Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 29, 2014

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $25.5327 (-0.95%) ($24.9921 - $25.6561) on Mon. Sep. 29, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.82% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $25.5327(-0.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(92%)    SPY(89%)    IWM(86%)    VT(83%)    XLI(82%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -0.91% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-31%)    IGOV(-11%)    UUP(-10%)    GLD(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.91% (StdDev 1.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $22.41(-12.23%)
Resistance Level   $26.32
5 Day Moving Average   $25.73(-0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.24(-2.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.32(-2.99%)
To recent high   -6.7%
To recent low   11.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 1.9% (three month std-dev: 1.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.87%(36%) Average negative next day return: -0.64%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 2.54%(73%) Average negative next three day return: -0.08%(27%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 3.56%(82%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.16%(18%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141029

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_29_2014	24.77	26.32	26.24	25.73	25.66	25.44	25.53(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-70	-16	-41	6.44	50%	0.12	-32.1	1.82%	0	-1.6	48	INF
2	Sep_26_2014	24.74	26.37	26.3	25.92	25.87	25.59	25.78(2.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-80	-24	-39	6.18	50%	0.16	-18	1.81%	0	-1.3	43	INF
3	Sep_25_2014	24.7	26.39	26.35	26.18	26.16	25.88	25.13(-4.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-33	-80	-34	-31	10.4	44%	0.12	-2.3	1.79%	0	-2.7	38	INF
4	Sep_24_2014	24.67	26.39	26.35	26.63	26.6	26.16	26.33(1.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-11	-120	-16	6	4.82	56%	0.2	47	1.69%	0	-0.4	48	INF
5	Sep_23_2014	24.62	26.46	26.49	26.7	26.85	26.44	25.89(-2.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-17	-90	-24	5	7.55	51%	0.16	72	1.7%	0	-1.6	43	INF

6	Sep_22_2014	24.58	26.49	26.51	26.8	26.97	27.04	26.46(-2.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	3	40	-1	15	6.26	60%	0.16	104.8	1.68%	0	-0.1	48	INF
7	Sep_19_2014	24.54	26.45	26.53	26.73	26.85	27.26	27.09(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	25	120	25	25	8.54	73%	0.2	107.9	1.65%	0	1.7	60	INF
8	Sep_18_2014	24.49	26.4	26.49	26.54	26.53	26.9	27.37(2.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	25	100	27	19	7.62	73%	0.25	120.3	1.65%	0	2.8	68	INF
9	Sep_17_2014	24.43	26.29	26.39	26.35	26.31	26.43	26.68(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	30	14	2	7.85	64%	0.21	121.8	1.63%	0	1.1	55	INF
10	Sep_16_2014	24.38	26.21	26.38	26.27	26.2	26.17	26.41(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-20	4	-7	5.19	64%	0.21	109.8	1.66%	0	0.5	49	INF

11	Sep_15_2014	24.33	26.15	26.4	26.18	26.18	26.18	26.1(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	0	-8	-13	5.69	64%	0.16	101	1.66%	0	-0.1	49	INF
12	Sep_12_2014	24.29	26.06	26.43	26.31	26.22	26.22	26.15(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-10	-6	4	4.56	64%	0.16	88.3	1.66%	0	0.1	59	INF
13	Sep_11_2014	24.25	25.98	26.43	26.42	26.33	26.19	26.41(0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	2	-50	-3	15	3.77	64%	0.17	94.1	1.67%	0	0.6	57	INF
14	Sep_10_2014	24.21	25.87	26.42	26.45	26.4	26.21	26.28(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-60	-13	26	4.2	64%	0.17	91.4	1.69%	0	0.5	65	INF
15	Sep_9_2014	24.17	25.75	26.44	26.51	26.52	26.47	25.99(-2.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10	-12	50	5.39	64%	0.21	86.3	1.68%	0	0.2	65	INF

16	Sep_8_2014	24.12	25.64	26.47	26.64	26.64	26.59	26.72(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	26	-10	5	87	4.6	100%	0.08	83.1	1.65%	0	1	78	INF
17	Sep_5_2014	24.1	25.48	26.38	26.56	26.6	26.56	26.7(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	28	-10	3	102	5.21	100%	0.21	79.1	1.66%	0	1.1	82	INF
18	Sep_4_2014	24.05	25.29	26.31	26.43	26.54	26.68	26.56(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	50	6	114	5.51	100%	0.21	68	1.69%	0	1	76	INF
19	Sep_3_2014	24	25.13	26.19	26.39	26.39	26.63	26.56(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	60	9	130	4.9	100%	0.25	58.6	1.69%	0	1.1	78	INF
20	Sep_2_2014	23.94	24.95	26.04	26.37	26.31	26.4	26.65(1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	46	20	11	151	6.36	100%	0.38	50.5	1.69%	0	1.3	82	INF

21	Aug_29_2014	23.85	24.79	25.87	26.29	26.31	26.15	26.34(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	43	-40	3	164	3.12	100%	0.25	44.1	1.68%	0	1.2	81	INF
22	Aug_28_2014	23.79	24.62	25.66	26.17	26.29	26.22	26.04(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	38	-0	-5	167	3.34	100%	0.17	35.3	1.67%	0	1.2	81	INF
23	Aug_27_2014	23.75	24.5	25.51	26.16	26.25	26.44	26.34(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	63	60	16	202	3.69	100%	0.17	28.8	1.67%	0	1.6	88	INF
24	Aug_26_2014	23.71	24.42	25.29	25.94	26.07	26.36	26.48(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	72	90	28	205	3.2	100%	0.21	23.8	1.7%	0	1.9	83	INF
25	Aug_25_2014	23.66	24.32	25.01	25.66	25.73	26.06	26.27(2.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	68	100	26	195	4.96	100%		15.8	1.71%	0	1.9	83	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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