Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 12, 2014

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $23.6518 (0.24%) ($23.4543 - $23.8665) on Tue. Aug. 12, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.42% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $23.6518(0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS declines -3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(92%)    SPY(89%)    IWM(86%)    VT(83%)    XLI(82%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -3.71% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-31%)    IGOV(-11%)    UUP(-10%)    GLD(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.71% (StdDev 7.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $15.81(-33.16%)
Resistance Level   $24.25
5 Day Moving Average   $23.33(1.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.47(0.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.25(-2.47%)
To recent high   -25.9%
To recent low   10%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 3.96% (three month std-dev: 7.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.87%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.19%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.42%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 5.21%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140912

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_12_2014	23.48	24.25	23.47	23.33	23.4	23.65	23.65(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	80	4	-28	5.97	59%	0	-42.2	7.42%	0	-0.6	34	INF
2	Aug_11_2014	23.48	24.34	23.56	23.19	23.22	23.41	23.6(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	60	2	-33	8.92	59%	0	-43.4	7.43%	0	-0.8	36	INF
3	Aug_8_2014	23.48	24.42	23.7	23.18	23.08	23.14	23.45(2.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	10	1	-34	7.34	59%	0	-46	7.43%	0	-1	37	INF
4	Aug_7_2014	23.48	24.48	23.86	23.1	23.13	23.04	22.82(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-20	-2	-37	7.85	60%	0	-54.8	7.42%	0	-1.8	30	INF
5	Aug_6_2014	23.48	24.57	24.13	23.26	23.16	23.01	23.15(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-60	-7	-34	7.06	58%	0	-58.9	7.43%	0	-1.7	41	INF

6	Aug_5_2014	23.48	24.67	24.36	23.63	23.46	23.23	22.92(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-90	-7	-27	9.18	58%	0	-53.2	7.45%	0	-2.3	33	INF
7	Aug_4_2014	23.48	24.77	24.6	24	23.94	23.32	23.57(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-190	-8	-22	7.24	58%	0.09	-46.6	7.44%	0	-1.8	35	INF
8	Aug_1_2014	23.46	24.86	24.76	24.31	24.35	23.69	23.07(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-14	-180	-12	-19	12.84	58%	0.04	-31.8	7.44%	0	-2.9	36	INF
9	Jul_31_2014	23.45	24.99	24.98	24.72	24.8	24.56	23.59(-5.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-8	-60	-8	-8	14.63	58%	0	-6.4	7.49%	0	-3	45	INF
10	Jul_30_2014	23.45	25.07	25.09	25.12	25.07	25.01	25(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-20	-2	1	9.21	58%	0.09	30.9	7.45%	0	-0.2	57	INF

11	Jul_29_2014	23.43	25.07	25.13	25.21	25.22	25.04	24.76(-1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-1	-50	-2	4	8.27	59%	0.04	47.8	7.45%	0	-0.9	50	INF
12	Jul_28_2014	23.42	25.08	25.2	25.31	25.31	25.13	25.14(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-50	-2	8	6.66	59%	0.09	52.9	7.45%	0	0.2	56	INF
13	Jul_25_2014	23.4	25.05	25.19	25.28	25.36	25.39	25.11(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	2	20	-0	8	6	57%	0.09	45.8	7.45%	0	0.2	49	INF
14	Jul_24_2014	23.38	25.02	25.15	25.29	25.29	25.48	25.58(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	5	50	4	7	3.71	57%	0.13	42.1	7.46%	0	1.5	49	INF
15	Jul_23_2014	23.35	24.97	25.04	25.06	25.14	25.32	25.43(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	60	2	0	3.61	57%	0.13	24.3	7.46%	0	1.2	53	INF

16	Jul_22_2014	23.32	24.92	24.98	25.04	24.99	25.1	25.26(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-0	20	0	-1	4.58	57%	0.17	25	7.46%	0	0.9	51	INF
17	Jul_21_2014	23.28	24.9	24.93	25.09	25.04	24.95	25.01(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-0	-30	-0	-0	6.13	57%	0.13	45.5	7.46%	0	0.3	54	INF
18	Jul_18_2014	23.25	24.89	24.95	25.1	25.16	24.87	25.16(2.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-70	-1	1	6.97	57%	0.17	56.6	7.46%	0	0.7	57	INF
19	Jul_17_2014	23.21	24.86	24.98	24.98	25.2	25.12	24.42(-3.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-1	0	-2	2	10.69	57%	0.13	56.6	7.51%	0	-1.2	53	INF
20	Jul_16_2014	23.18	24.88	25.05	25	25.11	25.45	25.37(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	4	110	3	6	6.04	58%	0.17	63.8	7.5%	0	1.4	61	INF

21	Jul_15_2014	23.14	24.83	25.03	24.9	24.83	25.28	25.5(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	7	120	6	8	10.33	59%	0.17	50.4	7.5%	0	1.9	64	INF
22	Jul_14_2014	23.1	24.74	24.94	24.74	24.67	24.77	25.04(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	2	20	2	3	8.14	59%	0.17	20.9	7.5%	0	0.8	51	INF
23	Jul_11_2014	23.06	24.68	24.9	24.79	24.61	24.37	24.58(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-90	-4	1	5.84	57%	0.17	15.3	7.5%	0	-0.2	48	INF
24	Jul_10_2014	23.02	24.66	24.89	24.99	24.83	24.58	24.5(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-90	-4	4	7.16	54%	0.13	25.3	7.52%	0	-0.4	50	INF
25	Jul_9_2014	22.99	24.65	24.9	25.11	25.12	24.85	24.89(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-70	-2	6	7.55	55%		40.4	7.57%	0	0.5	53	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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