Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 12, 2015

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $31.0494 (3.55%) ($30.1640 - $31.1259) on Thu. Feb. 12, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.88% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $31.0494(3.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(94%)    XLF(92%)    SPY(89%)    IWM(86%)    VYM(86%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-31%)    UUP(-12%)    IGOV(-11%)    GLD(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.44% (StdDev 2.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.06(3.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.17(6.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.56(8.72%)
To recent high   -4.8%
To recent low   17.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 4.38% (three month std-dev: 2.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.55%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.13%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 6.91%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -7.82%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 8.13%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.46%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150312

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_12_2015	28.28	28.56	29.17	30.06	29.98	30.29	31.05(3.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	60	16	85	5.85	51%	0.18	23.1	2.88%	0	2	60	INF
2	Feb_11_2015	28.23	28.39	28.8	29.76	29.81	29.89	29.99(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	20	12	60	3.59	49%	0.14	11.1	2.85%	0	1.4	52	INF
3	Feb_10_2015	28.19	28.32	28.48	29.48	29.64	29.67	30.05(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	20	8	43	3.9	49%	0.14	5.9	2.85%	0	1.6	61	INF
4	Feb_9_2015	28.15	28.32	28.29	29.21	29.33	29.74	29.42(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	110	16	42	4.3	49%	0.07	-4.2	2.84%	0	1.2	59	INF
5	Feb_6_2015	28.13	28.25	28.23	28.81	29.02	29.6	29.79(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	39	160	38	43	7.97	49%	0.07	-23	2.84%	0	1.5	59	INF

6	Feb_5_2015	28.11	28.28	28.1	28.12	28.23	28.92	29.55(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	25	180	26	23	4.57	49%	0.11	-40.7	2.84%	0	1.1	62	INF
7	Feb_4_2015	28.08	28.26	28.06	27.7	27.62	28.43	28.61(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	200	29	18	5.68	47%	0.11	-63.1	2.82%	0	0.3	54	INF
8	Feb_3_2015	28.05	28.25	27.95	27.34	27.24	27.53	28.71(4.78%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	9	60	16	-11	7.78	47%	0.07	-88.7	2.82%	0	0.4	49	INF
9	Feb_2_2015	28.03	28.29	27.82	27.25	27.11	26.82	27.4(3.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	-90	-15	-39	7.36	44%	0.07	-98	2.76%	0	-0.8	43	INF
10	Jan_30_2015	28.01	28.49	27.86	27.6	27.47	26.95	26.35(-3.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-150	-26	-43	7.77	46%	0	-82.2	2.75%	0	-1.6	36	INF

11	Jan_29_2015	28.01	28.74	27.94	28.07	27.98	27.41	27.44(2.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-150	-24	-46	6.69	48%	0.04	-81.7	3.02%	0	-1	35	INF
12	Jan_28_2015	28	28.98	27.97	28.46	28.46	28	26.8(-5.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-21	-110	-15	-39	7.46	50%	0.04	-66.9	3%	0	-1.6	40	INF
13	Jan_27_2015	27.99	29.26	28.18	28.62	28.69	28.54	28.26(-3.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-30	-0	-26	5.82	53%	0.04	-54.7	2.95%	0	-0.7	50	INF
14	Jan_26_2015	27.98	29.46	28.25	28.45	28.47	28.93	29.13(1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-0	120	11	-34	2.92	55%	0.11	-49.8	2.92%	0	-0.2	48	INF
15	Jan_23_2015	27.95	29.61	28.28	28.17	28.2	28.84	28.7(-2.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	9	160	28	-49	4.76	56%	0.07	-44	2.93%	0	-0.5	39	INF

16	Jan_22_2015	27.93	29.78	28.46	27.8	27.71	28.01	29.43(6.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	70	20	-72	8.08	56%	0.11	-37.3	2.92%	0	-0.2	42	INF
17	Jan_21_2015	27.9	29.9	28.44	27.45	27.36	27.55	27.56(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	40	-4	-118	4.32	55%	0.04	-32.4	2.82%	0	-1.2	29	INF
18	Jan_20_2015	27.89	30.1	28.55	27.7	27.38	27.42	27.42(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-20	-8	-133	5.78	55%	0.04	-23.7	2.9%	0	-1.4	28	INF
19	Jan_16_2015	27.88	30.3	28.78	28.03	27.74	27.18	27.75(3.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	-170	-18	-142	7.6	57%	0.07	-19.2	2.9%	0	-1.4	31	INF
20	Jan_15_2015	27.86	30.41	29.14	28.42	28.29	27.34	26.82(-3.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-69	-250	-43	-145	8.31	52%	0	-17.2	2.88%	0	-2.1	25	INF

21	Jan_14_2015	27.86	30.48	29.61	29.21	29.04	28.31	27.71(-3.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-54	-190	-32	-118	10.27	54%	0.04	-17.8	2.92%	0	-1.8	27	INF
22	Jan_13_2015	27.85	30.53	30.08	29.56	29.8	29.23	28.8(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-110	-9	-95	7.24	55%	0.11	-21.6	2.87%	0	-1.1	34	INF
23	Jan_12_2015	27.82	30.56	30.46	29.51	29.83	29.77	29.05(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	20	-13	-92	5.04	55%	0.14	-29.6	2.89%	0	-1	40	INF
24	Jan_9_2015	27.78	30.66	30.78	29.64	29.79	30.37	29.7(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-19	150	-0	-77	5.3	50%	0.11	-27.8	2.9%	0	-0.6	43	INF
25	Jan_8_2015	27.75	30.71	31.05	29.99	29.81	29.9	30.77(4.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	0	6	-45	5.35	55%		-22.8	2.96%	0	0	60	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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