Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $23.3013 (-1.21%) ($22.9556 - $23.5086) on Mon. Mar. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.57% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $23.3013(-1.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 5.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(92%)    IWN(89%)    SDY(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -2.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    GLD(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.285% (StdDev 4.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.55(3.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.63(2.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.3(9.4%)
To recent high   -23.3%
To recent low   42.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 7.04% (three month std-dev: 4.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 3.27%(25%) Average negative next day return: -2.16%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 14.08%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -2.41%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 9.95%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.57%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160414

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_14_2016	25.54	21.3	22.63	22.55	22.62	23.17	23.3(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	180	10	80	4.13	42%	-0.27	85.7	4.57%	0	1.3	75	INF
2	Mar_11_2016	25.61	21.05	22.31	22.49	22.36	22.56	23.59(7.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	50	7	77	6.01	41%	-0.23	77.6	4.56%	0	1.6	67	INF
3	Mar_10_2016	25.67	20.69	22.01	22.4	22.32	22.08	21.96(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-90	-6	77	7.11	38%	-0.23	56.8	4.53%	0	0.7	66	INF
4	Mar_9_2016	25.73	20.49	21.86	22.58	22.59	22.16	22.01(0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-130	-7	91	4.41	38%	-0.27	52	4.53%	0	0.8	67	INF
5	Mar_8_2016	25.8	20.29	21.62	22.67	22.72	22.56	21.92(-4.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	20	-40	-5	96	5.33	37%	-0.23	46.9	4.54%	0	0.9	64	INF

6	Mar_7_2016	25.86	20.09	21.39	22.68	22.69	23.01	23(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	100	16	111	5.59	38%	-0.23	38	4.52%	0	1.6	74	INF
7	Mar_4_2016	25.92	19.9	21.13	22.07	22.27	22.88	23.11(1.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	43	220	21	107	6.43	40%	-0.19	24.9	4.53%	0	1.8	78	INF
8	Mar_3_2016	25.97	19.75	20.77	21.56	21.56	22.37	22.88(1.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	44	260	22	109	4.85	39%	-0.12	20	4.63%	0	2	83	INF
9	Mar_2_2016	26	19.59	20.41	21.04	21.07	21.66	22.46(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	46	200	26	105	6.09	39%	-0.19	12.6	4.65%	0	2.1	70	INF
10	Mar_1_2016	26.05	19.45	20.13	20.43	20.51	20.76	21.97(10.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	36	100	17	93	7.16	40%	-0.23	-0.8	4.66%	0	2	69	INF

11	Feb_29_2016	26.11	19.4	19.83	19.93	19.95	20.48	19.92(-3.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	190	1	81	4.02	36%	-0.27	-4.2	4.44%	0	0.4	62	INF
12	Feb_26_2016	26.18	19.48	19.67	20.04	19.83	20.26	20.55(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	120	14	84	5.33	36%	-0.27	1.9	4.43%	0	0.8	54	INF
13	Feb_25_2016	26.25	19.44	19.27	19.85	19.77	19.43	20.28(4.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-130	5	47	4.34	36%	-0.3	-0.6	4.46%	0	0.7	48	INF
14	Feb_24_2016	26.33	19.42	19.02	19.7	19.65	19.39	19.44(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-100	-11	20	6.94	36%	-0.27	-2.9	4.41%	0	0	47	INF
15	Feb_23_2016	26.4	19.42	18.86	19.77	19.83	20.1	19.47(-4.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	100	4	15	5.06	36%	-0.26	-2.6	4.41%	0	0	48	INF

16	Feb_22_2016	26.47	19.46	18.71	19.7	19.81	19.91	20.44(4.12%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	12	50	18	-6	4.09	37%	-0.19	-9.5	4.38%	0	0.8	44	INF
17	Feb_19_2016	26.52	19.46	18.59	19.23	19.44	19.55	19.63(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	70	17	-40	4.34	37%	-0.23	-25.1	4.34%	0	0.1	40	INF
18	Feb_18_2016	26.58	19.46	18.65	18.58	19	19.7	19.5(-1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	330	19	-61	5.14	39%	-0.19	-46.1	4.34%	0	0	49	INF
19	Feb_17_2016	26.63	19.45	18.69	18.23	18.17	19.33	19.82(3.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	440	25	-71	5.77	39%	-0.19	-66	4.4%	0	0.3	50	INF
20	Feb_16_2016	26.68	19.49	18.68	17.83	17.78	18.3	19.1(5.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-6	200	23	-91	6.46	39%	-0.11	-80.8	4.37%	0	-0.3	45	INF

21	Feb_12_2016	26.71	19.58	18.9	17.61	17.44	17.01	18.12(10.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-34	-200	-11	-102	6.43	36%	-0.26	-90	4.3%	0	-1.1	47	INF
22	Feb_11_2016	26.78	19.79	19.24	17.89	17.59	17.26	16.37(-7.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-52	-180	-36	-100	14.14	32%	-0.33	-85.6	4.08%	0	-2.4	33	INF
23	Feb_10_2016	26.87	20.06	19.63	18.73	18.51	17.88	17.74(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-270	-17	-60	13.07	33%	-0.3	-97.7	3.98%	0	-1.9	45	INF
24	Feb_9_2016	26.95	20.35	19.87	19.2	19.03	17.92	17.81(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-35	-430	-31	-45	5.1	33%	-0.33	-94.6	3.99%	0	-1.9	44	INF
25	Feb_8_2016	27.04	20.62	20.15	19.64	19.59	19.14	17.99(-8.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-33	-170	-34	-31	14.16	33%		-99.8	4%	0	-2	40	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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