Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $27.5863 (-1.17%) ($27.4580 - $27.9714) on Thu. Jul. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.31% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $27.5863(-1.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 6.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(91%)    SDY(90%)    IWN(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-17%)    IGOV(-8%)    IPO(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.655% (StdDev 3.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.62(-0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.1(1.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.65(7.55%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   30%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 7.41% (three month std-dev: 3.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 4.4%(67%) Average negative next day return: -2.07%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 5.24%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.6%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.19%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160821

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2016	25.51	25.65	27.1	27.62	27.64	27.8	27.59(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	40	3	112	2.57	49%	0.2	35.5	3.31%	0	1	70	INF
2	Jul_20_2016	25.46	25.53	26.78	27.6	27.58	27.67	27.91(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	35	20	8	117	2.28	49%	0.24	38.3	3.33%	0	1.3	78	INF
3	Jul_19_2016	25.4	25.4	26.41	27.38	27.56	27.48	27.72(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	34	-0	5	120	1.96	49%	0.32	39	3.34%	0	1.3	83	INF
4	Jul_18_2016	25.32	25.27	26.04	27.2	27.38	27.49	27.55(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	50	7	136	2.08	49%	0.32	37.2	3.35%	0	1.4	86	INF
5	Jul_15_2016	25.24	25.12	25.77	26.87	27.17	27.64	27.32(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	150	18	143	3.29	49%	0.28	29.1	3.36%	0	1.4	69	INF

6	Jul_14_2016	25.17	24.99	25.54	26.49	26.76	27.27	27.48(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	52	160	29	122	4.24	49%	0.32	16.7	3.36%	0	1.7	51	INF
7	Jul_13_2016	25.09	24.85	25.2	25.84	26.12	26.69	26.85(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	190	25	86	2.87	53%	0.28	-5.4	3.35%	0	1.4	54	INF
8	Jul_12_2016	25.02	24.73	24.79	25.29	25.5	26.25	26.8(3.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	34	230	30	47	3.81	53%	0.28	-27	3.43%	0	1.6	54	INF
9	Jul_11_2016	24.95	24.66	24.24	24.73	24.78	25.56	25.9(1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	15	230	21	-5	3.9	51%	0.24	-48.9	3.44%	0	1	53	INF
10	Jul_8_2016	24.89	24.67	23.95	24.52	24.33	24.74	25.45(5.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	90	13	-29	5.62	51%	0.24	-56.4	3.43%	0	0.6	53	INF

11	Jul_7_2016	24.83	24.75	24.06	24.45	24.26	24.01	24.19(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-100	0	-25	3.75	45%	0.2	-56.5	3.38%	0	-0.4	49	INF
12	Jul_6_2016	24.78	24.92	24.17	24.46	24.37	23.91	24.11(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-140	-2	-21	4.5	45%	0.2	-52.3	3.45%	0	-0.5	49	INF
13	Jul_5_2016	24.73	25.09	24.31	24.18	24.35	24.51	23.97(-3.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	4	70	12	-22	4.4	45%	0.24	-54.9	3.46%	0	-0.7	49	INF
14	Jul_1_2016	24.67	25.28	24.43	23.63	23.94	24.83	24.86(-1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	9	300	25	-41	3.73	47%	0.37	-61.6	3.44%	0	-0.2	48	INF
15	Jun_30_2016	24.58	25.4	24.42	23.28	23.14	24.2	25.14(3.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-10	300	10	-70	6.7	47%	0.29	-63.9	3.43%	0	-0.1	46	INF

16	Jun_29_2016	24.51	25.55	24.4	23.65	22.83	23.05	24.21(6.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-18	-40	2	-76	8.61	45%	0.29	-56	3.4%	0	-0.7	39	INF
17	Jun_28_2016	24.44	25.75	24.46	23.9	23.56	22.08	22.74(7.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-480	-30	-102	7.69	40%	0.21	-50.7	3.31%	0	-1.6	31	INF
18	Jun_27_2016	24.39	26.02	24.68	24.48	24.37	22.6	21.22(-8.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.8	-80	-520	-68	-117	8.15	34%	0.04	-41.4	3.19%	0	-2.6	23	INF
19	Jun_24_2016	24.38	26.38	25.16	25.3	25.33	25.05	23.08(-14.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-46	-70	-32	-88	10.56	38%	0.12	-31.1	3.05%	0	-2.2	27	INF
20	Jun_23_2016	24.35	26.63	25.16	25.65	25.89	26.14	26.99(5.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	100	29	-74	4.48	50%	0.29	-22.6	2.46%	0	0.3	44	INF

21	Jun_22_2016	24.28	26.67	25.51	25.25	25.47	25.6	25.48(-0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-24	60	7	-117	3.01	43%	0.21	-25.1	2.37%	0	-0.9	25	INF
22	Jun_21_2016	24.23	26.77	25.73	25.12	25.2	25.65	25.61(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	130	13	-125	2.63	43%	0.21	-21.7	2.37%	0	-0.9	28	INF
23	Jun_20_2016	24.18	26.8	25.92	24.96	25.08	25.34	25.31(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-26	90	12	-138	4.2	43%	0.12	-24.5	2.37%	0	-1.2	28	INF
24	Jun_17_2016	24.15	26.86	26.17	25.04	24.92	24.76	24.83(-0.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-49	-60	-15	-149	3.41	43%	0.21	-21.3	2.37%	0	-1.6	22	INF
25	Jun_16_2016	24.1	26.92	26.44	25.35	25.19	24.81	25.01(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-55	-120	-27	-140	4.88	43%		-17.6	2.41%	0	-1.6	30	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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