Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 5, 2014

Trading Signals: FAS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X ETF)
FAS latest price $22.0918 (-0.85%) ($21.4633 - $22.1115) on Mon. May. 5, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.14% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $22.0918(-0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   FAS advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   FAS advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support FAS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(89%)    SPY(85%)    IWM(83%)    VT(80%)    XLI(79%)
Factors Impacting FAS price   FAS will decline at least -1.07% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    IGOV(-11%)    UUP(-9%)    GLD(-7%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.07% (StdDev 2.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.14(-0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.07(0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.8(1.34%)
To recent high   -6.9%
To recent low   9.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0%

$. FAS is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0% a day on average for holding it.$. FAS price fluctuates within 2.71% (three month std-dev: 2.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140605

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_5_2014	22.14	21.8	22.07	22.14	22.09	22.12	22.09(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	0	3	41	7.44	50%	-0.05	-45.4	2.14%	0	0.5	71	NAN
2	May_2_2014	22.15	21.82	22.05	22	22.07	22.28	22.28(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	80	14	55	14.43	50%	0.05	-48.6	2.15%	0	0.7	77	NAN
3	May_1_2014	22.14	21.88	22.01	21.87	21.83	22.07	22.29(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	70	5	53	7.56	50%	0	-39.5	2.17%	0	0.6	64	NAN
4	Apr_30_2014	22.14	21.94	21.96	21.89	21.75	21.86	22.14(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	20	3	47	7.63	50%	0	-29.6	2.19%	0	0.2	47	NAN
5	Apr_29_2014	22.14	22	21.88	21.94	21.86	21.58	21.91(2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	6	-100	-6	40	8.32	50%	-0.05	-25.4	2.21%	0	-0.1	50	NAN

6	Apr_28_2014	22.15	22.07	21.77	22.01	21.99	21.64	21.39(-1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	-110	-17	29	12.84	48%	-0.05	-22.8	2.2%	0	-0.7	48	NAN
7	Apr_25_2014	22.16	22.13	21.67	22.1	21.99	22.14	21.65(-3.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	0	-6	11	10.92	48%	-0.05	-25.4	2.22%	0	-0.5	42	NAN
8	Apr_24_2014	22.17	22.17	21.61	22.14	22.16	22.35	22.36(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	60	10	-9	11.05	51%	0	-30.8	2.19%	0	0.2	40	NAN
9	Apr_23_2014	22.17	22.19	21.6	22.04	22.02	22.18	22.38(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	50	17	-28	9.68	51%	0.05	-34	2.21%	0	0.2	39	NAN
10	Apr_22_2014	22.16	22.23	21.54	21.81	21.85	21.97	22.27(1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-0	40	20	-61	13.48	51%	0	-36.7	2.23%	0	0	39	NAN

11	Apr_21_2014	22.16	22.29	21.48	21.49	21.57	21.85	21.84(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	100	20	-100	8.58	51%	-0.05	-40.8	2.24%	0	-0.4	39	NAN
12	Apr_17_2014	22.17	22.37	21.56	21.17	21.27	21.73	21.86(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-14	170	21	-119	10.64	51%	0	-41.2	2.26%	0	-0.5	46	NAN
13	Apr_16_2014	22.17	22.46	21.71	21	20.92	21.3	21.83(2.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-28	120	5	-125	10.29	51%	-0.05	-40.3	2.29%	0	-0.6	47	NAN
14	Apr_15_2014	22.18	22.51	21.88	21.12	20.94	20.81	21.24(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-70	-3	-113	20.5	48%	-0.09	-38.7	2.28%	0	-1.2	41	NAN
15	Apr_14_2014	22.2	22.6	22.11	21.25	21.25	20.53	20.69(2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-47	-240	-25	-113	15.38	46%	-0.13	-38.6	2.27%	0	-1.9	33	NAN

16	Apr_11_2014	22.23	22.71	22.38	21.48	21.54	21.07	20.24(-3.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-62	-140	-46	-110	24.91	46%	-0.22	-39.7	2.27%	0	-2.7	29	NAN
17	Apr_10_2014	22.28	22.81	22.65	21.99	21.99	21.97	20.98(-6.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-41	-10	-27	-83	27.43	49%	-0.13	-40	2.23%	0	-2.5	31	NAN
18	Apr_9_2014	22.31	22.89	22.81	22.51	22.39	21.97	22.46(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-130	-17	-65	13.78	56%	0.04	-32	2.01%	0	-0.7	38	NAN
19	Apr_8_2014	22.3	22.92	22.85	22.77	22.74	22.01	21.9(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-46	-230	-41	-59	17.65	54%	-0.04	-20.2	2%	0	-1.7	45	NAN
20	Apr_7_2014	22.31	22.99	23.01	23.11	23.21	22.77	21.82(-4.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-34	-120	-36	-27	19.17	54%	-0.09	0	2.02%	0	-2.1	43	NAN

21	Apr_4_2014	22.33	23.07	23.18	23.42	23.54	23.48	22.79(-3.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	4	-0	-2	20	25.05	60%	0.04	35.9	1.92%	0	-0.6	55	NAN
22	Apr_3_2014	22.32	23.11	23.18	23.38	23.51	23.64	23.59(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	60	16	47	13.23	65%	0.18	49.5	1.84%	0	1	69	NAN
23	Apr_2_2014	22.28	23.09	23.27	23.15	23.27	23.6	23.73(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	27	110	20	49	16.25	65%	0.18	53.3	1.86%	0	1.3	66	NAN
24	Apr_1_2014	22.24	23.04	23.18	22.95	22.98	23.38	23.61(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	18	130	14	28	17.03	65%	0.18	59.1	1.89%	0	1.2	55	NAN
25	Mar_31_2014	22.2	22.99	23.1	22.92	22.91	22.95	23.37(3.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	10	7	21	14.83	65%		57.5	1.91%	0	0.7	52	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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