Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $26.3818 (-1.91%) ($25.8190 - $26.7767) on Fri. Apr. 29, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.59% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $26.3818(-1.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(92%)    IWN(89%)    SDY(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.795% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    IPO(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.795% (StdDev 3.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.13(-2.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.02(-2.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.75(2.45%)
To recent high   -4.8%
To recent low   61.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 5.98% (three month std-dev: 3.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.43%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.1%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.41%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.88%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.54%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.49%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160529

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_29_2016	23.6	25.75	27.02	27.13	27.13	26.76	26.38(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-100	-14	61	4.63	53%	-0.13	47.3	3.59%	0	0.4	74	0
2	Apr_28_2016	23.63	25.68	26.97	27.31	27.28	27.38	26.9(-2.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	20	-1	87	3.49	53%	-0.08	55.6	3.73%	0	0.8	78	0
3	Apr_27_2016	23.65	25.56	26.87	27.27	27.25	27.51	27.72(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	33	60	7	110	3.97	53%	-0.08	57.4	3.7%	0	1.4	86	0
4	Apr_26_2016	23.67	25.39	26.66	27.21	27.13	27.18	27.52(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	0	5	119	2.91	56%	-0.17	60.1	3.71%	0	1.4	70	0
5	Apr_25_2016	23.71	25.21	26.34	27.09	27.09	26.99	27.11(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	-30	3	120	2.64	53%	-0.21	59.2	3.76%	0	1.3	71	0

6	Apr_22_2016	23.76	25.04	25.98	26.9	27.01	27.07	27.29(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	30	7	107	3.73	55%	-0.08	54.1	3.85%	0	1.6	63	0
7	Apr_21_2016	23.78	24.84	25.58	26.57	26.7	27.2	26.69(-2.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	150	9	87	4.31	55%	-0.21	48	3.9%	0	1.4	58	0
8	Apr_20_2016	23.83	24.7	25.2	26.39	26.36	26.95	27.46(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	150	20	78	4.36	52%	-0.17	49.6	3.88%	0	2.2	65	0
9	Apr_19_2016	23.87	24.54	24.86	26.03	25.96	26.21	26.9(2.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	60	19	63	4.19	52%	-0.21	54.2	3.95%	0	2.2	62	0
10	Apr_18_2016	23.92	24.41	24.52	25.49	25.61	25.76	26.17(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	60	16	41	3.97	52%	-0.21	52.8	3.94%	0	2	62	0

11	Apr_15_2016	23.97	24.32	24.35	24.91	25.11	25.72	25.63(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	190	18	28	3.83	50%	0.04	45.9	3.96%	0	1.6	62	0
12	Apr_14_2016	23.96	24.24	24.27	24.41	24.55	25.46	25.8(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	27	280	28	23	4.97	50%	-0.21	44.3	4.06%	0	2.1	65	0
13	Apr_13_2016	24.01	24.11	24.11	23.83	23.96	24.51	25.65(6.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	17	180	21	3	6.84	47%	-0.25	32.6	4.07%	0	2.3	60	0
14	Apr_12_2016	24.07	23.98	23.98	23.53	23.45	23.64	24.17(3.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	-0	50	4	-13	4.92	44%	-0.29	33.2	4.13%	0	0.3	48	0
15	Apr_11_2016	24.14	23.94	23.97	23.44	23.48	23.41	23.3(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-20	-4	-22	4.49	44%	-0.37	30.1	4.11%	0	-1	41	0

16	Apr_8_2016	24.23	23.96	24.02	23.71	23.57	23.26	23.15(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-110	-14	-23	4.65	42%	-0.37	47.5	4.11%	0	-1.3	39	0
17	Apr_7_2016	24.32	23.91	24.08	24.09	23.95	23.55	22.86(-5.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-13	-130	-13	-13	4.59	40%	-0.37	49.5	4.15%	0	-1.4	43	0
18	Apr_6_2016	24.41	23.89	24.2	24.41	24.27	23.88	24.17(2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-130	-8	3	3.35	40%	-0.25	53.7	4.22%	0	0.3	59	0
19	Apr_5_2016	24.47	23.78	24.23	24.48	24.42	24.35	23.7(-3.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-30	-7	13	4.21	40%	-0.24	50.7	4.25%	0	-0.1	57	0
20	Apr_4_2016	24.53	23.75	24.32	24.57	24.6	24.66	24.66(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	20	8	29	2.91	38%	-0.2	69	4.22%	0	1	65	0

21	Apr_1_2016	24.58	23.67	24.31	24.38	24.32	24.49	25.06(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	40	7	28	4.5	38%	-0.16	78.7	4.28%	0	1.5	65	0
22	Mar_31_2016	24.62	23.56	24.21	24.07	24.13	24.54	24.46(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	130	8	30	3.19	38%	-0.28	87.8	4.3%	0	1.1	74	0
23	Mar_30_2016	24.69	23.46	24.1	23.97	23.85	24.16	24.55(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	80	6	34	3.57	38%	-0.32	101.1	4.31%	0	1.3	74	0
24	Mar_29_2016	24.77	23.33	23.97	23.95	23.74	23.71	24.13(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	-40	-1	38	3.8	40%	-0.28	114.7	4.31%	0	0.9	73	0
25	Mar_28_2016	24.84	23.13	23.89	24.05	23.89	23.53	23.72(0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-130	-8	41	3.08	40%		90.5	4.33%	0	0.5	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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