Trading Signals: EXC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 24, 2015

Trading Signals: EXC Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Exelon Corporation)
EXC latest price $28.7953 (-1.09%) ($28.3630 - $29.5893) on Mon. Aug. 24, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.33% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $28.7953(-1.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EXC declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EXC advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EXC advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(74%)    IVE(57%)    VYM(57%)    XLP(55%)    SPY(53%)
Factors Impacting EXC price   EXC will decline at least -0.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-8%)    VCIT(-4%)    DIA(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.665% (StdDev 1.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.5(-2.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.21(-1.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.55(0.86%)
To recent high   -4.5%
To recent low   7.6%
Market Cap   $28.075b

Exelon Corp. operates as a utility services holding company, which engages in the energy generation, power marketing, and energy delivery business. The company operates through the following segments: Mid Atlantic, Midwest, New England, New York, Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) and other Power Regions. The Mid-Atlantic segment represents operations in the eastern half of PJM, which includes New Jersey, Maryland, Virginia, West Virginia, Delaware, the District of Columbia and parts of Pennsylvania and North Carolina. The Midwest segment represents operations in the western half of PJM, which includes portions of Illinois, Pennsylvania, Indiana, Ohio, Michigan, Kentucky and Tennessee, and the United States footprint of MISO, excluding MISO's Southern Region, which covers all or most of North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin, the remaining parts of Illinois, Indiana, Michigan and Ohio not covered by PJM, and parts of Montana, Missouri and Kentucky. The New England (NE) segment represents the operations within (International Standards Organization) ISO-NE covering the states of Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island and Vermont. The New York (NY) segment represents operations within ISO-NY, which covers the state of New York in its entirety. The ERCOT segment represents operations within Electric Reliability Council of Texas, covering most of the state of Texas. Exelon was founded in February 1999 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. EXC price fluctuates within 3.19% (three month std-dev: 1.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.59%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.83%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.35%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150924

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_24_2015	28.92	28.55	29.21	29.5	29.55	29.18	28.8(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	-80	-31	106	20.43	48%	0	53.3	1.33%	0	0.3	65	INF
2	Aug_21_2015	28.92	28.46	29.16	29.64	29.69	29.73	29.11(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	28	10	-6	129	11.66	48%	0	44	1.32%	0	0.7	59	INF
3	Aug_20_2015	28.92	28.36	29.09	29.65	29.65	29.91	29.82(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	58	60	26	155	7.13	51%	0.03	33.6	1.29%	0	1.5	70	INF
4	Aug_19_2015	28.91	28.23	28.91	29.47	29.39	29.64	30.15(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	59	50	30	147	10.52	51%	0.03	20.1	1.29%	0	2.1	77	INF
5	Aug_18_2015	28.9	28.14	28.66	29.21	29.12	29.38	29.64(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	59	50	33	137	6.87	48%	0.03	13	1.27%	0	1.9	78	INF

6	Aug_17_2015	28.89	28.08	28.46	28.89	28.88	29.14	29.47(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	56	60	34	120	5.62	48%	0.03	2.2	1.27%	0	1.8	78	INF
7	Aug_14_2015	28.88	28.05	28.34	28.61	28.58	28.85	29.18(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	45	60	22	113	4.36	53%	0.03	-4.5	1.31%	0	1.5	79	INF
8	Aug_13_2015	28.87	28.04	28.22	28.45	28.39	28.61	28.89(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	48	50	25	116	5.35	53%	0.03	-7.1	1.32%	0	1.1	72	INF
9	Aug_12_2015	28.86	28.05	28.09	28.26	28.24	28.31	28.84(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	20	22	105	9.58	53%	0	-8.3	1.32%	0	1.1	66	INF
10	Aug_11_2015	28.86	28.03	27.93	28.03	28.06	28.31	28.04(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	19	30	5	61	6.39	46%	-0.03	-15.5	1.27%	0	0	43	INF

11	Aug_10_2015	28.87	28.06	27.84	27.97	27.99	28.17	28.12(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	50	7	33	5.87	46%	0	-18.2	1.29%	0	0.1	43	INF
12	Aug_7_2015	28.87	28.08	27.71	28.02	27.95	27.94	28.34(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10	8	1	7.89	46%	-0.03	-12.4	1.28%	0	0.3	40	INF
13	Aug_6_2015	28.88	28.09	27.58	27.96	27.97	27.81	27.95(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	-40	-4	-44	8.02	41%	-0.03	-11.2	1.28%	0	-0.2	35	INF
14	Aug_5_2015	28.89	28.11	27.51	27.9	28.04	27.96	27.72(-0.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-19	-0	1	-79	5.45	39%	-0.03	-9.4	1.29%	0	-0.5	32	INF
15	Aug_4_2015	28.9	28.15	27.59	27.8	27.94	27.96	27.74(-2.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-13	60	11	-85	7.2	42%	-0.03	-7.1	1.32%	0	-0.5	41	INF

16	Aug_3_2015	28.91	28.2	27.66	27.67	27.75	28.13	28.35(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	100	38	-87	7.93	45%	0.03	-7.1	1.32%	0	0.2	46	INF
17	Jul_31_2015	28.9	28.2	27.72	27.35	27.47	27.75	28.04(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-4	80	32	-111	8.66	45%	0	-19.4	1.32%	0	-0.2	44	INF
18	Jul_30_2015	28.9	28.17	27.83	27.14	27.2	27.37	27.65(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-24	50	12	-131	10	42%	0	-26.7	1.31%	0	-0.7	39	INF
19	Jul_29_2015	28.9	28.18	27.98	27.07	27.14	27.19	27.21(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-44	20	-13	-137	12.84	40%	-0.03	-34.8	1.3%	0	-1.3	37	INF
20	Jul_28_2015	28.91	28.21	28.14	27.36	27.28	27.03	27.08(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-70	-29	-118	15.27	40%	-0.03	-32.7	1.29%	0	-1.5	35	INF

21	Jul_27_2015	28.92	28.25	28.3	27.67	27.68	27.09	26.76(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-67	-150	-55	-102	11.91	37%	-0.03	-31.5	1.29%	0	-2.1	28	INF
22	Jul_24_2015	28.93	28.32	28.5	28.15	28.16	27.54	27.01(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-61	-150	-63	-54	11.87	42%	-0.03	-23.4	1.31%	0	-2.1	44	INF
23	Jul_23_2015	28.94	28.38	28.68	28.6	28.64	28.27	27.29(-4.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-35	-90	-47	1	17.09	42%	-0.03	-19.8	1.36%	0	-1.9	46	INF
24	Jul_22_2015	28.95	28.38	28.81	29.01	28.99	28.78	28.64(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-50	-12	68	10.61	48%	0	-10.8	1.23%	0	0.4	68	INF
25	Jul_21_2015	28.95	28.45	28.79	29.02	29.09	29	28.64(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	17	-10	-7	89	10.94	46%		-19	1.23%	0	0.4	71	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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