Trading Signals: EXPR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: EXPR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 28, 2016 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Express Inc.)
EXPR latest price $20.9600 (0.53%) ($20.7000 - $21.3700) on Mon. Mar. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.82% (three month average)
RSI   95
Latest Price   $20.9600(0.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EXPR advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EXPR advances 9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EXPR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XRT(16%)    IWM(10%)    IWN(10%)    IWC(9%)    IWO(9%)
Factors Impacting EXPR price   EXPR will decline at least -0.91% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-3%)    VIXM(-2%)    XLU(-1%)    IPO(-1%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.91% (StdDev 1.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.19(3.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.15(9.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.11(15.74%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   32.7%
Market Cap   $1.362b

$. EXPR price fluctuates within 7.68% (three month std-dev: 1.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 2.57%(54%) Average negative next day return: -1.01%(46%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 5.36%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -4.17%(46%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 7.44%(62%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.24%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160414

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_14_2016	17.43	18.11	19.15	20.19	20.41	20.83	20.96(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	114	180	46	316	3.32	73%	0.64	81.1	1.82%	0	2.1	95	0
2	Mar_11_2016	17.32	17.86	18.77	19.72	19.94	20.38	20.85(1.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	103	190	45	275	4.3	73%	0.7	79.1	1.85%	0	2.3	95	0
3	Mar_10_2016	17.2	17.6	18.39	19.25	19.43	20	20.45(4.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	98	230	51	238	6.25	71%	0.64	74.8	1.87%	0	2.5	94	0
4	Mar_9_2016	17.09	17.37	18.06	18.72	18.95	19.5	19.66(3.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	92	240	54	204	8.93	68%	0.53	66.5	1.79%	0	2.4	93	0
5	Mar_8_2016	17	17.19	17.78	18.29	18.36	18.86	19.04(2.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	72	200	42	161	4.56	64%	0.47	59.2	1.74%	0	2.2	89	0

6	Mar_7_2016	16.92	17.04	17.57	17.95	17.95	18.41	18.6(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	63	180	40	132	2.41	61%	0.36	51.5	1.74%	0	2.2	89	0
7	Mar_4_2016	16.86	16.9	17.4	17.67	17.61	17.87	18.5(3.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	53	90	32	114	2.6	61%	0.42	36.1	1.77%	0	2.4	91	0
8	Mar_3_2016	16.79	16.8	17.23	17.4	17.38	17.49	17.81(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	36	40	13	103	1.79	54%	0.24	27.6	1.66%	0	1.8	90	0
9	Mar_2_2016	16.75	16.75	17.13	17.3	17.28	17.34	17.51(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	37	20	12	112	2.27	50%	0.24	0	1.66%	0	1.5	89	0
10	Mar_1_2016	16.71	16.71	17.07	17.18	17.21	17.28	17.31(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	30	7	110	1.95	50%	0.12	0	1.69%	0	1.3	71	0

11	Feb_29_2016	16.69	16.68	16.99	17.12	17.12	17.23	17.23(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	40	7	110	1.87	50%	0.18	0	1.72%	0	1.2	70	0
12	Feb_26_2016	16.66	16.66	16.89	17.07	17.07	17.13	17.16(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	20	7	110	1.1	50%	0.12	0	1.77%	0	1.1	76	0
13	Feb_25_2016	16.64	16.64	16.77	17.02	17.03	17.01	17.28(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-10	7	92	0.98	50%	0.24	0	1.8%	0	1.5	59	0
14	Feb_24_2016	16.6	16.64	16.63	17.02	16.97	17.02	16.94(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	30	-1	-0	1.4	45%	0.12	0	1.79%	0	41.3	49	0
15	Feb_23_2016	16.58	16.64	16.56	16.93	16.95	17.06	17(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	50	10	4	2.99	45%	0.12	0	1.84%	0	41.5	50	0

16	Feb_22_2016	16.56	16.64	16.49	16.84	16.89	16.93	16.97(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	30	14	6	1.99	45%	0.18	0	1.9%	0	41.4	51	0
17	Feb_19_2016	16.53	16.64	16.37	16.68	16.76	16.85	16.89(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	50	15	6	1.85	45%	0.12	0	1.96%	0	41.2	48	0
18	Feb_18_2016	16.51	16.64	16.37	16.48	16.58	16.86	16.86(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	140	20	8	1.34	45%	0.12	0	2.03%	0	40.1	49	0
19	Feb_17_2016	16.49	16.64	16.33	16.28	16.33	16.67	16.94(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	16	150	19	8	1.51	45%	0.24	0	2.1%	0	40.3	50	0
20	Feb_16_2016	16.45	16.64	16.31	16.15	16.14	16.3	16.55(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10	70	12	5	1.83	37%	0.06	0	2.07%	0	40.4	50	0

21	Feb_12_2016	16.44	16.64	16.33	16.09	16.09	15.98	16.17(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	-50	5	2	1.02	26%	-0.18	0	2.02%	0	37.6	50	0
22	Feb_11_2016	16.47	16.64	16.4	16.02	16.04	15.99	15.89(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-20	-15	-6	0.95	26%	-0.36	0	2%	0	36.1	50	0
23	Feb_10_2016	16.53	16.64	16.5	16.16	16.12	16.19	15.87(-2.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	20	-12	-5	1.45	26%	-0.42	0	2.09%	0	37.8	50	0
24	Feb_9_2016	16.6	16.64	16.5	16.37	16.26	16.1	16.27(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-8	-90	-9	-4	1.67	31%	-0.24	0	2.11%	0	42.8	50	0
25	Feb_8_2016	16.64	16.64	16.5	16.5	16.42	16.05	16.27(2.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-170	-17	-7	2.28	31%		0	2.25%	0	42.8	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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