Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $31.2716 (2.49%) ($29.8897 - $31.3407) on Fri. Feb. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.93% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $31.2716(2.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(94%)    XLF(92%)    SPY(89%)    IWM(86%)    VYM(86%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-31%)    UUP(-12%)    IGOV(-11%)    GLD(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.465% (StdDev 2.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.98(0.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.55(2.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.38(6.44%)
To recent high   -4.1%
To recent low   18.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 5% (three month std-dev: 2.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.12%(75%) Average negative next day return: -1.6%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 14.75%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 20.06%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_20_2015	28.62	29.38	30.55	30.98	30.8	30.63	31.27(2.49%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	23	-60	-2	96	6.66	51%	0.25	57.4	2.93%	0	1.3	84	0
2	Feb_19_2015	28.55	29.28	30.38	30.94	30.87	30.74	30.51(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	27	-40	-2	112	3.69	51%	0.21	65.9	2.91%	0	0.9	70	0
3	Feb_18_2015	28.49	29.13	30.21	30.83	30.9	30.97	30.87(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	20	5	127	3.59	51%	0.21	59.7	2.91%	0	1.2	75	0
4	Feb_17_2015	28.43	28.96	30	30.67	30.65	31.01	31.28(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	80	15	131	3.33	51%	0.32	52.3	2.9%	0	1.7	64	0
5	Feb_13_2015	28.34	28.78	29.62	30.3	30.36	30.83	30.99(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	110	19	109	4.52	51%	0.21	41.2	2.88%	0	1.7	57	0

6	Feb_12_2015	28.28	28.56	29.17	30.06	29.98	30.29	31.05(3.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	60	16	85	5.85	51%	0.18	23.1	2.88%	0	2	60	0
7	Feb_11_2015	28.23	28.39	28.8	29.76	29.81	29.89	29.99(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	20	12	60	3.59	49%	0.14	11.1	2.85%	0	1.4	52	0
8	Feb_10_2015	28.19	28.32	28.48	29.48	29.64	29.67	30.05(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	20	8	43	3.9	49%	0.14	5.9	2.85%	0	1.6	61	0
9	Feb_9_2015	28.15	28.32	28.29	29.21	29.33	29.74	29.42(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	110	16	42	4.3	49%	0.07	-4.2	2.84%	0	1.2	59	0
10	Feb_6_2015	28.13	28.25	28.23	28.81	29.02	29.6	29.79(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	39	160	38	43	7.97	49%	0.07	-23	2.84%	0	1.5	59	0

11	Feb_5_2015	28.11	28.28	28.1	28.12	28.23	28.92	29.55(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	25	180	26	23	4.57	49%	0.11	-40.7	2.84%	0	1.1	62	0
12	Feb_4_2015	28.08	28.26	28.06	27.7	27.62	28.43	28.61(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	200	29	18	5.68	47%	0.11	-63.1	2.82%	0	0.3	54	0
13	Feb_3_2015	28.05	28.25	27.95	27.34	27.24	27.53	28.71(4.78%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	9	60	16	-11	7.78	47%	0.07	-88.7	2.82%	0	0.4	49	0
14	Feb_2_2015	28.03	28.29	27.82	27.25	27.11	26.82	27.4(3.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	-90	-15	-39	7.36	44%	0.07	-98	2.76%	0	-0.8	43	0
15	Jan_30_2015	28.01	28.49	27.86	27.6	27.47	26.95	26.35(-3.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-150	-26	-43	7.77	46%	0	-82.2	2.75%	0	-1.6	36	0

16	Jan_29_2015	28.01	28.74	27.94	28.07	27.98	27.41	27.44(2.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-150	-24	-46	6.69	48%	0.04	-81.7	3.02%	0	-1	35	0
17	Jan_28_2015	28	28.98	27.97	28.46	28.46	28	26.8(-5.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-21	-110	-15	-39	7.46	50%	0.04	-66.9	3%	0	-1.6	40	0
18	Jan_27_2015	27.99	29.26	28.18	28.62	28.69	28.54	28.26(-3.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-30	-0	-26	5.82	53%	0.04	-54.7	2.95%	0	-0.7	50	0
19	Jan_26_2015	27.98	29.46	28.25	28.45	28.47	28.93	29.13(1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-0	120	11	-34	2.92	55%	0.11	-49.8	2.92%	0	-0.2	48	0
20	Jan_23_2015	27.95	29.61	28.28	28.17	28.2	28.84	28.7(-2.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	9	160	28	-49	4.76	56%	0.07	-44	2.93%	0	-0.5	39	0

21	Jan_22_2015	27.93	29.78	28.46	27.8	27.71	28.01	29.43(6.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	70	20	-72	8.08	56%	0.11	-37.3	2.92%	0	-0.2	42	0
22	Jan_21_2015	27.9	29.9	28.44	27.45	27.36	27.55	27.56(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	40	-4	-118	4.32	55%	0.04	-32.4	2.82%	0	-1.2	29	0
23	Jan_20_2015	27.89	30.1	28.55	27.7	27.38	27.42	27.42(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-20	-8	-133	5.78	55%	0.04	-23.7	2.9%	0	-1.4	28	0
24	Jan_16_2015	27.88	30.3	28.78	28.03	27.74	27.18	27.75(3.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	-170	-18	-142	7.6	57%	0.07	-19.2	2.9%	0	-1.4	31	0
25	Jan_15_2015	27.86	30.41	29.14	28.42	28.29	27.34	26.82(-3.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-69	-250	-43	-145	8.31	52%		-17.2	2.88%	0	-2.1	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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