDev 1.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $24.03(-16.45%)
5 Day Moving Average   $28.53(0.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.64(0.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.69(0.25%)
To recent high   -6.8%
To recent low   19.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 2.34% (three month std-dev: 1.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.79%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.53%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.56%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_6_2016	27.66	28.69	28.64	28.53	28.49	28.64	28.76(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	30	9	-9	1.79	52%	0.11	-72.6	1.99%	0	0.1	57	0
2	Oct_5_2016	27.63	28.78	28.72	28.39	28.5	28.47	28.7(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-4	0	-1	-12	2.76	47%	0.11	-65.5	1.99%	0	-0.1	51	0
3	Oct_4_2016	27.6	28.87	28.77	28.5	28.49	28.34	28.21(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-8	-40	-11	1	4.07	47%	0.11	-54.8	2.04%	0	-0.8	53	0
4	Oct_3_2016	27.57	28.99	28.8	28.61	28.66	28.53	28.2(-2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	-30	-4	11	2.35	47%	0.11	-47.6	2.05%	0	-0.9	51	0
5	Sep_30_2016	27.54	29.12	28.83	28.65	28.69	28.64	28.78(2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-6	-10	-8	0	3.63	52%	0.07	-36.5	2.04%	0	-0.4	44	0

6	Sep_29_2016	27.52	29.19	28.76	28.76	28.68	28.8	28.06(-4.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	20	-13	-4	4.84	56%	0.07	-27.1	2.07%	0	-1.2	47	0
7	Sep_28_2016	27.5	29.31	28.83	29.09	28.89	28.74	29.25(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	-60	2	2	2.66	66%	0.07	-10.3	2.13%	0	-0.1	42	0
8	Sep_27_2016	27.48	29.37	28.71	29.08	29.07	28.56	28.74(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-120	-10	-26	2.57	57%	0.11	-4.1	2.29%	0	-0.6	39	0
9	Sep_26_2016	27.45	29.42	28.67	29.08	29.17	29.04	28.43(-3.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-20	-11	-45	2.61	57%	0.07	-1.5	2.52%	0	-1	38	0
10	Sep_23_2016	27.43	29.46	28.8	29.02	29.19	29.57	29.32(-1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	110	13	-34	2.02	52%	0.15	0	3.1%	0	-0.1	41	0

11	Sep_22_2016	27.39	29.45	28.75	28.75	28.94	29.3	29.73(1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	0	110	17	-50	3.54	52%	0.15	-7.3	3.17%	0	0.3	47	0
12	Sep_21_2016	27.35	29.45	28.81	28.53	28.54	28.8	29.2(2.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-8	60	10	-61	5.46	52%	0.11	-13.8	3.17%	0	-0.2	42	0
13	Sep_20_2016	27.32	29.41	28.96	28.31	28.4	28.58	28.45(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	50	6	-69	1.8	52%	0.04	-18.6	3.15%	0	-1	38	0
14	Sep_19_2016	27.31	29.44	29.17	28.28	28.3	28.28	28.43(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-22	-0	-5	-71	2.46	52%	0.07	-20.6	3.16%	0	-1.1	43	0
15	Sep_16_2016	27.29	29.46	29.4	28.56	28.33	28.21	27.94(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-50	-8	-54	2.49	52%	0.04	-12.1	3.16%	0	-1.6	46	0

16	Sep_15_2016	27.28	29.52	29.64	28.74	28.57	28.32	28.64(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-80	-14	-45	3.46	52%	0.04	-6.3	3.14%	0	-1	50	0
17	Sep_14_2016	27.27	29.55	29.83	29.15	28.9	28.44	28.07(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-24	-140	-24	-25	3.52	50%	0.04	8.4	3.13%	0	-1.7	49	0
18	Sep_13_2016	27.26	29.59	30.09	29.71	29.51	28.83	28.34(-4.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-17	-180	-23	3	5.18	48%	0.04	25	3.16%	0	-1.5	49	0
19	Sep_12_2016	27.25	29.63	30.26	30.18	30.02	29.35	29.8(3.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-9	-170	-21	27	4.48	51%	0.11	43	3.11%	0	0.2	60	0
20	Sep_9_2016	27.22	29.63	30.21	30.37	30.41	30.19	28.84(-6.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-2	-50	-16	39	5.5	47%	0.07	45.9	3.13%	0	-0.9	55	0

21	Sep_8_2016	27.2	29.58	30.26	30.65	30.67	30.69	30.71(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	10	3	61	2.38	51%	0.11	60.9	3.04%	0	1.3	75	0
22	Sep_7_2016	27.17	29.47	30.08	30.62	30.56	30.63	30.86(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	17	10	2	60	2.03	51%	0.15	67.6	3.04%	0	1.7	78	0
23	Sep_6_2016	27.13	29.38	29.9	30.54	30.5	30.64	30.67(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	30	7	63	2.89	51%	0.22	84.5	3.04%	0	1.7	79	0
24	Sep_2_2016	27.07	29.3	29.72	30.37	30.39	30.5	30.79(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	30	12	59	3.02	49%	0.19	97.3	3.05%	0	2.3	72	0
25	Sep_1_2016	27.02	29.2	29.51	30.04	30.12	30.35	30.25(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	60	9	47	3.51	49%		91.9	3.05%	0	1.6	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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