Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ FAS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $30.6668 (-0.38%) ($30.0744 - $30.9038) on Tue. Sep. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.04% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $30.6668(-0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(91%)    SDY(90%)    IWN(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-17%)    IGOV(-8%)    IBUY(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.52% (StdDev 3.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.54(0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.9(2.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.38(4.38%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   44.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 2.52% (three month std-dev: 3.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 41 Average positive next day return: 0.65%(44%) Average negative next day return: -0.95%(56%) Sample size 41 Average positive next three day return: 1.34%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -2.22%(46%) Sample size 41 Average positive next weekly return: 1.78%(59%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.26%(41%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161006

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_6_2016	27.13	29.38	29.9	30.54	30.5	30.64	30.67(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	30	7	63	2.89	51%	0.22	84.5	3.04%	0	1.7	79	0
2	Sep_2_2016	27.07	29.3	29.72	30.37	30.39	30.5	30.79(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	30	12	59	3.02	49%	0.19	97.3	3.05%	0	2.3	72	0
3	Sep_1_2016	27.02	29.2	29.51	30.04	30.12	30.35	30.25(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	60	9	47	3.51	49%	0.19	91.9	3.05%	0	1.6	73	0
4	Aug_31_2016	26.97	29.08	29.38	29.8	29.84	30.29	30.53(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	110	17	44	2.92	49%	0.22	78	3.04%	0	2.2	74	0
5	Aug_30_2016	26.91	28.94	29.21	29.46	29.49	29.9	30.47(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	22	100	18	34	3.21	49%	0.3	61.7	3.05%	0	2.3	75	0

6	Aug_29_2016	26.83	28.77	29.02	29.17	29.17	29.4	29.83(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13	60	11	17	2.71	49%	0.22	49.8	3.06%	0	1.8	57	0
7	Aug_26_2016	26.77	28.67	28.93	28.98	29.06	29.08	29.11(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	10	5	8	4.74	49%	0.26	44.6	3.05%	0	0.8	50	0
8	Aug_25_2016	26.7	28.61	28.87	28.91	28.96	28.94	29.05(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-1	0	-1	-0	1.54	49%	0.19	40.8	3.06%	0	0.8	49	0
9	Aug_24_2016	26.65	28.57	28.84	28.89	28.89	29.05	28.83(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2	40	1	6	1.51	52%	0.19	44	3.07%	0	0.5	67	0
10	Aug_23_2016	26.6	28.52	28.82	28.91	28.87	28.97	29.03(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	20	6	14	2.07	52%	0.15	45	3.12%	0	0.9	68	0

11	Aug_22_2016	26.56	28.47	28.83	28.84	28.87	28.72	28.89(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-20	-2	21	1.65	52%	0.15	45	3.12%	0	0.7	73	0
12	Aug_19_2016	26.52	28.42	28.85	28.87	28.78	28.78	28.77(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10	-1	30	1.95	52%	0.15	49.7	3.12%	0	0.6	61	0
13	Aug_18_2016	26.48	28.39	28.87	28.83	28.84	28.84	28.92(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	0	3	37	1.84	54%	0.19	52.9	3.14%	0	0.9	60	0
14	Aug_17_2016	26.43	28.32	28.76	28.78	28.84	28.78	28.93(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	10	0	32	2.16	54%	0.19	53.2	3.18%	0	1.1	58	0
15	Aug_16_2016	26.38	28.27	28.65	28.72	28.73	28.85	28.69(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	30	-0	30	2.17	54%	0.19	60.1	3.2%	0	0.8	59	0

16	Aug_15_2016	26.33	28.22	28.51	28.82	28.77	28.69	29.02(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-20	0	29	2	54%	0.08	72.3	3.2%	0	1.4	60	0
17	Aug_12_2016	26.31	28.14	28.39	28.83	28.82	28.62	28.57(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-50	-7	27	2.22	52%	0.23	88.4	3.22%	0	0.8	58	0
18	Aug_11_2016	26.25	28.08	28.34	28.93	29	28.84	28.7(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	10	-30	2	35	1.79	52%	0.15	107.9	3.22%	0	1.1	57	0
19	Aug_10_2016	26.21	28.02	28.28	28.73	28.96	29.03	28.62(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	40	4	32	2.1	54%	0.19	119.6	3.25%	0	1	61	0
20	Aug_9_2016	26.16	27.93	28.21	28.56	28.67	29.16	29.19(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	130	17	31	2.21	54%	0.15	127.9	3.27%	0	2	62	0

21	Aug_8_2016	26.12	27.81	28.08	28.15	28.22	28.9	29.07(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.4	21	180	21	19	3.19	54%	0.19	121.6	3.27%	0	1.9	63	0
22	Aug_5_2016	26.07	27.66	27.95	27.9	27.77	28.18	29.07(4.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	15	90	16	10	4.36	54%	0.19	106.1	3.27%	0	1.8	64	0
23	Aug_4_2016	26.02	27.48	27.95	27.69	27.6	27.53	27.69(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	0	-30	-0	1	1.37	51%	0.15	80.2	3.22%	0	0.2	57	0
24	Aug_3_2016	25.98	27.32	27.83	27.78	27.69	27.37	27.77(2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-4	-90	-6	3	1.92	49%	0.19	69	3.23%	0	0.4	55	0
25	Aug_2_2016	25.93	27.15	27.84	27.8	27.82	27.68	27.12(-2.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-30	-10	8	2.65	49%		66.2	3.25%	0	-0	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.