Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 26, 2014

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $26.4756 (0.8%) ($26.3299 - $26.6940) on Tue. Aug. 26, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $26.4756(0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 5.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(92%)    SPY(89%)    IWM(86%)    VT(83%)    XLI(82%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-31%)    IGOV(-11%)    UUP(-10%)    GLD(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.94(2.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.29(4.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.42(8.42%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   16%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 4.5% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.76%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -12.36%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -12.94%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140926

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_26_2014	23.71	24.42	25.29	25.94	26.07	26.36	26.48(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	72	90	28	205	3.2	100%	0.21	23.8	1.7%	0	1.9	83	0
2	Aug_25_2014	23.66	24.32	25.01	25.66	25.73	26.06	26.27(2.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	68	100	26	195	4.96	100%	0.13	15.8	1.71%	0	1.9	83	0
3	Aug_22_2014	23.63	24.25	24.74	25.39	25.43	25.78	25.73(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	69	100	31	181	5.1	100%	0.13	9.5	1.69%	0	1.6	70	0
4	Aug_21_2014	23.6	24.2	24.51	25.08	25.15	25.39	25.98(2.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	64	80	30	165	8.07	100%	0.08	0.3	1.69%	0	1.9	75	0
5	Aug_20_2014	23.58	24.2	24.19	24.77	24.81	25.08	25.27(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	80	20	128	6.11	0%	0.08	-3.8	1.68%	0	1.3	64	0

6	Aug_19_2014	23.56	24.2	23.98	24.53	24.61	24.91	25.04(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	100	11	34	4.71	59%	0.04	-11	4.41%	0	1	48	0
7	Aug_18_2014	23.55	24.2	23.76	24.26	24.33	24.53	24.91(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	7	70	6	9	7.01	59%	0.13	-20.9	7.41%	0	0.9	49	0
8	Aug_15_2014	23.52	24.16	23.61	23.99	24.06	24.3	24.18(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	80	3	-2	11	57%	0.04	-29.3	7.41%	0	0	41	0
9	Aug_14_2014	23.51	24.16	23.5	23.85	23.9	24.14	24.43(1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	80	7	-9	4.16	57%	0.09	-31.3	7.42%	0	0.3	43	0
10	Aug_13_2014	23.49	24.2	23.4	23.53	23.61	23.81	24.11(1.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	70	4	-23	5.89	57%	0.04	-40.3	7.42%	0	-0.1	36	0

11	Aug_12_2014	23.48	24.25	23.47	23.33	23.4	23.65	23.65(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	80	4	-28	5.97	59%	0	-42.2	7.42%	0	-0.6	34	0
12	Aug_11_2014	23.48	24.34	23.56	23.19	23.22	23.41	23.6(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	60	2	-33	8.92	59%	0	-43.4	7.43%	0	-0.8	36	0
13	Aug_8_2014	23.48	24.42	23.7	23.18	23.08	23.14	23.45(2.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	10	1	-34	7.34	59%	0	-46	7.43%	0	-1	37	0
14	Aug_7_2014	23.48	24.48	23.86	23.1	23.13	23.04	22.82(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-20	-2	-37	7.85	60%	0	-54.8	7.42%	0	-1.8	30	0
15	Aug_6_2014	23.48	24.57	24.13	23.26	23.16	23.01	23.15(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-60	-7	-34	7.06	58%	0	-58.9	7.43%	0	-1.7	41	0

16	Aug_5_2014	23.48	24.67	24.36	23.63	23.46	23.23	22.92(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-90	-7	-27	9.18	58%	0	-53.2	7.45%	0	-2.3	33	0
17	Aug_4_2014	23.48	24.77	24.6	24	23.94	23.32	23.57(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-190	-8	-22	7.24	58%	0.09	-46.6	7.44%	0	-1.8	35	0
18	Aug_1_2014	23.46	24.86	24.76	24.31	24.35	23.69	23.07(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-14	-180	-12	-19	12.84	58%	0.04	-31.8	7.44%	0	-2.9	36	0
19	Jul_31_2014	23.45	24.99	24.98	24.72	24.8	24.56	23.59(-5.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-8	-60	-8	-8	14.63	58%	0	-6.4	7.49%	0	-3	45	0
20	Jul_30_2014	23.45	25.07	25.09	25.12	25.07	25.01	25(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-20	-2	1	9.21	58%	0.09	30.9	7.45%	0	-0.2	57	0

21	Jul_29_2014	23.43	25.07	25.13	25.21	25.22	25.04	24.76(-1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-1	-50	-2	4	8.27	59%	0.04	47.8	7.45%	0	-0.9	50	0
22	Jul_28_2014	23.42	25.08	25.2	25.31	25.31	25.13	25.14(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-50	-2	8	6.66	59%	0.09	52.9	7.45%	0	0.2	56	0
23	Jul_25_2014	23.4	25.05	25.19	25.28	25.36	25.39	25.11(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	2	20	-0	8	6	57%	0.09	45.8	7.45%	0	0.2	49	0
24	Jul_24_2014	23.38	25.02	25.15	25.29	25.29	25.48	25.58(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	5	50	4	7	3.71	57%	0.13	42.1	7.46%	0	1.5	49	0
25	Jul_23_2014	23.35	24.97	25.04	25.06	25.14	25.32	25.43(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	60	2	0	3.61	57%		24.3	7.46%	0	1.2	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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