Trading Signals: EXPE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 13, 2014

Trading Signals: EXPE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Expedia Group Inc)
EXPE latest price $83.0574 (-0.71%) ($82.4044 - $83.9697) on Thu. Nov. 13, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.78% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $83.0574(-0.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EXPE advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EXPE advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EXPE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(67%)    IWM(58%)    EWG(54%)    SPY(54%)    VT(53%)
Factors Impacting EXPE price   EXPE will decline at least -0.89% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.89% (StdDev 1.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.81(0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.97(1.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.26(4.79%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   16.7%
Market Cap   $11.729b

Expedia Group, Inc. is an online travel company, which engages in the provision of travel products and services to leisure and corporate travelers. It operates through the following business segments: Core OTA, trivago, HomeAway, and Egencia. The Core OTA segment offers full range of travel and advertising services to worldwide customers through a variety of brands including: Expedia.com and Hotels.com. The trivago segment involves in sending referrals to online travel companies and travel service providers from its hotel metasearch websites. The HomeAway segment operates an online marketplace for the vacation rental industry. The Egencia segment manages travel services to corporate customers worldwide. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Bellevue, WA.

$. EXPE price fluctuates within 4.42% (three month std-dev: 1.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.63%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.79%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.56%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -1.52%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.06%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.01%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141213

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_13_2014	79.71	79.26	81.97	82.81	82.88	83.2	83.06(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	30	19	122	1.24	46%	0.13	71	1.78%	0	1.1	65	INF
2	Nov_12_2014	79.61	78.73	81.45	82.35	82.36	83.05	83.65(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	58	60	36	124	1.78	46%	0.13	53.3	1.78%	0	1.3	71	INF
3	Nov_11_2014	79.51	78.11	80.74	81.57	81.66	82.56	83.03(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	60	80	42	113	2.15	46%	0.11	34	1.78%	0	1.3	71	INF
4	Nov_10_2014	79.42	77.55	80.18	81.07	81.02	81.68	82.59(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	48	60	31	99	1.28	46%	0.09	19.4	1.79%	0	1.4	65	INF
5	Nov_7_2014	79.35	77.08	79.64	81.06	80.69	80.76	81.74(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10	8	104	1.56	46%	0.1	7.6	1.79%	0	1.4	70	INF

6	Nov_6_2014	79.27	76.85	79.28	81.03	80.91	80.35	80.72(1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	30	-50	-3	129	1.76	46%	0.04	1.8	1.79%	0	1.1	73	INF
7	Nov_5_2014	79.24	76.8	78.88	80.39	81.13	80.63	79.75(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	36	-20	2	138	2.35	46%	0.08	-2.9	1.78%	0	0.9	70	INF
8	Nov_4_2014	79.18	76.8	78.51	79.72	80.15	81.48	80.56(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	54	130	21	152	3.16	46%	0.11	-7.6	1.78%	0	1	74	INF
9	Nov_3_2014	79.09	76.86	78.15	79.09	79.16	81.63	82.52(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	137	220	115	201	2.65	48%	0.14	-15.4	1.76%	0	1.5	77	INF
10	Oct_31_2014	78.98	76.82	77.3	78.02	77.97	78.83	81.6(5.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	99	80	80	156	5.98	52%	0.14	-23.7	1.92%	0	1.3	69	INF

11	Oct_30_2014	78.87	76.79	76.31	77.36	76.97	76.68	77.53(1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	13	-40	-12	87	5.82	47%	0.06	-30	1.84%	0	0.2	48	INF
12	Oct_29_2014	78.82	76.9	75.79	77.19	77.15	77.11	76.38(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10	-3	56	2.64	47%	0.05	-32.2	1.84%	0	-0.1	40	INF
13	Oct_28_2014	78.78	77.13	75.3	77.09	77.17	77.25	77.4(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	10	4	14	1.3	47%	0.08	-32.2	1.83%	0	0.1	38	INF
14	Oct_27_2014	78.72	77.43	74.75	77.03	77.06	77.19	77.19(-1.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	7	10	16	-20	2.48	47%	0.08	-28	1.83%	0	-0.1	40	INF
15	Oct_24_2014	78.66	77.7	74.34	76.43	76.75	77.09	78.29(2.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	16	40	42	-63	1.64	47%	0.09	-28.3	1.83%	0	0.1	38	INF

16	Oct_23_2014	78.59	77.88	74.21	75.09	75.63	76.93	76.67(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	140	47	-111	1.91	45%	0.09	-35.9	1.81%	0	-0.3	37	INF
17	Oct_22_2014	78.52	78.11	74.5	74.18	74.46	76.42	75.87(-1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	45	200	98	-113	1.93	47%	0.06	-42.3	1.81%	0	-0.5	41	INF
18	Oct_21_2014	78.47	78.43	75.02	73.23	72.88	74.33	77.12(3.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	33	120	89	-137	2.82	47%	0.08	-48.1	1.82%	0	-0.3	41	INF
19	Oct_20_2014	78.41	78.6	75.36	72.17	71.49	72.5	74.18(3.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-26	70	33	-203	2.48	42%	0.05	-57.2	1.75%	0	-1	30	INF
20	Oct_17_2014	78.37	78.92	76.2	71.99	71.48	71.44	71.61(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-62	-30	-6	-230	3.19	38%	0.03	-61.6	1.71%	0	-1.7	26	INF

21	Oct_16_2014	78.35	79.46	77.25	73.23	72.32	70.47	72.1(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-130	-220	-94	-238	3.84	38%	0.03	-60.4	1.73%	0	-1.9	29	INF
22	Oct_15_2014	78.33	80.01	78.08	74.91	74.46	71.53	71.15(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-174	-290	-155	-232	5.51	38%	0	-56.6	1.73%	0	-2.5	30	INF
23	Oct_14_2014	78.33	80.59	79.16	77.07	77.15	74.17	71.78(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-167	-270	-159	-190	6.01	38%	-0.08	-51.3	1.73%	0	-2.9	29	INF
24	Oct_13_2014	78.39	81.18	80.44	78.99	79.36	77.38	73.31(-5.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-134	-160	-137	-126	4.61	40%	0.06	-46.5	1.71%	0	-3.5	38	INF
25	Oct_10_2014	78.34	81.65	81.49	80.96	80.95	80.13	77.79(-3.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-64	-70	-71	-44	3.13	45%		-44.9	1.56%	0	-2.8	47	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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