Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 30, 2016

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $30.4694 (2.15%) ($29.8177 - $30.4891) on Tue. Aug. 30, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.05% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $30.4694(2.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(91%)    SDY(90%)    IWN(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-17%)    IGOV(-8%)    IBUY(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.525% (StdDev 3.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.46(3.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.21(4.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.94(5.28%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   43.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 2.35% (three month std-dev: 3.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 33 Average positive next day return: 1.07%(42%) Average negative next day return: -1.01%(58%) Sample size 33 Average positive next three day return: 1.97%(30%) Average negative next three day return: -1.87%(70%) Sample size 33 Average positive next weekly return: 2.57%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.75%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160930

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_30_2016	26.91	28.94	29.21	29.46	29.49	29.9	30.47(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	22	100	18	34	3.21	49%	0.3	61.7	3.05%	0	2.3	75	0
2	Aug_29_2016	26.83	28.77	29.02	29.17	29.17	29.4	29.83(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13	60	11	17	2.71	49%	0.22	49.8	3.06%	0	1.8	57	0
3	Aug_26_2016	26.77	28.67	28.93	28.98	29.06	29.08	29.11(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	10	5	8	4.74	49%	0.26	44.6	3.05%	0	0.8	50	0
4	Aug_25_2016	26.7	28.61	28.87	28.91	28.96	28.94	29.05(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-1	0	-1	-0	1.54	49%	0.19	40.8	3.06%	0	0.8	49	0
5	Aug_24_2016	26.65	28.57	28.84	28.89	28.89	29.05	28.83(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2	40	1	6	1.51	52%	0.19	44	3.07%	0	0.5	67	0

6	Aug_23_2016	26.6	28.52	28.82	28.91	28.87	28.97	29.03(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	20	6	14	2.07	52%	0.15	45	3.12%	0	0.9	68	0
7	Aug_22_2016	26.56	28.47	28.83	28.84	28.87	28.72	28.89(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-20	-2	21	1.65	52%	0.15	45	3.12%	0	0.7	73	0
8	Aug_19_2016	26.52	28.42	28.85	28.87	28.78	28.78	28.77(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10	-1	30	1.95	52%	0.15	49.7	3.12%	0	0.6	61	0
9	Aug_18_2016	26.48	28.39	28.87	28.83	28.84	28.84	28.92(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	0	3	37	1.84	54%	0.19	52.9	3.14%	0	0.9	60	0
10	Aug_17_2016	26.43	28.32	28.76	28.78	28.84	28.78	28.93(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	10	0	32	2.16	54%	0.19	53.2	3.18%	0	1.1	58	0

11	Aug_16_2016	26.38	28.27	28.65	28.72	28.73	28.85	28.69(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	30	-0	30	2.17	54%	0.19	60.1	3.2%	0	0.8	59	0
12	Aug_15_2016	26.33	28.22	28.51	28.82	28.77	28.69	29.02(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-20	0	29	2	54%	0.08	72.3	3.2%	0	1.4	60	0
13	Aug_12_2016	26.31	28.14	28.39	28.83	28.82	28.62	28.57(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-50	-7	27	2.22	52%	0.23	88.4	3.22%	0	0.8	58	0
14	Aug_11_2016	26.25	28.08	28.34	28.93	29	28.84	28.7(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	10	-30	2	35	1.79	52%	0.15	107.9	3.22%	0	1.1	57	0
15	Aug_10_2016	26.21	28.02	28.28	28.73	28.96	29.03	28.62(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	40	4	32	2.1	54%	0.19	119.6	3.25%	0	1	61	0

16	Aug_9_2016	26.16	27.93	28.21	28.56	28.67	29.16	29.19(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	130	17	31	2.21	54%	0.15	127.9	3.27%	0	2	62	0
17	Aug_8_2016	26.12	27.81	28.08	28.15	28.22	28.9	29.07(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.4	21	180	21	19	3.19	54%	0.19	121.6	3.27%	0	1.9	63	0
18	Aug_5_2016	26.07	27.66	27.95	27.9	27.77	28.18	29.07(4.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	15	90	16	10	4.36	54%	0.19	106.1	3.27%	0	1.8	64	0
19	Aug_4_2016	26.02	27.48	27.95	27.69	27.6	27.53	27.69(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	0	-30	-0	1	1.37	51%	0.15	80.2	3.22%	0	0.2	57	0
20	Aug_3_2016	25.98	27.32	27.83	27.78	27.69	27.37	27.77(2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-4	-90	-6	3	1.92	49%	0.19	69	3.23%	0	0.4	55	0

21	Aug_2_2016	25.93	27.15	27.84	27.8	27.82	27.68	27.12(-2.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-30	-10	8	2.65	49%	0.15	66.2	3.25%	0	-0	57	0
22	Aug_1_2016	25.89	27.01	27.91	27.98	27.95	28	27.84(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	10	0	25	2.5	49%	0.15	79.1	3.25%	0	0.6	68	0
23	Jul_29_2016	25.85	26.87	27.89	27.99	27.93	27.97	28.01(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	0	1	36	2.18	49%	0.27	83.5	3.27%	0	0.8	78	0
24	Jul_28_2016	25.78	26.72	27.82	28	27.9	27.9	28.16(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	15	-10	3	50	2.59	49%	0.23	77.2	3.28%	0	1	83	0
25	Jul_27_2016	25.72	26.53	27.75	27.88	27.88	27.89	27.87(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	17	0	0	66	3.31	49%		69.2	3.3%	0	0.9	87	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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