Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 31, 2015

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $27.3099 (-2.71%) ($27.1717 - $27.7739) on Mon. Aug. 31, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.37% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $27.3099(-2.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS declines -11.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    XLF(92%)    IWN(89%)    SDY(89%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    TLT(-31%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-11%)    GLD(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.685% (StdDev 3.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $7.72(-71.73%)
Resistance Level   $31.25
5 Day Moving Average   $26.71(2.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.63(-4.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.25(-12.61%)
To recent high   -22.2%
To recent low   14.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 11.3% (three month std-dev: 3.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.9%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.07%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.63%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -2.92%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 6.14%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.22%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_31_2015	32.08	31.25	28.63	26.71	27.15	27.64	27.31(-2.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-42	180	10	-198	3.24	42%	-0.09	-51.8	3.37%	0	-1.1	33	0
2	Aug_28_2015	32.11	31.6	29.32	26.32	26.7	27.8	28.07(-0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-38	330	18	-206	3.39	41%	-0.06	-55.1	3.37%	0	-1	33	0
3	Aug_27_2015	32.13	31.91	29.91	26.49	26.11	26.66	28.18(7.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-56	100	-5	-209	6.88	42%	-0.09	-54.8	3.37%	0	-1.1	37	0
4	Aug_26_2015	32.16	32.24	30.44	27.21	26.64	25.6	26.2(10.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-89	-340	-47	-216	8.63	37%	-0.12	-51.4	3.24%	0	-1.8	30	0
5	Aug_25_2015	32.2	32.66	31.19	28.69	28.31	25.55	23.78(-6.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-131	-720	-103	-216	5.77	31%	-0.22	-46	2.98%	0	-3	16	0

6	Aug_24_2015	32.27	33.19	32.28	30.83	30.36	27.67	25.39(-12.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.5	-130	-670	-120	-158	8.75	33%	-0.22	-39.8	2.91%	0	-3.6	20	0
7	Aug_21_2015	32.34	33.61	33.29	32.68	32.62	31.06	28.92(-8.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3	-80	-340	-78	-84	8.83	38%	-0.06	-36.6	2.5%	0	-3.8	27	0
8	Aug_20_2015	32.36	33.87	33.84	33.75	33.7	33.06	31.74(-5.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3	-38	-140	-40	-30	4.85	42%	0.06	-30.3	2.24%	0	-3.2	37	0
9	Aug_19_2015	32.34	34.01	34.07	34.13	34.11	34.18	33.61(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-2	10	-1	-3	4.11	46%	0.12	-22.4	2.14%	0	-0.8	44	0
10	Aug_18_2015	32.3	34.08	34.15	34.09	34.02	34.34	34.5(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	60	15	2	1.85	48%	0.12	-14.4	2.12%	0	0.8	52	0

11	Aug_17_2015	32.26	34.08	34.1	33.99	33.65	34.04	34.61(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	5	50	7	-1	2.14	48%	0.16	-8.9	2.13%	0	1	61	0
12	Aug_14_2015	32.21	34.07	34.04	34.06	33.61	33.7	34.31(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-20	10	14	1.95	50%	0.16	9.6	2.13%	0	0.5	63	0
13	Aug_13_2015	32.16	34.08	34.02	33.98	33.82	33.26	33.62(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-130	-8	7	2.24	50%	0.09	26.6	2.15%	0	-0.9	51	0
14	Aug_12_2015	32.13	34.13	34.1	34.02	33.87	33.52	33.4(-1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-21	-90	-29	2	5	50%	0.09	61.9	2.14%	0	-1.4	45	0
15	Aug_11_2015	32.1	34.15	34.19	34.02	34.14	34.38	34.02(-2.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	40	2	17	2.62	50%	0.06	100	2.13%	0	-0.2	42	0

16	Aug_10_2015	32.08	34.12	34.14	34.2	34.24	34.23	34.92(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	14	0	14	13	2.38	52%	0.09	103.4	2.11%	0	1.3	52	0
17	Aug_7_2015	32.05	34.02	33.93	34.04	34.1	33.9	33.93(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-40	-10	-18	2.95	54%	0.09	89.2	2.14%	0	-0.1	44	0
18	Aug_6_2015	32.02	33.93	33.9	34.07	34.17	34.24	33.8(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	20	-5	-21	2.36	54%	0.06	68.2	2.16%	0	-0.1	45	0
19	Aug_5_2015	32	33.8	33.94	34.2	34.22	34.29	34.31(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	20	6	-14	2.22	52%	0.09	52.3	2.15%	0	0.4	47	0
20	Aug_4_2015	31.97	33.61	34	34.19	34.15	34.09	34.01(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	-20	3	-7	1.77	54%	0.06	48.6	2.17%	0	0.3	53	0

21	Aug_3_2015	31.95	33.51	34.04	34.06	34.08	34.14	34.15(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	6	10	8	-2	2.02	54%	0.13	48.9	2.19%	0	0.5	58	0
22	Jul_31_2015	31.91	33.39	34.09	33.79	33.87	34.22	34.09(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	80	12	1	1.37	54%	0.09	38.6	2.21%	0	0.5	60	0
23	Jul_30_2015	31.88	33.28	34.13	33.69	33.53	34.01	34.45(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	90	13	15	2.11	52%	0.19	34	2.21%	0	0.8	68	0
24	Jul_29_2015	31.82	33.16	34.14	33.65	33.47	33.53	34.25(2.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-0	4	37	2.47	52%	0.16	30.5	2.24%	0	0.8	73	0
25	Jul_28_2015	31.77	33	34.1	33.81	33.68	33.05	33.33(1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-140	-20	63	2.89	50%		23	2.21%	0	0.2	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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