Trading Signals: EXEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 23, 2017

Trading Signals: EXEL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(EXELIXIS INC)
EXEL latest price $23.7800 (-1.2%) ($23.7800 - $24.5400) on Fri. Jun. 23, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.95% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $23.7800(-1.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EXEL advances 4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EXEL advances 10.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EXEL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(54%)    XBI(54%)    IWO(44%)    ARKG(42%)    IWC(41%)
Factors Impacting EXEL price   EXEL will decline at least -1.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.475% (StdDev 2.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.15(2.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.47(10.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.33(16.97%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   29.8%
Market Cap   $7.345b

Exelixis, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development, commercialization, and discovery of new medicines for the treatment of cancer. It offers products under the brands of Cometriq, Cabometyx, and Cotellic. The company was founded by Corey S. Goodman and Stelios B. Papadopoulos on November 15, 1994 and is headquartered in Alameda, CA.

$. EXEL price fluctuates within 8.8% (three month std-dev: 2.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 1.53%(44%) Average negative next day return: -2.13%(56%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 5.47%(31%) Average negative next three day return: -4.95%(69%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 4.93%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.34%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170723

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_23_2017	21.24	20.33	21.47	23.15	23.35	24.08	23.78(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	89	240	42	229	31.69	61%	0.24	56	2.95%	0	1.9	81	0
2	Jun_22_2017	21.19	20.1	21.01	22.25	22.53	23.69	24.07(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	94	400	62	190	4.88	61%	0.24	41.7	2.95%	0	2.5	83	0
3	Jun_21_2017	21.14	19.88	20.55	21.28	21.29	22.62	24.02(7.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	81	440	60	142	7.6	56%	0.28	31	2.95%	0	3.2	83	0
4	Jun_20_2017	21.08	19.64	20.05	20.41	20.32	21.37	22.28(3.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	58	350	46	95	5.1	51%	0.19	8.8	2.94%	0	3	80	0
5	Jun_19_2017	21.04	19.48	19.71	19.93	19.78	19.97	21.6(12.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.6	38	40	27	69	5.71	49%	0.14	-24.9	2.91%	0	3.3	80	0

6	Jun_16_2017	21.01	19.37	19.45	19.93	19.54	19.28	19.26(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	5	-100	-6	39	3.68	35%	0.05	-81.6	2.48%	0	-0.3	50	0
7	Jun_15_2017	21	19.45	19.43	19.57	19.57	19.58	19.24(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	0	-9	32	2.03	40%	0.05	-68.6	2.53%	0	-0.4	47	0
8	Jun_14_2017	20.99	19.48	19.42	19.67	19.59	19.8	19.67(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	60	8	33	1.95	40%	0.05	-81.2	2.6%	0	0.3	43	0
9	Jun_13_2017	20.98	19.56	19.33	19.6	19.55	19.56	19.9(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-0	11	19	2.05	40%	0.1	-67.9	2.59%	0	0.5	50	0
10	Jun_12_2017	20.96	19.64	19.17	19.45	19.42	19.38	19.8(2.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-20	3	-5	4.08	40%	0.1	-62.1	2.59%	0	0.2	55	0

11	Jun_9_2017	20.94	19.72	19.12	19.31	19.36	19.55	19.25(-2.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	80	4	-18	3.55	37%	0.05	-60.6	2.57%	0	-0.5	46	0
12	Jun_8_2017	20.93	19.84	19.14	19.27	19.27	19.46	19.72(1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	70	13	-34	3.25	37%	0.1	-59	2.56%	0	-0.1	38	0
13	Jun_7_2017	20.91	19.95	19.17	19.13	19.13	19.17	19.34(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	10	8	-42	2.19	37%	0.05	-58.3	2.56%	0	-0.5	47	0
14	Jun_6_2017	20.9	20.06	19.21	19.01	19.04	19.08	19.13(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	20	8	-70	2.05	37%	-0.05	-63.4	2.56%	0	-0.8	36	0
15	Jun_5_2017	20.91	20.18	19.22	18.85	18.9	19.09	19.1(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-26	80	1	-108	2.19	37%	0	-72.3	2.57%	0	-0.9	35	0

16	Jun_2_2017	20.91	20.31	19.28	18.9	18.82	18.99	19.04(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	50	0	-122	2.55	42%	0	-73.9	2.65%	0	-1	35	0
17	Jun_1_2017	20.91	20.46	19.46	19	18.91	18.71	19.06(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-40	-90	-10	-128	2.5	42%	0.05	-72.5	2.65%	0	-1.1	35	0
18	May_31_2017	20.9	20.63	19.55	19.22	19.16	18.64	18.71(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-53	-200	-22	-145	4.24	42%	0	-65.8	2.61%	0	-1.5	31	0
19	May_30_2017	20.9	20.85	19.82	19.44	19.53	19.12	18.32(-5.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-48	-130	-20	-132	5.73	42%	0.34	-57.6	2.68%	0	-2	30	0
20	May_26_2017	20.83	21.1	20.16	19.64	19.74	19.67	19.35(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-10	-7	-110	2.38	46%	0.19	-50.4	2.81%	0	-1.4	37	0

21	May_25_2017	20.79	21.26	20.38	19.7	19.75	19.94	19.57(-2.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	70	-10	-109	2.59	46%	0.19	-47	2.83%	0	-1.5	37	0
22	May_24_2017	20.75	21.4	20.6	20	19.89	19.8	20.17(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	-50	6	-91	3.45	48%	0.29	-39.3	2.83%	0	-1.1	38	0
23	May_23_2017	20.69	21.49	20.78	19.93	20	19.56	19.8(2.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-140	-22	-111	3.93	45%	-0.05	-38.7	2.81%	0	-1.6	32	0
24	May_22_2017	20.7	21.61	20.99	20.29	20.23	19.97	19.3(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-49	-100	-30	-107	4.24	45%	0.19	-26.9	2.83%	0	-2.4	25	0
25	May_19_2017	20.66	21.73	21.23	20.77	20.77	20.44	19.68(-6.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-36	-110	-17	-92	5.87	45%		-16	2.81%	0	-2.4	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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