Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 1, 2015

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $25.0192 (0.92%) ($24.1962 - $25.1970) on Thu. Oct. 1, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.88% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $25.0192(0.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS declines -3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(95%)    IVE(94%)    XLF(92%)    SDY(89%)    IWN(88%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.94% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    VIXM(-29%)    UUP(-14%)    IGOV(-10%)    GLD(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.94% (StdDev 3.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $17.69(-29.29%)
Resistance Level   $25.51
5 Day Moving Average   $24.62(1.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.95(0.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.51(-1.92%)
To recent high   -28.7%
To recent low   5.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 3.61% (three month std-dev: 3.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 2.11%(40%) Average negative next day return: -3.6%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.96%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -3.62%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 0.87%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.73%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_1_2015	30.89	25.51	24.95	24.62	24.41	24.71	25.02(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	60	6	-56	9.77	41%	-0.23	-58.4	3.88%	0	-0.5	46	INF
2	Sep_30_2015	30.96	25.55	25.09	24.57	24.61	24.19	24.79(3.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	-110	-1	-55	5.27	41%	-0.23	-63.2	3.91%	0	-0.8	48	INF
3	Sep_29_2015	31.03	25.56	25.34	24.67	24.62	24.11	23.91(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-150	-20	-50	5.87	39%	-0.26	-56.5	3.89%	0	-1.8	45	INF
4	Sep_28_2015	31.11	25.73	25.64	24.92	24.98	25.04	23.76(-7.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-18	20	-12	-36	7.58	39%	-0.26	-40.9	3.97%	0	-2.2	39	INF
5	Sep_25_2015	31.19	25.95	25.88	25.39	25.14	25.13	25.62(3.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-0	-30	3	-10	6.28	40%	-0.19	-30.7	3.88%	0	-0.4	57	INF

6	Sep_24_2015	31.25	26.06	25.92	25.32	25.23	24.92	24.78(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-100	-12	-18	5.92	40%	-0.16	-44.6	3.86%	0	-1.2	46	INF
7	Sep_23_2015	31.3	26.14	26.02	25.69	25.45	25.15	25.3(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-110	-17	-9	3.53	40%	-0.19	-68.9	3.86%	0	-0.8	49	INF
8	Sep_22_2015	31.36	26.08	26.05	26.12	25.93	25.54	25.15(-3.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-8	-130	-14	10	5.92	41%	-0.19	-93.4	3.86%	0	-0.8	54	INF
9	Sep_21_2015	31.42	26.1	26.18	26.48	26.44	25.75	26.1(3.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-0	-190	-7	21	4.58	41%	-0.16	-121.3	3.85%	0	0	46	INF
10	Sep_18_2015	31.47	26.23	26.06	26.43	26.57	26.31	25.29(-5.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-50	-15	-2	6.62	41%	-0.16	-125.2	3.84%	0	-0.8	41	INF

11	Sep_17_2015	31.52	26.53	26.15	26.59	26.67	27.13	26.65(-2.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9	130	11	3	7.47	43%	-0.13	-94.7	3.81%	0	0.1	44	INF
12	Sep_16_2015	31.56	26.84	26.06	26.38	26.32	26.83	27.42(1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	14	130	20	-3	3.37	43%	-0.09	-73.2	3.8%	0	0.3	55	INF
13	Sep_15_2015	31.59	27.15	26.06	25.98	25.9	26.2	26.96(4.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	70	8	-17	3.55	43%	-0.13	-63.1	3.8%	0	-0.1	63	INF
14	Sep_14_2015	31.63	27.5	25.79	25.87	25.84	25.8	25.85(-0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	3	-10	7	-11	2.65	41%	-0.16	-56.7	3.75%	0	-0.5	53	INF
15	Sep_11_2015	31.68	27.9	25.99	25.64	25.89	25.6	26.05(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	-50	-2	-27	2.95	41%	-0.16	-54	3.76%	0	-0.5	44	INF

16	Sep_10_2015	31.73	28.26	26.18	25.65	25.68	25.89	25.6(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	60	-6	-48	5.4	43%	-0.16	-52.4	3.75%	0	-0.7	38	INF
17	Sep_9_2015	31.78	28.64	26.25	25.69	25.85	26.18	25.42(-3.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	110	14	-76	4.53	43%	-0.16	-52.3	3.8%	0	-0.9	34	INF
18	Sep_8_2015	31.83	29.06	26.12	25.54	25.65	25.47	26.42(7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-37	-40	-2	-140	4.18	43%	-0.06	-52.7	3.77%	0	-0.7	34	INF
19	Sep_4_2015	31.85	29.47	26.02	25.72	25.4	25.51	24.69(-5.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-67	-10	-24	-195	4.96	39%	-0.19	-49.7	3.64%	0	-1.2	29	INF
20	Sep_3_2015	31.91	29.94	26.43	26.4	26.04	25.83	26.1(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-100	-5	-196	4.47	41%	-0.16	-47.4	3.6%	0	-1	32	INF

21	Sep_2_2015	31.96	30.33	26.95	26.81	26.47	25.29	25.8(4.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-65	-350	-20	-199	2.97	41%	-0.19	-46.3	3.6%	0	-1.2	33	INF
22	Sep_1_2015	32.02	30.76	27.68	26.9	27.03	26.25	24.71(-9.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-62	-190	-17	-197	7.52	38%	-0.19	-47.6	3.56%	0	-1.6	31	INF
23	Aug_31_2015	32.08	31.25	28.63	26.71	27.15	27.64	27.31(-2.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-42	180	10	-198	3.24	42%	-0.09	-51.8	3.37%	0	-1.1	33	INF
24	Aug_28_2015	32.11	31.6	29.32	26.32	26.7	27.8	28.07(-0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-38	330	18	-206	3.39	41%	-0.06	-55.1	3.37%	0	-1	33	INF
25	Aug_27_2015	32.13	31.91	29.91	26.49	26.11	26.66	28.18(7.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-56	100	-5	-209	6.88	42%		-54.8	3.37%	0	-1.1	37	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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