Trading Signals: EXPR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: EXPR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 28, 2016 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Express Inc.)
EXPR latest price $18.5000 (3.87%) ($17.7300 - $18.6400) on Fri. Mar. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.77% (three month average)
RSI   91
Latest Price   $18.5000(3.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EXPR advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EXPR advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EXPR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XRT(16%)    IWM(10%)    IWN(10%)    IWC(9%)    IWO(9%)
Factors Impacting EXPR price   EXPR will decline at least -0.885% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-3%)    VIXM(-2%)    XLU(-1%)    IGOV(-1%)    XLV(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.885% (StdDev 1.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.67(4.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.4(6.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.9(9.47%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.1%
Market Cap   $1.203b

$. EXPR price fluctuates within 3.96% (three month std-dev: 1.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 2.5%(46%) Average negative next day return: -1.07%(54%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 3.17%(62%) Average negative next three day return: -3.48%(38%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 4.1%(31%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.1%(69%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160404

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2016	16.86	16.9	17.4	17.67	17.61	17.87	18.5(3.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	53	90	32	114	2.6	61%	0.42	36.1	1.77%	0	2.4	91	INF
2	Mar_3_2016	16.79	16.8	17.23	17.4	17.38	17.49	17.81(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	36	40	13	103	1.79	54%	0.24	27.6	1.66%	0	1.8	90	INF
3	Mar_2_2016	16.75	16.75	17.13	17.3	17.28	17.34	17.51(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	37	20	12	112	2.27	50%	0.24	0	1.66%	0	1.5	89	INF
4	Mar_1_2016	16.71	16.71	17.07	17.18	17.21	17.28	17.31(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	30	7	110	1.95	50%	0.12	0	1.69%	0	1.3	71	INF
5	Feb_29_2016	16.69	16.68	16.99	17.12	17.12	17.23	17.23(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	40	7	110	1.87	50%	0.18	0	1.72%	0	1.2	70	INF

6	Feb_26_2016	16.66	16.66	16.89	17.07	17.07	17.13	17.16(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	20	7	110	1.1	50%	0.12	0	1.77%	0	1.1	76	INF
7	Feb_25_2016	16.64	16.64	16.77	17.02	17.03	17.01	17.28(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-10	7	92	0.98	50%	0.24	0	1.8%	0	1.5	59	INF
8	Feb_24_2016	16.6	16.64	16.63	17.02	16.97	17.02	16.94(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	30	-1	-0	1.4	45%	0.12	0	1.79%	0	41.3	49	INF
9	Feb_23_2016	16.58	16.64	16.56	16.93	16.95	17.06	17(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	50	10	4	2.99	45%	0.12	0	1.84%	0	41.5	50	INF
10	Feb_22_2016	16.56	16.64	16.49	16.84	16.89	16.93	16.97(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	30	14	6	1.99	45%	0.18	0	1.9%	0	41.4	51	INF

11	Feb_19_2016	16.53	16.64	16.37	16.68	16.76	16.85	16.89(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	50	15	6	1.85	45%	0.12	0	1.96%	0	41.2	48	INF
12	Feb_18_2016	16.51	16.64	16.37	16.48	16.58	16.86	16.86(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	140	20	8	1.34	45%	0.12	0	2.03%	0	40.1	49	INF
13	Feb_17_2016	16.49	16.64	16.33	16.28	16.33	16.67	16.94(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	16	150	19	8	1.51	45%	0.24	0	2.1%	0	40.3	50	INF
14	Feb_16_2016	16.45	16.64	16.31	16.15	16.14	16.3	16.55(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10	70	12	5	1.83	37%	0.06	0	2.07%	0	40.4	50	INF
15	Feb_12_2016	16.44	16.64	16.33	16.09	16.09	15.98	16.17(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	-50	5	2	1.02	26%	-0.18	0	2.02%	0	37.6	50	INF

16	Feb_11_2016	16.47	16.64	16.4	16.02	16.04	15.99	15.89(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-20	-15	-6	0.95	26%	-0.36	0	2%	0	36.1	50	INF
17	Feb_10_2016	16.53	16.64	16.5	16.16	16.12	16.19	15.87(-2.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	20	-12	-5	1.45	26%	-0.42	0	2.09%	0	37.8	50	INF
18	Feb_9_2016	16.6	16.64	16.5	16.37	16.26	16.1	16.27(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-8	-90	-9	-4	1.67	31%	-0.24	0	2.11%	0	42.8	50	INF
19	Feb_8_2016	16.64	16.64	16.5	16.5	16.42	16.05	16.27(2.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-170	-17	-7	2.28	31%	-0.3	0	2.25%	0	42.8	50	INF
20	Feb_5_2016	16.69	16.64	16.5	16.6	16.65	16.43	15.8(-4.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-23	-80	-27	-11	2.25	7%	-0.89	0	1.9%	0	41.6	50	INF

21	Feb_4_2016	16.84	16.64	16.5	16.84	16.8	16.8	16.58(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-9	-10	-11	-4	1.45	16%	-0.3	0	1.07%	0	127.5	50	INF
22	Feb_3_2016	16.89	16.64	16.5	16.89	16.88	16.87	16.93(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	621	-10	731	292	2.07	37%	0.06	0	0.69%	0	282.2	50	INF
23	Feb_2_2016	16.88	16.64	16.5	13.51	16.87	16.8	16.92(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	56.8	712	720	838	335	2.92	37%	0.06	0	0.8%	0	282	50	INF
24	Feb_1_2016	16.87	16.64	16.5	10.12	16.87	16.8	16.79(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	95.3	1057	NAN	1243	497	2.71	37%	-0.24	0	0.8%	0	239.9	50	INF
25	Jan_29_2016	16.91	16.64	16.5	6.76	16.87	16.8	16.96(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	204	NAN	NAN	INF	NAN	2.25	100%		0	0%	0	339.2	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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