Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $26.7965 (3.47%) ($26.3619 - $26.8853) on Tue. Jul. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.43% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $26.7965(3.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(91%)    SDY(90%)    IWN(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-17%)    IGOV(-8%)    IPO(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.715% (StdDev 3.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.29(5.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.79(8.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.73(8.36%)
To recent high   -5.8%
To recent low   26.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 5.26% (three month std-dev: 3.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 3.69%(67%) Average negative next day return: -2.29%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 4.87%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -3.2%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 15.75%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.23%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160812

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_12_2016	25.02	24.73	24.79	25.29	25.5	26.25	26.8(3.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	34	230	30	47	3.81	53%	0.28	-27	3.43%	0	1.6	54	0
2	Jul_11_2016	24.95	24.66	24.24	24.73	24.78	25.56	25.9(1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	15	230	21	-5	3.9	51%	0.24	-48.9	3.44%	0	1	53	0
3	Jul_8_2016	24.89	24.67	23.95	24.52	24.33	24.74	25.45(5.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	90	13	-29	5.62	51%	0.24	-56.4	3.43%	0	0.6	53	0
4	Jul_7_2016	24.83	24.75	24.06	24.45	24.26	24.01	24.19(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-100	0	-25	3.75	45%	0.2	-56.5	3.38%	0	-0.4	49	0
5	Jul_6_2016	24.78	24.92	24.17	24.46	24.37	23.91	24.11(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-140	-2	-21	4.5	45%	0.2	-52.3	3.45%	0	-0.5	49	0

6	Jul_5_2016	24.73	25.09	24.31	24.18	24.35	24.51	23.97(-3.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	4	70	12	-22	4.4	45%	0.24	-54.9	3.46%	0	-0.7	49	0
7	Jul_1_2016	24.67	25.28	24.43	23.63	23.94	24.83	24.86(-1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	9	300	25	-41	3.73	47%	0.37	-61.6	3.44%	0	-0.2	48	0
8	Jun_30_2016	24.58	25.4	24.42	23.28	23.14	24.2	25.14(3.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-10	300	10	-70	6.7	47%	0.29	-63.9	3.43%	0	-0.1	46	0
9	Jun_29_2016	24.51	25.55	24.4	23.65	22.83	23.05	24.21(6.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-18	-40	2	-76	8.61	45%	0.29	-56	3.4%	0	-0.7	39	0
10	Jun_28_2016	24.44	25.75	24.46	23.9	23.56	22.08	22.74(7.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-480	-30	-102	7.69	40%	0.21	-50.7	3.31%	0	-1.6	31	0

11	Jun_27_2016	24.39	26.02	24.68	24.48	24.37	22.6	21.22(-8.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.8	-80	-520	-68	-117	8.15	34%	0.04	-41.4	3.19%	0	-2.6	23	0
12	Jun_24_2016	24.38	26.38	25.16	25.3	25.33	25.05	23.08(-14.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-46	-70	-32	-88	10.56	38%	0.12	-31.1	3.05%	0	-2.2	27	0
13	Jun_23_2016	24.35	26.63	25.16	25.65	25.89	26.14	26.99(5.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	100	29	-74	4.48	50%	0.29	-22.6	2.46%	0	0.3	44	0
14	Jun_22_2016	24.28	26.67	25.51	25.25	25.47	25.6	25.48(-0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-24	60	7	-117	3.01	43%	0.21	-25.1	2.37%	0	-0.9	25	0
15	Jun_21_2016	24.23	26.77	25.73	25.12	25.2	25.65	25.61(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	130	13	-125	2.63	43%	0.21	-21.7	2.37%	0	-0.9	28	0

16	Jun_20_2016	24.18	26.8	25.92	24.96	25.08	25.34	25.31(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-26	90	12	-138	4.2	43%	0.12	-24.5	2.37%	0	-1.2	28	0
17	Jun_17_2016	24.15	26.86	26.17	25.04	24.92	24.76	24.83(-0.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-49	-60	-15	-149	3.41	43%	0.21	-21.3	2.37%	0	-1.6	22	0
18	Jun_16_2016	24.1	26.92	26.44	25.35	25.19	24.81	25.01(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-55	-120	-27	-140	4.88	43%	0.21	-17.6	2.41%	0	-1.6	30	0
19	Jun_15_2016	24.05	27.01	26.78	25.82	25.66	25.09	24.83(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-58	-170	-37	-119	4.52	43%	0.21	-6.6	2.41%	0	-2	26	0
20	Jun_14_2016	24	27.05	27.13	26.44	26.23	25.58	24.83(-3.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-50	-200	-39	-84	5.8	43%	0.21	1.8	2.41%	0	-2.1	35	0

21	Jun_13_2016	23.95	27.12	27.47	27.01	26.91	26.23	25.67(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-35	-190	-33	-40	4.3	46%	0.25	17.3	2.38%	0	-1.5	51	0
22	Jun_10_2016	23.89	27.13	27.73	27.45	27.37	26.89	26.38(-3.61%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-18	-130	-24	1	4.6	58%	0.29	26.8	2.51%	0	-0.8	56	0
23	Jun_9_2016	23.82	27.14	27.88	27.67	27.71	27.58	27.37(-2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-30	-11	33	3.48	63%	0.29	35.8	2.47%	0	0.2	67	0
24	Jun_8_2016	23.75	27.08	27.95	27.88	27.69	27.85	27.93(0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	14	20	-2	62	2.65	56%	0.34	43.8	2.45%	0	0.8	63	0
25	Jun_7_2016	23.67	27.03	27.9	27.94	27.77	27.83	27.7(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	-0	5	84	2.13	56%		50.8	2.53%	0	0.7	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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